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Czech Republic odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats & full squad

By Harry Edwards

Czech Republic odds to win Euro 2024: Probability, path to final, tactics, stats & full squad

Published: 8:59, 29 March 2024

Czech Republic continue their run at the European Championships with an eighth successive appearance.

Since first taking part as Czech Republic in 1996, the nation have been ever-present at the European Championships, with mixed success. They finished as runners-up in their first tournament, and have reached the semi-finals and quarter-finals twice.

However, sandwiched in between each of those knockout round appearances were group stage exits. Last time out it was a quarter-final run, and they have a tough group, but qualification as one of the best third-placed teams could be secured. But to go all the way seems a step too far, with Czech Republic given a 0.66% chance to lifting the trophy.

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Latest Czech Republic odds to win Euro 2024

Betting Market Odds Probability
Czech Republic to win Euro 2024 150/1 by BetMGM 0.66%
Czech Republic to reach Euro 2024 semi-finals 12/1 by Sky Bet 7.7%
Czech Republic to win Group F 7/1 by BoyleSports 12.5%
Patrik Schick to win Golden Boot 50/1 by Bet365 2.0%

Czech Republic route to the Euro 2024 final in Berlin

Group stage fixtures

  • Portugal (18 June 2024, 8pm, Red Bull Arena)
  • Georgia (22 June 2024, 2pm, Volksparkstadion)
  • Turkey (26 June 2024, 8pm, Volksparkstadion)

Czech Republic’s potential knockout stage opponents

Czech Republic’s best chance of qualification will probably be as one of the best third-placed teams, with tough opposition in Portugal and Turkey in the group. That already complicates things slightly, but Czech Republic would face the winner of Group B or C — throwing in the likes of Spain or England. Then, depending on the route, Czech Republic could have a path of Germany, Portugal and finally France; or a path of Italy, Belgium and then Germany.

Czech Republic key players for this year’s European Championship

Czech Republic top Euros Golden Boot contender: Patrik Schick

  • Key stat: Patrik Schick has averaged 2.92 shots per 90 minutes in the Bundesliga this season.

Patrik Schick has had restricted minutes for Bayer Leverkusen this season, having started the campaign out injured. But he’s popped up with some crucial goals. Most notably in the Europa League, Schick is the reason Bayer Leverkusen are still unbeaten, with a late equaliser in the first leg of their last 16 tie against Qarabag, before another late equaliser and even later winner in the return fixture.

In the Bundesliga, Schick has also scored what turned out to be the winning goal against Freiburg in a 3-2 win and a hat-trick vs Bochum. Four goals in 708 minutes, Schick is averaging 0.51 goals per 90 in the Bundesliga, from 2.92 shots. Schick missed all of qualifying for the Euro through injury but did score five goals in five games at Euro 2020 as Czech Republic made it to the quarter-finals.

Czech Republic primary playmaker: Michal Sadilek

  • Key stat: Michal Sadilek has created 42 chances in the Eredivisie this season.

Vladimir Coufal would be high in contention for this spot but his place at the Euros will be in doubt, having been sent home in the final international break of 2023 for breaking team rules — and not being called up in March. Instead, Michal Sadilek may be one of the men Czech Republic rely on.

Although Sadilek wasn’t one of the eight players to provide an assist in qualifying for Euro 2024, the midfielder is doing pretty well in the Eredivisie this season. Plying his trade with Twente, Sadilek has created 42 chances so far this season, at an average of 1.79 per 90 minutes. His two assists is a little low, but that could be attributed to poor finishing rather than Sadilek himself, who has an Expected Assist tally of 4.37.

Czech Republic card magnets & top tacklers: Tomas Soucek

  • Key stat: Tomas Soucek made 15 tackles in eight games in Euro 2024 qualifying.

The main man of the Czech Republic midfield, it feels as though their hopes depend on the performance of Tomas Soucek. Although he gets among the goals at crucial times, Soucek is also a rock defensively. During Czech Republic’s qualifying campaign, Soucek made 15 tackles, more than any of his teammates. He also committed a team-high 14 fouls with one yellow card.

It’s a similar story in the Premier League for West Ham this season. The Hammers midfielder has made 36 tackles alongside 32 fouls committed and five yellow cards. Per 90 minutes, that averages out to 1.45 tackles and 1.29 fouls, stopping play at crucial moments.

Czech Republic rising star: Matej Jurasek

There were a couple of younger players in Czech Republic’s latest squad, with the youngest being Matej Jurasek — who won’t turn 21 until after this summer’s tournament. He made his Czech Republic debut in the March international break, coming off the bench in the second half of their 2-1 win over Armenia, and can play across the front line. For Slavia Prague this season, Jurasek has four goals and one assist in 16 games in the league, but he’s also scored in the Europa League, netting against AC Milan.

Czech Republic set-piece specialists

  • Penalties: Tomas Soucek
  • Free kicks: Tomas Holes
  • Corners: David Jurasek

Czech Republic tactical analysis and formation

Czech Republic team stats from qualifying (average per game):

  • Corners: 5.1
  • Shots on target: 5.1
  • Shots on target conceded: 2.4
  • Offsides: 2.25

Although they have flirted with a back four at times, Czech Republic mainly set up in a back three, and will do so at the Euros especially with Turkey and Portugal two of their opponents. There will be questions about who makes it into Czech Republic’s squad, especially with some big names frozen out at the moment. So in the recent break we saw three inexperienced goalkeepers, of which Jindrich Stanek has the most caps and is the oldest, so might be first-choice.

At the back, Tomas Holes and David Zima are the most certain centre-back starters, with Ladislav Krejci a potential to join them. The midfield two pretty much pick themselves with Tomas Soucek and Michal Sadilek a good duo, capable of holding and being creative. Soucek will be the bigger goal threat from the midfield. At wing-back, Coufal will hope to have a chance, but if he is left out, David Doudera is a capable deputy, with David Jurasek on the left.

Then, up front, Patrik Schick leads the line alongside Adam Hlozek with Antonin Barak behind, should Czech Republic opt for a narrow front three.

Czech Republic’s latest squad

Jindrich Stanek Goalkeeper 27 Slavia Prague
Vitezslav Jaros Goalkeeper 22 Sturm Graz
Matej Kovar Goalkeeper 23 Bayer Leverkusen
Tomas Holes Defender 30 Slavia Prague
David Zima Defender 23 Slavia Prague
Jaroslav Zeleny Defender 31 Sparta Prague
Ladislav Krejci Defender 24 Sparta Prague
David Doudera Defender 25 Slavia Prague
David Jurasek Defender 23 Hoffenheim
Adam Gabriel Defender 23 Midtjylland
Robin Hranac Defender 24 Viktoria Plzen
Tomas Vlcek Defender 23 Slavia Prague
Tomas Soucek Midfielder 29 West Ham
Antonin Barak Midfielder 29 Fiorentina
Michal Sadilek Midfielder 24 Twente
Lukas Provod Midfielder 27 Slavia Prague
Ondrej Lingr Midfielder 25 Feyenoord
Matej Jurasek Midfielder 20 Slavia Prague
Pavel Sulc Midfielder 23 Viktoria Plzen
Patrik Schick Forward 28 Bayer Leverkusen
Adam Hlozek Forward 21 Bayer Leverkusen
Mojmir Chytil Forward 24 Slavia Prague
Tomas Chory Forward 29 Viktoria Plzen

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