Fantasy Football

FPL best forward picks: A key differential striker identified

By Andrew Francis

Published: 10:45, 29 September 2023

Which strikers should you be picking to lead your line this weekend? We’ve looked at the numbers ahead of Gameweek 7. 

Using our new FPL rating system — Squawka Score — we are providing you with our top recommendations for selection heading into Gameweek 7.

What is Squawka Score? You can learn more about how we devised our fantasy football ranking system here.

Best FPL forwards
Top forward pick for Gameweek 7
Best cheap forwards for Gameweek 7
Best forwards with easy fixtures

Alvarez preferred to Haaland

Here are the top 10 Premier League forwards based on their FPL Squawka Score from the 2023 calendar year.

Player FPL Squawka Score 23/24 Team 23/24 FPL Price
Julian Alvarez 79% Man City 7.0
Erling Haaland 76% Man City 14.1
Callum Wilson 72% Newcastle 7.8
Darwin Nunez 71% Liverpool 7.4
Gabriel Jesus 68% Arsenal 7.9
Cody Gakpo 63% Liverpool 7.3
Ollie Watkins 63% Aston Villa 7.9
Alexander Isak 62% Newcastle 7.6
Danny Welbeck 59% Brighton 5.8
Eddie Nketiah 59% Arsenal 5.5

Ollie or Gabby as the best mid-priced striker?

In our Differential Duel feature, we look for a player who scores well on our system but is not being selected by most FPL managers.

We will then pit that player against a comparable asset who is being widely selected and it’s on you to make the all-important final decision.

Ahead of Gameweek 7, we’ll be taking a closer look at Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins (17.5%) and Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus (3.4%).

Both players are available at the same price (£7.9m) but there is a huge difference in ownership percentage. As you can see below their per90 stats aren’t too different either.

So why switch? Arsenal have a nice run of fixtures coming up and you can get ahead of the game with owning Jesus before he starts to fire them in for the Gunners.

Could a switch from the Midlands to North London see you pick up some key differential point?

Here’s how their per 90 stats from 2022/23 compare on our Comparison Matrix

Brighton Duo key cheaper options

We have run the numbers from 2023 through our Squawka Score super computer to find some budget forwards ahead of Gameweek 6.

Here are our recommendations.

The best 5.5 picks for 23/24 FPL

  1. Eddie Nketiah, Arsenal (59%)
  2. Joao Pedro, Brighton (55%)
  3. Carlton Morris, Luton (49%)

The best 6.0 picks for 23/24 FPL

  1. Danny Welbeck, Brighton (59%)
  2. Evan Ferguson, Brighton (54%)
  3. Yoane Wissa, Brentford (47%)

Alvarez to put feast against Wolves

You more than likely have a pretty good idea of who you want leading your line this weekend, but we have one more factor for you to take into consideration.

Combining the numbers on the FPL’s official Fixture Difficulty Rating (FDR) with our Squawka Score system, we have determined below the best forwards to pick from each club with what is considered an ‘easy’ match this Gameweek.

Team Top pick FPL Squawka Score 23/24 FPL Price
Arsenal Gabriel Jesus 68% 7.9
Brentford Yoane Wissa 47% 6.0
Burnley Jay Rodriguez 34% 5.3
Chelsea Nicolas Jackson 58% 7.0
Everton Beto 47% 6.0
Luton Carlton Morris 49% 5.5
Man City Julian Alvarez 79% 7.0
Man United Anthony Martial 44% 6.5
Newcastle Callum Wilson 72% 7.8
West Ham Michail Antonio 30% 5.9