Outright Odds

Championship 2023/24 relegation odds, predictions and tips

By Dean Smith

Published: 13:00, 14 February 2024

As we enter the final quarter of the 2023/24 Championship season, the relegation battle is a tight one — for most clubs.

Of course, everyone will want to be looking up the table towards the Premier League especially with an extremely close play-off battle with just four points separating sixth and 11th. But below that, some teams may have to get used to looking over their shoulders at the bottom three.

There are just seven points between the final relegation spot and 15th, and a few teams above that could even be dragged into the battle if they don’t turn things around. The question is, who is involved in the battle, and how likely are they go be relegated come the end of the season?

Championship Relegation odds

*Odds correct as of 13:00 on February 14

Who could be relegated from the Championship?


It feels like the clock is ticking on Rotherham’s stay in the Championship. Rotherham were one of a few teams to just about do enough to secure safety last season, and there will have been hope for a more comfortable campaign this time around. But after 31 games played, Rotherham have managed just three wins. They’ve lost 18 games, have the worst defence and the second-worst attack. And the gap has been widened, with Rotherham now 12 points from safety and even seven below the team directly above them. Matt Taylor was sacked in November and replaced by Leam Richardson, but the change hasn’t worked.

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Sheffield Wednesday

Despite having to come up through the play-offs in the end, Wednesday had a really strong League One season, scoring 96 points. However, Darren Moore left over the club for reasons never fully explained and new man Xisco Munoz just about made it to October. He was replaced by Danny Rohl, but that appointment hasn’t really worked either. Wednesday are in the relegation zone having lost 30 of their 32 league games, the most in the Championship. The Owls are five points from safety but have played a game more than the teams around them.

Queens Park Rangers

QPR have been flirting with relegation for a few seasons now and this could be the year they finally do succumb to the long battle. The London side are currently 22nd, on the edge of the relegation zone but only two points from safety. Not too long ago QPR were 23rd, but they have lifted themselves up slightly thanks to a four-game unbeaten run which includes victories over Millwall and Blackburn. A draw with Huddersfield did themselves no harm, but also no real favours, while QPR should be commended for their 2-2 draw with play-off chasing Norwich. The ship has been steadied by Marti Cifuentes, but there is still a lot of work to be done.


The team directly above QPR and safe at the moment are Huddersfield, who are on their third manager of the season. After a tough start, Neil Warnock resigned in September to be replaced almost immediately by Darren Moore. But the former Sheffield Wednesday manager won just three of his 22 Championship games in charge, losing eight with 11 draws. A draw against QPR, which saw Huddersfield miss the chance to move clear of the relegation zone, proved to be the final straw for Moore. He’s been replaced by Jon Worthington in a caretaker role, with one win and one loss so far.


As mentioned, there are six points between QPR in 22nd and Plymouth in 15th, and any of the seven teams in that group could go down. Stoke, Millwall, Birmingham, Swansea, Blackburn and Plymouth are all looking over their shoulders right now, and all have changed managers this season.

Of that group, Millwall were the first to pull the trigger, replacing Gary Rowett with Joe Edwards. Michael Duff was next, sacked by Swansea, who brought in Luke Williams. Then came Alex Neil’s departure from Stoke, with Steven Schumacher leaving Plymouth to move to the Bet365.

Of course, that meant Plymouth had to find a new boss, with Ian Foster coming in. Wayne Rooney was sacked by Birmingham after a disastrous stay, before Darren Moore left Huddersfield and John Eustace replaced Jon Dahl Tomasson at Blackburn.


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