Outright Odds

Iran odds: To win 2022 World Cup, how far will they go, top scorer and more

By Dean Smith

iran world cup odds

Published: 11:30, 3 August 2022

The 2022 World Cup will be Iran’s third consecutive appearance at the tournament and they will once again be looking for a first foray past the group stage.

Team Melli have actually been at the World Cup on three of the past four occasions, excluding 2022, but have only managed one win, finishing bottom of their group twice.

The past two World Cups came under Carlos Queiroz’s stewardship but the former Manchester United assistant left in 2019 and was replaced by Marc Wilmots. But the former Belgium manager had Iran in a bad place and in danger of not qualifying for the World Cup until Dragan Skocic came in, steadied the ship, and saved their dreams.

So can they make it to the knockout stages?

Iran to win 2022 World Cup odds

You can find Iran at 500/1 to win the tournament this winter.

Of course Iran aren’t going to be favoured to win the World Cup, given the stature of teams at the tournament and how many others are favoured on knowledge alone.

2022 World Cup favourites

Nation Sky Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport   Nation Sky  Bet Paddy Power 888 Sport
Brazil 9/2 5/1 5/1   Poland 100/1 100/1 100/1
France 11/2 11/2 11/2   Serbia 100/1 100/1 100/1
England 6/1 13/2 13/2   USA 100/1 100/1 100/1
Argentina 15/2 8/1 8/1   Australia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Spain 15/2 8/1 8/1   Ecuador 150/1 125/1 125/1
Germany 9/1 9/1 9/1   Cameroon 200/1 250/1 250/1
Belgium 14/1 11/1 11/1   Japan 250/1 250/1 250/1
Netherlands 12/1 12/1 12/1   South Korea 250/1 250/1 250/1
Portugal 14/1 12/1 12/1   Tunisia 500/1 425/1 400/1
Denmark 28/1 25/1 25/1   Ghana 250/1 250/1 250/1
Croatia 50/1 45/1 45/1   Morocco 250/1 200/1 200/1
Uruguay 40/1 50/1 50/1   Canada 500/1 200/1 200/1
Senegal 80/1 80/1 80/1   Iran 500/1 500/1 500/1
Switzerland 66/1 80/1 80/1   Qatar 500/1 250/1 250/1
Wales 80/1 150/1 150/1   Saudi Arabia 750/1 500/1 500/1
Mexico 100/1 100/1 100/1   Costa Rica 750/1 500/1 500/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (13:30, 21/06/2022).BeGambleAware.

Iran were one of the top seeds for the second round of AFC qualifying for the World Cup and were placed in a group alongside Arab rivals Iraq and Bahrain as well as Hong Kong and Cambodia. Things were extremely close at the top of Group C and two defeats to Iraq and Bahrain could have derailed Iran’s campaign. However, they managed to win their six other games to finish one point clear at the top of the group, three points clear of third-placed Bahrain who missed out.

The third round was much better and Iran only dropped four points from their 10 games to top Group A, two points clear of second-placed South Korea with both sides qualifying for the World Cup.

Iran’s potential path to 2022 World Cup final

Placed quite highly at 21st in the world at the time of the draw, Iran were put in Pot 3 for the World Cup group stage and had to wait a while to see their name pulled.

But when it was, a tough group was handed to Iran, alongside England and USA – with the winner of the European play-off (Wales) completing the foursome.

Iran kick off their World Cup group stage on the opening day of the tournament against England, before games against Wales and then USA. The games will be split between Al Rayyan and Doha.

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Iran 2022 World Cup group stage fixtures

21 November 2022: England vs Iran (1pm UK time)

25 November 2022: Wales vs Iran (10am UK time)

29 November 2022: Iran vs USA (7pm UK time)

If Iran win Group B

  • If Iran were to win Group B, this would be their route through to the final, with no complications as only the top two sides go through.
  • Last 16: The runners-up of Group A, which consists of Qatar, Ecuador, Senegal and Netherlands, in Al Khor on 4th December.
  • Quarter-finals: The winner of Match 52 , which is played between the winner of Group D (France, Denmark, Tunisia and Australia) and the Group C runners-up (Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Mexico and Poland)
  • Semi-finals: The winner of Match 60 which will include one of the Group F or Group H winners, or runners-up from Group E or G. Involved in these groups are the likes of Spain, Germany, Belgium, Canada, Brazil, Cameroon, Portugal and Uruguay.

If Iran qualify from Group B

  • If Iran finish second in Group B, they will go to the other side of the bracket.
  • Last 16: The winners of Group A in Al Rayyan on 3rd December.
  • Quarter-finals: The winner of Match 50, played between Group C winners and Group D runners-up.
  • Semi-finals: The winner of Match 58, which could include the Group E or G winners, or runners-up from Group F or H.

As mentioned, Iran have bowed out of the group stage in each of their five previous appearances at the World Cup, starting with their debut in 1978. Back then, there were two group stages so Iran’s appearance came in the first round, but they bowed out bottom below Peru, Netherlands and Scotland.

They had to wait 20 years for their next appearance, and first World Cup win, beating USA in France but still finishing third in their group. The next three appearances brought just one more win across nine games, beating Morocco in Russia.

Iran’s previous World Cup finishes





First Round


Group Stage


Group Stage


Group Stage


Group Stage

Iran Golden Boot odds

Mehdi Taremi is the main star of the Iranian attack in terms of known goalscorers, and the Porto striker is Iran’s favourite to finish as Golden Boot winner, with odds of 250/1 with Paddy Power.

The 29-year-old starred for Porto last season as they won the Primeira Liga title, netting 20 goals across the campaign with only Darwin Nunez managing more. He has also stepped up in recent appearances for Iran, scoring in four of his past six appearances which all came in qualifying for the World Cup.

2022 World Cup Golden Boot favourites

Player Paddy Power Betfair
Harry Kane 6/1 6/1
Romelu Lukaku 13/2 13/2
Kylian Mbappe 8/1 8/1
Neymar 17/2 17/2
Cristiano Ronaldo 10/1 10/1


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