Football Features

Who makes the final cut? Ratings and odds for England’s 33-man Euro 2020 squad

By Muhammad Butt

Published: 16:27, 27 May 2021

England’s 33-man provisional squad for Euro 2020 is set, but which of the players will make the final 26?

Unlike other managers, Gareth Southgate has given himself a week of training with his squad before deciding on his final group, which means that seven players from his long list will be culled. The question then becomes: which seven?

We’ve had a look at every member of England’s provisional squad and rated them ‘safe’ or ‘at-risk’ to make the cut, based on our opinion.

Who falls where, and what are their odds of making Southgate’s final selection (via Sky Bet)? Read on and find out!

Odds in this article are correct at the time of writing (26/05/21, 6pm). 18+ only,

Goalkeepers: Aaron Ramsdale to miss out?

Dean Henderson (1/20): Manchester United’s new No. 1 should be fine as he contends with Jordan Pickford to start. That’s a battle he probably won’t win, but he’s definitely ‘on the plane’. SAFE

Sam Johnstone (1/12): Johnstone has been the beneficiary of Nick Pope’s injury and should just about sneak into the squad as third-choice despite getting relegated with West Brom. AT-RISK

Jordan Pickford (1/50): England’s No. 1 should retain his spot. Whether or not he deserves to is another matter. SAFE

Aaron Ramsdale (3/1): A second relegation in two seasons, Ramsdale has been unlucky for Sheffield United, but he’s lucky to be in the squad. Barring injury he’ll be headed home in a week. AT-RISK

Defenders: Will Trent Alexander-Arnold make the squad?

Trent Alexander-Arnold (2/5): One of the very best right-backs in the world, Alexander-Arnold would start for basically every country on the planet (except for France and Portugal, perhaps) but Southgate is apparently not a fan of the young man with more Premier League assists (32) than anyone besides Kevin De Bruyne (34) since the start of 2018/19. So don’t count on him going. Somehow. AT-RISK

Ben Chilwell (1/50): Chilwell would have started for England had the tournament taken place a year ago, and if anything he’s better now after a year playing for Chelsea, even though he won’t start anymore. SAFE

Conor Coady (1/8): England’s only sweeper is coming off a pretty poor season for Wolves and given that, and the fact that he can only really play in a back three, means he could miss out. AT-RISK

Ben Godfrey (7/4): The young Everton centre-back has been absolutely superb this season, even though the Toffees, as a whole, have disappointed. He could miss out purely down to a lack of seniority, but he could go too. AT-RISK

Reece James (4/6): One of Southgate’s favourites, James is a brilliant all-around full-back who can attack and defend in equal measure and can even play central defence in a back three. SAFE

Harry Maguire (1/12): England’s best defender may be an injury doubt but his leadership and quality both mean there is no way he doesn’t go, even if he’s unable to play all that much. SAFE

Tyrone Mings (1/20): Mings was a surprise inclusion in the squad until you think about it and realise that, as a powerful left-footer who is good in the air, he will be so important if Maguire is unable to play. SAFE

Luke Shaw (1/50): Luke Shaw has had a miracle season, coming from nowhere to be undisputed first-choice left-back for England. The ‘Luke Shawshank Redemption’ is almost complete! SAFE

John Stones (1/50): In another renaissance, John Stones has rediscovered his World Cup 2018 level of play and has been a key member of the Premier League-winning Man City defence. He not only goes, he starts. SAFE

Kieran Trippier (1/4): Trippier took a big risk moving to Atletico Madrid but it has paid off massively as he was a key member of the Diego Simeone side that powered their way to winning La Liga. He will have a huge chance to start, especially if England use wing-backs. SAFE

Kyle Walker (1/50): Walker started the season slowly, but has ended it in superb form as Man City won the Premier League. Now he is in contention to start for England at the Euros. He’s going. SAFE

Ben White (7/4): Like Godfrey, White has been superb for his club (better than superb, really – he’s been so solid for Brighton that there’s rumours Maguire has requested that Man Utd sign him) but his lack of seniority could see him miss out. AT-RISK

