Outright Odds

Wales odds to win World Cup 2022: Predicted squads, route to the final, ranking & form

By Dean Smith

Published: 15:44, 16 September 2022 | Updated: 10:19, 23 September 2022

Wales will be hoping to show that they should be taken seriously when they arrive in Qatar in November. 

Wales qualified for their first World Cup since 1958 with their playoff win over Ukraine in June and they will be looking to make a big impression on the international scene as their reputation continues to grow.

The latest Wales odds to win the World Cup

A run to the semi-finals of Euro 2016 showed what Wales were capable of and, although they were only able to make the round of 16 in 2021, they should still be feared by their opponents in Group B.

Betting Market 888 Sport Paddy Power Sky Bet
Wales to win World Cup 150/1 150/1 100/1
Wales to reach semi-final 16/1 16/1 14/1
Wales to reach quarter-final 9/2 9/2 4/1
Wales to win Group B 11/2 11/2 11/2
Gareth Bale World Cup Golden Boot Odds 50/1 50/1

Our recommended Wales bet for World Cup 2022

Although USA are favourites to advance as runners-up from Group B, Wales have developed a knack for doing what is necessary to qualify from the group stages at recent international tournaments. They swatted aside Russia and Slovakia en route to winning their group at Euro 2016, while impressive performances against Switzerland and Turkey saw them through the group five years later. Their likely path would set up a round of 16 meeting with the Netherlands, who pose a different threat under the pragmatism of Louis van Gaal this winter after qualifying for the World Cup in seamless style. Wales will have to bank on the Oranje feeling the full force of expectation after failing on the grand stage at recent major tournaments.

Wales route to the World Cup 2022 Final in Qatar

Group Stage Fixtures

Fixture Stadium Date*
vs USA Ahmad bin Ali Stadium 22:00, 21/11
vs Iran Ahmad bin Ali Stadium 13:00, 25/11
vs England Ahmad bin Ali Stadium 22:00, 29/11
*All times GMT

The fixture list means Wales will likely need to get a result from the opening game to give themselves a chance of qualification. Although the Dragons nearly took something off England in the group stages at Euro 2016, Gareth Southgate’s men should have too much for them this time around. It means their chances of advancing as runners-up could all come down to their opening result against the USMNT, where victory would see Wales installed as clear favourites to join England in the knockout phase. 

Who could Wales meet in the knockout rounds?

Wales go into the tournament as 11/2 outsiders to win Group B, but they served up a shock by topping the pile at Euro 2016 before going on to reach the last four. To match that achievement in Qatar, they will likely have to beat England in the groups, before potential ties against Senegal and world champions France — it’s certainly a big ask. And things don’t get any easier from there — if Germany’s early tournament passes without a hitch, they would then meet Wales in the semis, before a possible final against five-time winners Brazil.

If Wales win B Potential opponent
Round of 16 Senegal
Quarter-Final France
Semi-Final Germany
Final Brazil

A runners-up spot in Group B perhaps represents Wales’ best chance of making it to the last eight, but anything beyond there becomes a beyond-wildest-dreams scenario for Rob Page and his players. It presents the possibility of a second round meeting with the Netherlands, before a potential tie against Lionel Messi’s Argentina in the last eight. Fancy them to get through that? This half of the draw will likely present Wales with a semi-final against Brazil, with defending champions France waiting in the final.

If Wales come runners up in Group B Potential opponent
Round of 16 Netherlands
Quarter-Final Argentina
Semi-Final Brazil
Final France


Our predicted Wales World Cup 2022 squad

Player  Position Age Club
Wayne Hennessey Goalkeeper 35 Nottingham Forest
Danny Ward Goalkeeper 29 Leicester
Adam Davies Goalkeeper 30 Sheffield United
Chris Gunter Defender 33 Wimbledon
Ben Davies Defender 29 Tottenham
Connor Roberts Defender 26 Burnley
Ethan Ampadu Defender 22 Spezia
Chris Mepham Defender 24 Bournemouth
Joe Rodon Defender 24 Rennes
Neco Williams Defender 21 Nottingham Forest
Rhys Norrington-Davies Defender 23 Sheffield United
Ben Cabango Defender 22 Swansea
Aaron Ramsey Midfielder 31 Nice
Harry Wilson Midfielder 25 Fulham
Wes Burns Midfielder 27 Ipswich
Joe Allen Midfielder 32 Swansea
Jonny Williams Midfielder 28 Swindon
Joe Morrell Midfielder 25 Portsmouth
Matthew Smith Midfielder 22 MK Dons
Dylan Levitt Midfielder 21 Dundee United
Rubin Colwill Midfielder 20 Cardiff
Gareth Bale Forward 33 Los Angeles
Daniel James Forward 24 Fulham
Kieffer Moore Forward 30 Bournemouth
Tyler Roberts Forward 23 QPR
Brennan Johnson Forward 21 Nottingham Forest

