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Sweden Women vs Portugal Women: Betting tips, predictions, odds & match preview

By Emile Avanessian

Published: 19:29, 16 July 2022 | Updated: 15:06, 3 August 2022

Despite a seemingly clear-cut hierarchy between first and second (Netherlands and Sweden) and third and fourth (Portugal and Switzerland), narrow goal differences ensure that there’s still everything to play for on the final matchday of Euro 2022’s Group C. Thus, the Swedes must secure a result against Portugal on Sunday, lest their dreams of not just easy progress, but a place in the quarterfinals at all, go up in smoke.

Sweden Women vs Portugal Women: Betting Tips

Sweden to win and OVER 3.5 goals @ 2/1 with Betfair

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

Sweden Women vs Portugal Women: Predictions

Sweden Women vs Portugal Women: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
Halftime/Full time Draw/Sweden 16/5 with Betway
To assist anytime Fridolina Rolfö 3/1 with Betfair
Anytime Goalscorer Jessica Silva 4/1 with Betfair

Fascinatingly, only one group out of four – this one – has not yet seen a clean sheet. As a result, despite the Netherlands and Sweden each holding a three-point edge over third and fourth-placed Portugal and Switzerland, their goal differences of +1 (and, conversely, the goal differences of just -1 for the bottom two) mean the defeat for either would mean elimination from the tournament.

After a 1-1 draw in the opener with the co-favored (in the group) Dutch, it looked as though the Swedes thoroughly dominated the Swiss – outshooting them 15-5, and mounting 171 attacks and 69 dangerous attacks, compared to just 58 and 18 – but did not manage to jump ahead until after halftime (a 53rd-minute goal from Barcelona’s Fridolina Rolfö), then only held that lead for two minutes before Ramona Bachmann equalized, and had to wait until the 79th to secure a winner (though they did have ball in the net again in the 88th, only to have the goal disallowed by VAR.)

Portugal, meanwhile, have had wild ride thus far in this tournament. Their opener against Switzerland began nightmarishly, as the Swiss jumped out to a 2-0 lead inside of five minutes. However, the Portuguese rebounded impressively, keeping the Swiss from putting another shot on goal for the remainder of the match, while Diana Gomez and Jessica Silva netted goals on either side of the hour mark to secure a point (that, given the run of play, probably should have been three.)

On Matchday 2 against the favored Dutch, Portugal fell behind early, by two goals, again, this time conceding twice in the opening 16 minutes. However, as they’d done in against the Swiss, the Portuguese fought back, cutting the lead and half before halftime, and then, two minutes into the second half, leveling the score at 2-2.

The Netherlands ultimately pulled back in front thanks to a Danielle van de Donk goal in the 62nd , and could have had more (a Jill Roord goal that was ruled out by VAR for offside just two minutes after Portugal’s equalizer), but it’s worth noting that, despite the Netherlands’ clear edges in possession (60%-40%) and shots (17-10), Portugal actually put more of their attempts on net (6-5) and forced four saves from keeper Daphne van Domeselaar.

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Sweden Women vs Portugal Women head-to-head

These nations have met three times in the past three-plus years, all in the Algarve Cup. Their most recent meeting came in February of this year, and ended in a 4-0 Sweden win. The sides also met in March 2020, with Sweden winning 2-0, and in March 2019, with the Portuguese emerging as 2-1 winners.

Sweden Women vs Portugal Women match stats

Like Switzerland, Portugal simply need a solitary victory to ensure progress to the quarterfinals. Like that of the Swiss, the task before the Portuguese is easier discussed than achieved against a deep roster of top-quality opposition. However, the Portuguese are more likely to stay within shouting distance of their heavily-favored opponents for longer than are the Swiss.

Sweden, though solid, seem to still be finding their stride in this tournament and have yet to put together a dominant performance. Thus, it would not be surprising to see Portugal come out with the strong effort and go toe-to-toe with the Swedes (to the tune of a 1-1 halftime score),  with the Swedes ultimately asserting themselves in the second half to secure the all-important victory.

Sweden Women vs Portugal Women: Squawka Says

Scoreline prediction: Sweden  Women 3-1 Portugal Women

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