Why Football Index traders might want to keep an eye on Jose Mourinho’s next move

By Squawka News

Published: 16:28, 15 November 2019 | Updated: 15:45, 20 November 2019

It’s almost been a year since Jose Mourinho was sacked by Manchester United.

Since then, the Portuguese has been linked with several returns to management but he continues to bide his time, waiting for the right job to come up.

The likes of Lyon and Benfica were not deemed good enough for the former Chelsea and Real Madrid boss, according to reports, but Mourinho’s name is now being mentioned surrounding the vacant Bayern Munich role following Niko Kovac’s departure.

Some traders of Football Index may see little use in paying attention to Mourinho’s movements, given the stock market’s focus on players. But we all know a change of management at certain clubs can bring the best out of players, or the worst on some occasions.

And this could conceivably affect a player’s share price on the Football Index, as Craig Rennie, of Football Index Elite, explains.

He told Squawka: “The perfect recent example of this is Frank Lampard’s appointment at Chelsea, which saw many of the Chelsea youth players see significant rises, perhaps also influenced by their transfer embargo.

“Lampard kept faith in former Derby loanee Mason Mount, who has enjoyed a rich vein of form since returning to Stamford Bridge and has seen his value increase from £1.81 to a high of £4.07 in the last six months.

“Lampard has also shown faith in Abraham, Tomori and Reece James, to name a few, and as a result of this, I have personally looked into the next breed of youth coming through at Chelsea. Conor Gallagher (£1.51), who is on loan at Charlton, and Billy Gilmour (£1.63) could be two players to keep a close eye on.”

Another example of this came with Mourinho at Manchester United. The Portuguese tactician was the one to bring Paul Pogba back to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016, but the pair fell out as time went on and this often seemed to have a negative impact on the Frenchman’s performances.

Rennie continues: “Paul Pogba is another who seems to be influenced by the manager. It was clear he didn’t want to play under Jose Mourinho and although their public disputes were great for winning media dividends, Pogba’s on-field performances were poor, to say the least.

“The arrival of Solskjaer seemed to spark life back into Pogba, and he enjoyed his best spell at Utd in the first few games under his new reign. What has happened since is anyone’s guess!”

Aside from Bayern Munich, Mourinho is also being linked with a return to the Premier League with Arsenal. The Gunners have struggled to find an identity since Unai Emery replaced Arsene Wenger in 2018.

Another year of Europa League due to poor performances on the pitch, but there have also been off-field problems surrounding the Gunners. Arsenal are on their second permanent captain of the season after Granit Xhaka was stripped of the armband for an exchange with Gunners fans, having only been given the role permanently in September.

His replacement, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, has also received some negative press recently for his links to YouTube channel AFTV. All of this leaves Emery’s future no less uncertain.

“With all the uncertainty surrounding Unai Emery’s Arsenal future, what could this mean for certain players values?” Rennie added.

“Could Mourinho return to the Premier League and take over at Arsenal? Would this get the best out of Mesut Ozil? Could he nurture the Arsenal youth players to become real stars?

“With the likes of Guendouzi, Saka, Emile Smith-Rowe, Reiss Nelson, Martinelli and potential stars like Pepe all in the squad, the uncertainty could be used to your advantage when making trades in the Football Index.”

Is Mourinho a ruthless manager?

Any Football Index users following Mourinho’s situation closely may want to take a look at the Portuguese manager’s previous record when taking charge of new clubs.

A ruthless boss, Mourinho has never shied away from swinging his axe upon arrival, with some big names falling foul.

At Manchester United, Memphis Depay and Morgan Schneiderlin were all allowed to leave having been excluded from Mourinho’s plans. United fans now look back on the Depay sale with regret, as the Lyon forward has found form for club and country.

Mourinho also saw the likes of Will Keane, Tyler Blackett, Paddy McNair and Donald Loves all leave for small fees after struggling to prove themselves having come through the club’s academy. As Chelsea fans, in particular, will know, Mourinho does not have the best track record when it comes to young players. His return to Chelsea in 2013/14 saw Kevin De Bruyne sold to Wolfsburg in January 2014, a move that has since come back to haunt the club following his growth.

It is not just your younger player shares at risk should Mourinho show up at their current clubs, however. Former Chelsea fan favourite Juan Mata was frozen out and eventually allowed to join United, having been a key member of the Blues’ Champions League and Europa League-winning sides in 2012 and 2013. Mourinho, himself, has also admitted regret over his initial treatment of Bastian Schweinsteiger at Old Trafford. The Germany World Cup winner of 2014 wasn’t given a single senior top-flight appearance in his final United season by the man who replaced Louis van Gaal.

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