Outright Odds

Poland odds: To win 2022 World Cup, how far will they go, top scorer and more

By Dean Smith

poland world cup odds

Published: 11:47, 3 August 2022 | Updated: 18:15, 9 August 2022

Poland will be eager to address their modest World Cup record of recent years when they travel to Qatar this winter.

The Poles recorded third-place finishes twice in the space of eight years; achieving the feat in West Germany and Spain in 1974 and 1982 respectively.

However, the Eagles have failed to progress beyond the group stage in any of their four appearances since.

Czeslaw Michniewicz will be desperate to inspire a change of fortunes in Qatar, but can they go all the way?

Poland to win 2022 World Cup odds

Poland are currently priced at 100/1 to win the 2022 World Cup.

It is safe to say that the Poles are not realistically expected to challenge for glory in Qatar. Their aforementioned recent record on the biggest stage certainly supports that.

2022 World Cup favourites

Nation Sky Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport   Nation Sky  Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport
Brazil 9/2 5/1 5/1   Poland 100/1 100/1 100/1
France 11/2 11/2 11/2   Serbia 100/1 100/1 100/1
England 6/1 13/2 13/2   USA 100/1 100/1 100/1
Argentina 15/2 13/2 13/2   Australia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Spain 15/2 15/2 15/2   Ecuador 150/1 125/1 125/1
Germany 9/1 9/1 9/1   Cameroon 200/1 250/1 250/1
Belgium 14/1 11/1 11/1   Japan 250/1 250/1 250/1
Netherlands 12/1 12/1 12/1   South Korea 250/1 250/1 250/1
Portugal 14/1 12/1 12/1   Tunisia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Denmark 28/1 30/1 30/1   Ghana 250/1 250/1 250/1
Croatia 66/1 45/1 45/1   Morocco 250/1 200/1 200/1
Uruguay 40/1 45/1 45/1   Canada 250/1 200/1 200/1
Senegal 80/1 100/1 100/1   Iran 500/1 500/1 500/1
Switzerland 66/1 80/1 80/1   Qatar 500/1 250/1 250/1
Wales 100/1 150/1 150/1   Saudi Arabia 750/1 500/1 500/1
Mexico 100/1 100/1 100/1   Costa Rica 750/1 500/1 500/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (17:45, 09/08/2022).BeGambleAware.

Inspired by nine-goal Lewandowski, Poland finished second in qualifying Group I – six points behind England, who inflicted one of the two defeats they suffered along the way.

That meant a play-off showdown with Sweden in March, when Lewandowski was on target again in a 2-0 victory that booked their place in the finals.

Poland’s potential path to 2022 World Cup final

Placed in Pot 3, Poland have been handed one of the toughest draws in reigning Copa America winners Argentina.

Nevertheless, joined in Group C by Mexico and Saudi Arabia, they will fancy their chances of progressing in second place at the very least.

They launch their campaign against the Mexicans before taking on Saudi Arabia, and they will be eager to get points on the board by the time they conclude the group phase against Argentina.

Poland 2022 World Cup group stage fixtures

22 November 2022: Mexico vs Poland (4pm UK time)

26 November 2022: Poland vs Saudi Arabia (1pm UK time)

30 November 2022: Poland vs Argentina (7pm UK time)

If Poland win Group C

  • If Poland were to win Group C, this would be their route through to the final.
  • Last 16: The runners-up of Group D, which consists of France, Denmark, Tunisia or one of Peru, UAE and Australia, in Al Rayyan on 3rd December.
  • Quarter-finals: The winner of Match 49, which is played between the Group A winners (Qatar, Senegal, Netherlands and Ecuador) and the runners-up of Group B (England, USA, Iran and Scotland/Wales/Ukraine).
  • Semi-finals: The winner of Match 58, which will include one of the Group E or Group G winners, or runners-up from Group F or H. Involved in these groups are the likes of Spain, Germany, Belgium, Canada, Brazil, Ghana, Cameroon, Portugal and Uruguay.

If Poland qualify from Group C

  • If Poland finish second in Group C, they will go to the other side of the bracket.
  • Last 16: The winners of Group D in Doha on 4th December.
  • Quarter-finals: The winner of Match 51, played between Group B winners and Group A runners-up.
  • Semi-finals: The winner of Match 60, which could include the Group F or H winners, or runners-up from Group E or G as listed above.

Argentina’s previous World Cup finishes






First Round


Third Place


Second Group Stage


Third Place


Round of 16


Group Stage


Group Stage


Group Stage

Poland Golden Boot odds

This is likely to be Robert Lewandowski’s last crack at a World Cup. Indeed, the skipper will be 34 by the time the finals come around.

He is priced at 22/1 to leave Qatar with the Golden Boot.

2022 World Cup Golden Boot favourites

Player Paddy Power Betfair
Harry Kane 6/1 6/1
Romelu Lukaku 13/2 13/2
Kylian Mbappe 8/1 8/1
Neymar 17/2 17/2
Cristiano Ronaldo 10/1 10/1
Lionel Messi 11/1 11/1
Lautaro Martinez 11/1 11/1
Karim Benzema 12/1 12/1
Memphis Depay 12/1 12/1
Antoine Griezmann 17/1 17/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (17:45, 09/08/2022).BeGambleAware.

The Bayern Munich forward is his country’s most-capped player (129) and record scorer (75), but is yet to truly shine on the biggest stage of all.

After making his international debut in 2008, Lewandowski had to wait 10 years for his World Cup finals bow, but failed to register a single goal as the Poles bowed out in the group stages.

And he will be desperate to address that this time around.


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