Outright Odds

Portugal odds: To win 2022 World Cup, how far will they go, top scorer and more

By Dean Smith

Portugal world cup odds

Published: 16:10, 3 August 2022 | Updated: 17:57, 9 August 2022

Portugal will be looking to complete the tournament set when they travel to the World Cup in Qatar this winter.

In 2016, Portugal got their first major trophy by winning the European Championships and three years later they added the inaugural Uefa Nations League.

All that’s left for Portugal is the World Cup but they will be disappointed with their recent record in major tournaments. After bowing out of the 2018 World Cup at the round of 16, Portugal fell out of Euro 2020 at the same stage, beaten 1-0 by Belgium.

But can they bounce back at the World Cup?

Portugal to win 2022 World Cup odds

Portugal are currently priced at 12/1 to win the 2022 World Cup.

As a result of their recent poor showings, Portugal aren’t too fancied to go all the way to win in Qatar, sitting outside the top five favourites. They are currently ranked around ninth with a number of bookmakers, with the likes of Brazil, France and Germany all having shorter odds.

2022 World Cup favourites

Nation Sky Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport   Nation Sky  Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport
Brazil 9/2 5/1 5/1   Poland 150/1 100/1 100/1
France 5/1 11/2 11/2   Serbia 100/1 100/1 100/1
England 13/2 13/2 13/2   USA 150/1 100/1 100/1
Argentina 7/1 13/2 13/2   Australia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Spain 8/1 15/2 15/2   Ecuador 150/1 125/1 125/1
Germany 9/1 9/1 9/1   Cameroon 250/1 250/1 250/1
Belgium 14/1 11/1 11/1   Japan 250/1 250/1 250/1
Netherlands 12/1 12/1 12/1   South Korea 250/1 250/1 250/1
Portugal 14/1 12/1 12/1   Tunisia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Denmark 28/1 30/1 30/1   Ghana 500/1 250/1 250/1
Croatia 50/1 45/1 45/1   Morocco 250/1 200/1 200/1
Uruguay 40/1 45/1 45/1   Canada 500/1 200/1 200/1
Senegal 80/1 90/1 90/1   Iran 500/1 500/1 500/1
Switzerland 66/1 80/1 80/1   Qatar 500/1 250/1 250/1
Wales 100/1 150/1 150/1   Saudi Arabia 750/1 500/1 500/1
Mexico 80/1 100/1 100/1   Costa Rica 750/1 500/1 500/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (08:00, 27/09/2022).BeGambleAware.

Another reason for Portugal’s high odds to win the World Cup will be because they weren’t comfortable in their qualification. While the main favourites earned automatic qualification, Portugal had to go through the play-offs having lost top spot in Group A on the final day – losing 2-1 to Serbia.

Portugal were drawn in Path C for the play-offs, which also included European champions Italy – and many expected that to be the final. But Italy were knocked out and Portugal got their spot in Qatar thanks to a 3-1 win over Turkey and 2-0 victory against North Macedonia.

Portugal’s potential path to 2022 World Cup final

Portugal were the final team in Pot 1, in terms of qualifying, ranking and, coming out of the hat.

Fernando Santos’ men were placed in Group H alongside Ghana, Uruguay and South Korea, perhaps the most even group with all teams on a similar level despite their rankings.

Portugal kick off their group against Ghana, before taking on Uruguay and finally South Koare, with their games hosted in Doha, Lusail and Al Rayyan.

Portugal 2022 World Cup group stage fixtures

24 November 2022: Portugal vs Ghana (4pm UK time)

28 November 2022: Portugal vs Uruguay (7pm UK time)

2 December 2022: South Korea vs Portugal (3pm UK time)

If Portugal win Group H

  • If Portugal were to win Group H, this would be their route through to the final.
  • Last 16: The runners-up of Group G, which consists of Brazil, Serbia, Switzerland and Cameroon, in Lusail on 6th December.
  • Quarter-finals: The winner of Match 55 , which is played between the winner of Group F (Belgium, Canada, Morocco or Croatia) and the Group E runners-up (Spain, Germany, Japan or Costa Rica).
  • Semi-finals: The winner of Match 59 which will include one of the Group B or Group D winners, or runners-up from Group C or A. Involved in these groups are the likes of England, France, Netherlands, Senegal, Argentina, Mexico and Denmark.

If Portugal qualify from Group H

  • If Portugal finish second in Group H, they will go to the other side of the bracket.
  • Last 16: The winners of Group G in Doha on 5th December.
  • Quarter-finals: The winner of Match 53, played between Group E winners and Group F runners-up.
  • Semi-finals: The winner of Match 57, which could include the Group A or C winners, or runners-up from Group D or B as listed above.

Portugal will be a team that many associate with major tournaments but the Iberian nation have only become regulars at the World Cup this decade.

In their first appearance in 1966, a Eusebio-inspired Portugal made it all the way to the semi-finals where they were beaten by eventual winners England but they couldn’t build on it, not qualifying again until 1986. There was another break after, this time 16 years, but Portugal have now been at every World Cup since 2002.

However, they have only made it past the round of 16 once in that run, reaching the semi-finals in 2006 and finishing fourth overall – with two group stage exits in 2002 and 2014.

Portugal’s previous World Cup finishes




Third place


Group Stage


Group Stage


Fourth Place


Round of 16


Group Stage


Round of 16

Portugal Golden Boot odds

Of course, Cristiano Ronaldo is Portugal’s main favourite to win the World Cup Golden Boot, though he is a slight outside at 10/1. The 37-year-old is the highest scoring man in international football history, netting 117 goals in 188 appearances for Portugal, and has scored in nine consecutive major tournaments (not including Nations League or Confederations Cup).

2022 World Cup Golden Boot favourites

Player Paddy Power Betfair
Harry Kane 6/1 6/1
Kylian Mbappe 8/1 8/1
Karim Benzema 12/1 12/1
Neymar 12/1 12/1
Cristiano Ronaldo 14/1 14/1
Lionel Messi 16/1 16/1
Romelu Lukaku 18/1 18/1
Lautaro Martinez 25/1 25/1
Memphis Depay 25/1 25/1
Vinicius Jr 25/1 25/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (18:15, 14/09/2022).BeGambleAware.

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At the World Cup, Ronaldo has seven goals in total, four of which came in 2018 including a hat-trick in a 3-3 draw against Spain. Since the end of the 2018 World Cup, Ronaldo has scored 32 goals in 34 games.


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