The January transfer window is almost upon us, which means clubs across the world will soon be dipping into their wallets and strengthening their squads.
It also means Football Index traders will be on the lookout for players to buy shares in as prices rise and fall ahead of the window opening.
We spoke to Craig Rennie from Football Index Elite to find out more about how January affects traders.
Timing is everything
Just about every transfer begins as a rumour, and many football fans are knowledgeable enough to separate the truth from the fluff.
This can be crucial for traders, because if a reliable rumour is picked up on early, it can result in some significant gains.
“The most important thing is timing,” says Craig. “Finding good sources for transfer rumours and speculation is key, although every other punter is looking for the same stories.
“If you pick up a rumour early enough you can see big rises in a short period of time.”
RB Salzburg are one to watch
Traders who were quick to believe rumours of Liverpool’s interest in Takumi Minamino have been handsomely rewarded for their faith.
The Premier League leaders have now confirmed a deal for Minamino, who saw weekly rise of 139% before the move even happened. But fear not if you missed out; Craig suggests keeping an eye on RB Salzburg’s other stars, especially Erling Braut Haaland.
“Fortunately I picked up my first shares in Haaland before he scored nine goals for Norway in the U20s World Cup back in the summer for a mere 90p,” Craig says. “I have been a huge fan of his since and have topped up my shares on him over the last few months.
“His current value is £4.46 and likely to increase further with all the hype. With Man Utd, RB Leipzig, Juventus and a host of other clubs keen on his signature, I feel this is likely to be the big story during the window.
“Salzburg have a number of other talents at their disposal and it could pay to keep an eye on some of them: Patson Daka, Dominik Szoboszlai, Enock Mwepu, Antoine Bernede, Hwang Hee-Chan and Sekou Koita to name a few.”
Where else to look
Of course, RB Salzburg aren’t the only club who will be losing star players this January. Even Manchester City could see a big name depart.
Indeed, Craig advises keeping a close eye on Leroy Sane’s situation at the Etihad. Despite currently being sidelined by injury, rumours of a move to Bayern Munich won’t go away. “Sane has seen a 26p rise in price over the last seven days despite his lack of game time,” Craig reveals before suggesting Sane’s potential exit could force City into the market for a replacement in the shape of Jadon Sancho.
He adds: “Sancho has been in fine form over the last few weeks and has attracted many admirers from the Premier League’s elite, although I feel a summer transfer is more likely for the young Englishman. Sancho has seen a weekly rise of 48p due to his form and possible media attention.”
Chelsea have also been linked with Sancho, and Craig thinks the Blues are worth following as January approaches.
“Of course Chelsea’s transfer ban has also been lifted,” he says, “and with their recent poor run of form they could bring in reinforcements, with potential candidates being Callum Wilson, Ben Chilwell or perhaps Wilfried Zaha.
“Whatever happens in January, one thing is for certain: a lot of money will be traded on transfer rumours within the Index.”
You have to be 18+ to gamble. For more information, go to BeGambleAware.org. Player prices accurate at the time of writing (18:00, 19/12/2019).