Midfielders: Jordan Henderson faces fitness race

Jude Bellingham (1/20): The 17-year-old has been seriously impressive for Borussia Dortmund this season and has worked his way into contention, but his youth means Southgate could axe him for now. AT-RISK

Jordan Henderson (1/20): The Liverpool captain is barely fit and has been barely fit all season but is such a colossal figure in terms of leadership and squad harmony that he is certain to go. SAFE

Jesse Lingard (1/25): ‘JLingz’ was a superb part of the 2018 World Cup side that made the semi-finals but struggled for years after that. However, a loan move to West Ham has resurrected him and his form has been absolutely unreal since joining the Irons. Given Southgate has always been fond of him, he’s highly likely to go. SAFE

Mason Mount (1/50): Frank Lampard loved him. Thomas Tuchel loves him. Gareth Southgate loves him. Even the fans are now starting to love him. He’s rinsed Fernandinho and Luka Modric. He’s in. SAFE

Kalvin Phillips (1/10): Leeds’ defensive midfield maestro is a superb talent, capable of a dazzling array of passes as well as being a capable ball-winner who has quickly earned Southgate’s trust. He’ll be there. SAFE

Declan Rice (1/50): West Ham’s superman, Declan Rice is Mount’s best friend and a rock solid defensive midfielder than Southgate has immense trust in. SAFE

James Ward-Prowse (1/4): Southampton’s set-piece supremo is another solid midfielder, able to defend and move the ball forward. Plus, of course, he can provide intense quality from set-pieces. SAFE

Forwards: No room for Mason Greenwood

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (1/33): Every good international squad needs a back-up striker and England have a formidable one in Dominic Calvert-Lewin. The Everton man is a different striker to Harry Kane, but with seven headers scored in the Premier League this season (more than anyone else) he would be a great Plan B. SAFE

Phil Foden (1/50): After years of holding him back and letting him develop away from the limelight, Pep Guardiola finally unleashed Phil Foden in 2021 and it has been incredible to see. He’s gone from nowhere to a guaranteed starter for Man City and probably so for England, too. SAFE

Jack Grealish (1/12): ‘Captain Jack’ was ignored by Southgate for the longest time, but he’s finally come around to appreciating the Midlands magician. No player can dribble, create and score with the same level of sauce as Grealish, and no England player has anything like the gravity he does. He might not start but he’s certain to go, and every game will almost feel like a countdown to him coming on. SAFE

Mason Greenwood (1/3): Greenwood’s lethal end to the season is what has put him back in contention and the benefits of taking a youngster who will hopefully be with you for many more squads is obvious. However, much as Greenwood’s sniper finishing is the best in the squad, he could also be cut purely due to a lack of experience. AT-RISK

Harry Kane (1/50): England’s captain. England’s top-scorer. Premier League Golden Boot winner. Premier League Playmaker award winner. The only doubt about Harry Kane is whether he leaves Spurs before or after the tournament begins. SAFE

Marcus Rashford (1/50): At this point Marcus Rashford is being held together by sellotape and willpower alone but the wing-forward is a safe inclusion based on his ‘clutchness’ alone. There’s very few players you’d want in a crucial moment more than him. SAFE

Bukayo Saka (4/6): Young, talented and multi-functional. Bukayo Saka should really be a lock for the squad as the kind of multi-positional back-up that always comes in handy; but with 26 slots Southgate can afford to go heavier on specialists. AT-RISK

Jadon Sancho (1/16): Along with ‘Captain Jack’, Sancho is the most obviously and easily brilliant of England’s wing options and there’s no way he doesn’t make the squad given how consistently excellent he has been. SAFE

Raheem Sterling (1/50): Truth be told, if we look at form, Raheem Sterling shouldn’t go to the Euros. He’s had a dismal season for Man City. But Southgate likes and trusts him, plus he knows how to perform for the Three Lions, so he’s safe. SAFE

Ollie Watkins (6/4): The young Villa forward got the call over Patrick Bamford and Danny Ings with an eye on the future, but that means he is the most likely to drop out. He’s been good, but England have better. AT-RISK


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