Outright Odds

Georgia odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats & full squad

By Mohamed Moallim

Published: 14:00, 7 April 2024 | Updated: 15:35, 22 April 2024

History will be made this summer when Georgia makes their inaugural major tournament appearance.

In their 15th attempt as an independent nation since the Soviet Union broke up, the Crusaders successfully navigated the Euro 2024 playoffs, overcoming Luxembourg and Greece on penalties.

However, they arrive in Germany as firm underdogs. Still, the spirit they’ve shown under Willy Sagnol’s leadership suggests enough talent within Georgia’s set-up that an upset—at least in the group phase—is possible.

Latest Georgia odds to win Euro 2024

Betting Market Odds Probability
Georgia to win Euro 2024 750/1 with BetVictor 0.1%
Georgia to reach Euro 2024 semi-finals 100/1 with BetVictor 1%
Georgia to win Group F 16/1 with Bet365 5.9
Khvicha Kvaratskheliato win Golden Boot 50/1 with Bet365 2.0%

Georgia route to the Euro 2024 final in Berlin

Group stage fixtures

  • Turkey (18 June 2024, 5pm, Westfalenstadion)
  • Czech Republic (22 June 2024, 2pm, Volksparkstadion)
  • Portugal  (26 June 2024, 8pm, Arena AufSchalke)

Georgia potential knockout stage opponents

Should Georgia win Group F, they will face off against a third-best-ranked team from either Group A, B, or C in the Round of 16. A triumph in the first knockout phase will set them up for a potential quarter-final match with the Netherlands. If they continue to win, Georgia will likely face Spain or Germany in the semi-finals, with a possible final meeting with France in Berlin.

Georgia key players for this year’s European Championship

Georgia top Euros Golden Boot contender: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

  • Key stat: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (15) is third on Georgia’s all-time top scorers list behind Temur Ketsbaia (17) and Shota Arveladze (26)

There is no question who Gerogia’s most standout player is and, in essence, their biggest goalscoring threat. Since joining Napoli from Dinamo Batumi, the 23-year-old Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has scored 24 goals in 81 appearances while finishing as his nation’s leading scorer in their historic European Championship qualifying campaign with four goals. So far this season, he’s netted ten goals in a disappointing title defence. Kvaratskhelia, nevertheless, is two behind last season’s tally, and he should comfortably surpass that with a handful of matches remaining.

Georgia primary playmaker: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

  • Key stat: No one representing Georgia has created more chances across Europe’s big five leagues than Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (50).

If a term could describe Kvaratskhelia, it’s a dual threat. He can seamlessly find the net, and Georgia’s most valuable player is also a creative machine. He was Serie A’s number-one playmaker during his debut season with 13 assists, though it’s a paltry four in the follow-up campaign. However, no international teammate has produced more across Europe’s big five leagues, and the Tiflis native was their creator-in-chief during the Euro 2024 qualifying phase (three assists).

Georgia card magnets & top tacklers: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

  • Key stat: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia commits 0.70 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A this season.

It may seem Georgia is a one-man team, but that’s not the case. It’s just that Kvaratskhelia loves playing for his national team. He is here, there, and everywhere, subsequently completing the set by finishing their qualification program with a joint-high three yellow cards alongside Budu Zivzivadze and Guram Kashia. Across Europe’s big five leagues, no one has collected more bookings than Napoli’s architect, though Giorgi Aburjania has committed an equal number of fouls (17).

Georgia rising star: Georges Mikautadze

An impressive showing at Metz earned Georges Mikautadze a lucrative move to Ajax last summer, but opportunities for the Georgian marksman were lost in the chaos at the Amsterdam club. He’s since returned to France on loan, and in a stop-start league campaign, he’s currently producing three assists from ten chances to go with his five goals. Mikautadze, who turns 24 after Euro 2024 concludes, has already won 22 international caps, and he’s one strike away from reaching double digits in terms of goals.

Georgia set-piece specialists

  • Penalties: Georges Mikautadze
  • Free kicks: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • Corners: Levan Shengelia

Georgia tactical analysis and formation

Georgia team stats from qualifying (average per game):

  • Corners in qualifying: 2.1
  • Corners conceded: 5.4
  • Shots on target: 3.1
  • Shots on target conceded: 5
  • Offsides: 1

Since being appointed Georgia manager in February 2021, the former Bayern Munich defender Willy Sagnol has presided over 33 matches, winning 16 of those contests. He’s used 48 players, nine of whom have featured in 20 or more games. Guram Kashia has been the most present, having appeared in all but three matches. When setting his players up, Sagnol began with a back four before gradually settling into a back three. This system is more conducive to a Georgia side that won’t see much possession and will rely on their speedy players for swift counters.

Even when utilising three in defence, Sagnol has alternated between adopting a two-man attack (eight games) and deploying a single centre forward supported by two wingers (12 games). However, the Crusader’s six most recent internationals have seen him go with the former, with 3-5-2 as the preferred choice as they head into a historic tournament debut. This formation includes their most impressive forward options: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Georges Mikautadze and Giorgi Chakvetadze.

Georgia latest squad

PLAYER NAME POSITION AGE CLUB
Giorgi Loria Goalkeeper 38 Dinamo Tbilisi
Giorgi Mamardashvili Goalkeeper 23 Valencia
Luka Gugeshashvili Goalkeeper 24 Qarabağ
Otar Kakabadze Defender 28 Cracovia
Lasha Dvali Defender 28 APOEL
Guram Kashia Defender 36 Slovan Bratislava
Solomon Kvirkvelia Defender 32 Al-Okhdood
Giorgi Gocholeishvili Defender 23 Shakhtar Donetsk
Luka Lochoshvili Defender 25 Cremonese
Giorgi Gvelesiani Defender 33 Persepolis
Vladimer Mamuchashvili Defender 26 Dinamo Batumi
Saba Sazonov Defender 22 Torino
Giorgi Kochorashvili Midfielder 24 Levante
Zuriko Davitashvili Midfielder 23 Bordeaux
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder 24 Watford
Nika Kvekveskiri Midfielder 31 Lech Poznań
Otar Kiteishvili Midfielder 28 Sturm Graz
Sandro Altunashvili Midfielder 26 Wolfsberger AC
Levan Shengelia Midfielder 28 Panetolikos
Jaba Kankava Midfielder 38 Slovan Bratislava
Giorgi Tsitaishvili Midfielder 23 Dinamo Batumi
Anzor Mekvabishvili Midfielder 22 Universitatea Craiova
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Forward 23 Napoli
Budu Zivzivadze Forward 30 Karlsruher SC
Giorgi Kvilitaia Forward 30 APOEL
Georges Mikautadze Forward 23 Metz

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