Wales players on the cusp of the squad

  • Tom King (27) — goalkeeper — Salford
  • Tom Lockyer (27) — defender — Luton
  • James Lawrence (30) — defender — Nurnberg
  • Will Vaulks (29) — midfielder — Sheffield Wednesday
  • Luke Harris (17) — midfielder — Fulham
  • David Brooks (25) — midfielder — Bournemouth
  • Sorba Thomas (23) — midfielder — Huddersfield
  • Mark Harris (23) — forward — Cardiff
  • Rabbi Matondo (22) — forward — Rangers

Wales Players to watch at this year’s World Cup 2022

Wales top World Cup Golden Boot contender — Gareth Bale

If Wales are going to reach the latter stages at the World Cup finals, Bale will have to bring his scoring boots. The 33-year-old, who hit six goals in World Cup qualifying as he powered the Dragons to their first finals since 1958, has signed for MLS side Los Angeles FC in a bid to be at peak fitness by the time November and the opening game of the World Cup rolls around. Bale is Wales’s all-time leading goalscorer, with 40 international goals in a senior international career dating back to 2006. Of those goals, three came at Euro 2016 as he finished second in the scoring charts at his first major tournament.

Wales player to watch — Neco Williams

Full-back Williams has already established himself as a key man for Wales. The 21-year-old, who swapped Liverpool for Nottingham Forest in the summer, is a composed ball-carrier with a creative spark in the final third. Williams has wowed Wales fans with a seemingly endless energy, driving runs from deep, and the odd goal. He has scored two in 21 caps for Wales, and regular domestic football with Forest will surely only lift his game before heading to Qatar. Jurgen Klopp begrudgingly allowed Williams to leave Anfield earlier this year, where Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andy Robertson have blocked his path to the first team. The Liverpool boss said Williams had “earned the right” to regular game time with a view to being ready for the World Cup in November.

Wales emerging player to look out for — Brennan Johnson

Johnson has already racked up 10 caps for Wales since making his international debut in October last year. The Nottingham Forest man has been dubbed a “superstar” in the making by Wales boss Page, but he made just one start and five substitute appearances in World Cup qualifying for the Red Dragons. He will likely have to dislodge Dan James to win a starting role in Qatar, but two goals in three Nations League appearances in June will have certainly given Page something to think about. Blessed with explosive pace, Johnson is at his best in an advanced central role, but he is also adept in wide positions. Even if he’s forced to settle for a role from the bench, Johnson will likely be Page’s go-to man if he needs to change the course of a game.

Wales tactical analysis & likely formation at the World Cup

Wales will go in as underdogs more often than not in Qatar, regardless of whether they do make it through the groups. It means much of their play will centre around keeping bodies back behind the ball and using the width provided by two adventurous wing-backs, in Connor Roberts and Neco Williams, to help deliver a counter-punch. While sometimes uninspiring, this defensive approach — with Ethan Ampadu, Joe Rodon and Ben Davies the defensive three — proved fruitful in keeping out stronger sides as the Red Dragons embarked on a long unbeaten home run under Page.

In attack, the Wales boss has sometimes leant on Kieffer Moore as a spearhead forward to provide an outlet and prevent against clumsy errors when under a heavy press in the defensive third. However, his favoured formation is 3-5-2, with Gareth Bale and Daniel James leading the attack, Aaron Ramsey and Harry Wilson dropping in to bolster the screen in front of the defensive five out of possession, and everyone waiting for opportunities to spring on the counter. It’s not liquid football, but it’s been mighty effective in getting Wales to their first World Cup in 64 years.

Wales FAQ’s

Where are Wales in the Fifa World Rankings?

Wales are currently 19th in the Fifa World Rankings, whilst their highest ever ranking was 8th in October 2015.

Who is the Wales Manager?

Page was brought in as interim manager in November 2020 succeeding outgoing boss Ryan Giggs. Still as acting manager, Page led them to the knockout stages of Euro 2020 before Wales booked their spot at the Qatar finals via the playoffs a year later. In September 2022, he was awarded the full-time gig on a four-year deal.

Who is the current Wales captain?

Page installed Bale as his Wales captain ahead of Euro 2020 and the LAFC man has retained the armband ever since.

How many times have Wales won the World Cup? 

Wales have never lifted the World Cup trophy. Their only previous World Cup appearance was in 1958, when the Red Dragons were defeated 1-0 by Brazil in the quarter-finals.

How many times have Wales competed in the World Cup?

The 2022 World Cup will be just the second time Wales have appeared at the finals.

Who has scored Wales most goals in World Cup tournaments?

Wales have only ever scored four goals at a World Cup finals, with Ivor Allchurch scoring twice at the 1958 tournament in Sweden. John Charles and Terry Medwin were also on target for the Welsh at those finals. 

Which player from Wales has the most World Cup appearances?

Several players from the 1958 World Cup squad featured in all five of their matches.


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