Football Predictions

West Brom vs Aston Villa preview, predictions & expected XIs

By Harry Edwards

Published: 13:30, 13 May 2019

West Bromwich Albion and Aston Villa will be looking to secure their place in the Championship play-off final when the pair face off this week.

Villa take a narrow 2-1 lead into the second leg with goals from Conor Hourihane and Tammy Abraham cancelling out Dwight Gayle’s opener on Saturday.

Read on for West Brom vs Aston Villa live stream options, team news, predicted XIs, stats and TV channel info.

When is West Brom vs Aston Villa?

Competition: Championship play-offs

Venue: The Hawthorns

Date: Tuesday, 14 May

Kick-off: 8:00 PM BST

Where can I watch live?

UK residents will be able to watch West Brom vs Aston Villa on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Football, channels 401 and 403 respectively on Sky, and channels 501 and 503 respectively for Virgin Media users.

Head-to-head

Aston Villa will be hopeful of using their good record against West Brom to their advantage on Tuesday, with the Villans having won 78 of the 170 matches in history. But this season things have been slightly more even, with both sides winning one of the three matches to add to a draw.

West Brom wins: 55 Draws: 37 Aston Villa wins: 78

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Match preview

Both West Brom and Aston Villa will feel they deserve to be the West Midlands’ representative in the Premier League, but there is space for only one of these two sides in the Championship play-off final.

As well as taking a goal advantage into the second leg, Villa will be boosted by the absence of West Brom’s goalscorer Gayle, after the forward was sent off late on for two yellow cards.

But it will not be plain sailing for the Villans, with West Brom losing just four league games at the Hawthorns this season and Villa’s own record away from home not exactly wonderful – with nine wins from 23 in the Championship.

BetBull odds: West Brom win: 8/5 Draw: 9/4 Aston Villa win: 13/8

Can West Brom use their home record to secure a play-off final spot?

Though Aston Villa may boast a superior record in the head-to-head between these two sides, the Villans haven’t had the best of luck at the Hawthorns of late.

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West Brom have built somewhat of a bogey ground for Villa and currently sit unbeaten in seven games at the Hawthorns against their Midlands rivals.

The last time Villa came away from the Hawthorns with a win was in September 2008, when John Carew and Gabby Agbonlahor scored in a 2-1 Premier League win – James Morrison netted for West Brom.

Since then, West Brom have won two games against Villa at the Hawthorns, with five draws – but only a win will do for James Shan’s side if they are to keep their hopes of an immediate Premier League return alive.

BetBull odds: West Brom win: 8/5 Draw: 9/4 Aston Villa win: 13/8

Can Tammy Abraham make his final Chelsea push?

Abraham did not have the best game in Saturday’s first leg, but the Aston Villa striker still managed to find himself on the scoresheet, stepping up to take a high-pressure penalty in the second half.

In scoring from the spot, the 21-year-old got his 26th goal of the season in his 38th match, an impressive record for the young forward and one which could go some way in shaping his future.

On his third loan spell away from parent club Chelsea, there may have been some fear that Abraham could be the latest victim of the Blues’ vicious loan cycle with no first-team place in sight.

But with the Blues expected to be facing a transfer ban and none of Chelsea’s current crop of strikers really staking a claim to be number one, there could be a way in for Abraham.

The 21-year-old seems to have everything Chelsea are missing, the ability to score even when not having the best game, as well as brilliant reading of the game and knowledge of his team-mates’ abilities.

At times Abraham almost plays as a false nine, dropping deep and allowing his attacking team-mates to push forward in his place, without actually taking himself out of play – something Chelsea and Sarrismo have been missing this season.

Team news

After his red card on Saturday, West Brom will need to find a replacement for Gayle, but will also be without back-up forward Hal Robson-Kanu, who is suspended too. The Baggies will also be sweating on the availability of Craig Dawson, who was taken off at half-time with illness.

Meanwhile, Aston Villa have no fresh injuries problems having been buoyed by Abraham’s return from a shoulder problem for the first leg.

Predicted Line-ups

1. Aston Villa to remain unchanged

Though ultimately substitutions were needed to oversee West Brom on Saturday, the second leg is a game Villa can set up to frustrate their opponents.

Therefore, it would not be surprising to see Dean Smith line up with the same starting XI which began on Saturday – allowing him to make tactical changes when necessary.

That means Glenn Whelan will retain his place, despite his mistake for West Brom’s goal, with Hourihane back on the bench.

Predicted Aston Villa XI (4-1-4-1): Steer; El Mohamady, Tuanzebe, Mings, Taylor; Whelan; Adomah, McGinn, Grealish, Ghazi; Abraham.

2. Jay Rodriguez to replace Dwight Gayle

In Saturday’s defeat, Jay Rodriguez started in a wide position, but the Englishman could be called upon to lead the line given West Brom’s striking options.

As a result, Newcastle United loanee Jacob Murphy will be the likely replacement on the wing alongside Matty Phillips – looking to get at the Aston Villa defence.

Predicted West Brom XI (3-4-3): Johnstone; Mears, Bartley, Hegazy; Holgate, Brunt, Johansen, Gibbs; Murphy, Rodriguez, Phillips.

Squawka Prediction

West Brom have a good home record against Villa but with the Baggies’ problems in attack taken into account, this should be a win for the away side. 2-0 Aston Villa.

BetBull odds – Aston Villa to win 2-0: 14/1

BetBull odds correct as of 12/05/19 13:45