Outright Odds

Iran odds to win World Cup 2022: Predicted squads, route to the final, ranking & form

By Tom Dutton

Published: 13:55, 21 September 2022 | Updated: 10:27, 23 September 2022

The 2022 World Cup will be Iran’s third consecutive appearance at the tournament and they will once again be looking for a first foray past the group stage.

The latest Iran odds to win the World Cup

Team Melli have actually been at the World Cup on three of the past four occasions, excluding 2022, but have only managed one win, finishing bottom of their group twice.

Betting market 888 Sport Paddy Power Sky Bet
Iran to win World Cup 500/1 425/1 500/1
Iran to reach semi-final 25/1 25/1 50/1
Iran to reach quarter-final 15/2 15/2 12/1
Iran to win Group B 11/1 11/1 16/1
Sardar Azmoun Golden Boot Odds 125/1 150/1

Our recommended Iran bet for World Cup 2022

Iran have been handed a fair chance of reaching the knockout stage thanks to a kind group-stage draw. England will be firm favourites to progress from Group B, but it could only take a single shock win to send someone through as runners-up in Group B. Although Iran go in as underdogs, they picked up four points from a difficult group in Russia four years ago — a similar showing in an easier group this time around would give them every chance of progressing.

Iran route to the World Cup 2022 Final in Qatar

Group stage fixtures

Fixture Stadium Date*
vs England Khalifa International Stadium 16:00, 21/11
vs Wales  Ahmad bin Ali Stadium 13:00, 25/11
vs USA Al Thumama Stadium 22:00, 29/11
*All times GMT

Iran open their group stage with indisputably the most difficult of the three fixtures penned into their diaries for November. Though many will write this off, England are slow starters and scraped past Tunisia and Croatia in their most recent major tournament openers — before going on to reach the latter stages. If England don’t slip up, Iraq’s most presentable fixtures follow in succession and a decent result against Wales could tee them up to shock the USMNT.

Who could Iran meet in the knockout rounds?

In the unlikely event that Iran win Group B, they would likely have a very difficult route to the latter stages of the tournament. Were they to sweep aside 2022 AFCON champions Senegal in the round of 16, World Cup holders France would be their likely opponents in the last eight. Throw in a possible semi-final against Germany before a meeting with five-time winners Brazil in the showpiece and you start to understand Iran’s pricing at 500/1 to win it all.

If Iran win B Potential opponent
Round of 16 Senegal
Quarter-Final France
Semi-Final Germany
Final Brazil

Certainly the most likely route to the knockout phase for Iran, a possible round of 16 meeting with the Netherlands awaits if they qualify from Group B as runners-up — and things don’t get any easier from there. The bookmakers suggest Brazil and France still lie in wait for Team Melli, with Argentina the likely opponents at the quarter-final stage in this half of the draw.

If Iran come runners up in Group B Potential opponent
Round of 16 Netherlands
Quarter-Final Argentina
Semi-Final Brazil
Final France


Our predicted Iran World Cup 2022 squad

Player  Position Age Club
Alireza Beiranvand Goalkeeper 30 Persepolis
Hossein Hosseini Goalkeeper 30 Esteghlal
Amir Abedzadeh Goalkeeper 29 Ponferradina
Sadegh Moharrami Defender 26 Dinamo Zagreb
Shojae Khalilzadeh Defender 33 Al-Ahli
Milad Mohammadi Defender 28 AEK Athens
Morteza Pouraliganji Defender 30 Persepolis
Hossein Kanaanizadegan Defender 28 Al-Ahli
Saleh Hardani Defender 24 Esteghlal
Majid Hosseini Defender 26 Kayserispor
Omid Noorafkan Defender 25 Sepahan
Ramin Rezaeian Defender 32 Sepahan
Abolfazl Jalali Defender 24 Esteghlal
Ehsan Hajsafi Midfielder 32 AEK Athens
Saeid Ezatolahi Midfielder 25 Vejle
Omid Ebrahimi Midfielder 35 Al-Wakrah
Ahmad Nourollahi Midfielder 29 Shabab Al-Ahli
Milad Sarlak Midfielder 27 Persepolis
Saman Ghoddos Midfielder 29 Brentford
Vahid Amiri Forward 34 Persepolis
Alireza Jahanbakhsh Forward 29 Feyenoord
Mehdi Taremi Forward 30 Porto
Karim Ansarifard Forward 32 Omonia
Mehdi Torabi Forward 28 Persepolis
Ali Gholizadeh Forward 26 Charleroi
Sardar Azmoun Forward 27 Bayer Leverkusen

Iran players on the cusp of the squad

  • Payam Niazmand (27) – Sepahan – Goalkeeper
  • Aref Aghasi (25) – Foolad – defender
  • Armin Sohrabian (27) – Gol Gohar – defender
  • Saman Fallah (21) – Paykan – defender
  • Ali Karimi (28) – Kayserispor – midfielder
  • Mehdi Ghayedi (23) – Esteghlal – forward
  • Mohammad Mohebi (23) – Esteghlal – forward
  • Allahyar Sayyadmanesh (21) – Hull City – forward

Iran players to watch at this year’s World Cup 2022

Iran top World Cup Golden Boot Contender — Sardar Azmoun

Despite being a fringe player for club team Bayer Leverkuzen, Azmoun moved up to third in Iran’s all-time leading goalscorers list earlier this year. Azmoun has scored 40 goals in 62 appearances for his country and, in an ageing international squad, is one of Queiroz’s younger players at 27. He’s struggled for game time since a January move to the Bundesliga but showed incredible potency at previous club Zenit, where he managed 62 goals and 23 assists in 104 matches across all competitions. An aerial threat, the pacy forward is also adept at dropping deep and linking play for his colleagues.

2022 World Cup Golden Boot favourites

Player Paddy Power Betfair
Harry Kane 6/1 6/1
Kylian Mbappe 8/1 8/1
Karim Benzema 12/1 12/1
Neymar 12/1 12/1
Cristiano Ronaldo 14/1 14/1
Lionel Messi 16/1 16/1
Romelu Lukaku 18/1 18/1
Lautaro Martinez 25/1 25/1
Memphis Depay 25/1 25/1
Vinicius Jr 25/1 25/1
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (18:15, 14/09/2022).BeGambleAware.

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Iran player to watch — Mehdi Taremi

The 29-year-old starred for Porto last season as they won the Primeira Liga title, netting 20 goals across the campaign — only Darwin Nunez managed more. He has also stepped up in recent appearances for Iran, scoring in four of his past six appearances which all came in qualifying for the World Cup. Although he can play centrally, Taremi plays off the left for Iran to make space for Azmoun to spearhead their attack. He has 27 goals in 56 appearances for Iran, with eight in 13 starts during qualifying for the Qatar World Cup.

Iran captain — Ehsan Hajsafi

Iran’s most experienced player, Hajsafi has 119 caps since making his debut for the national side in 2009. The 32-year-old is Iran’s fourth most capped international of all time and played all three group matches at both the 2014 and 2018 World Cups. Trusted by Queiroz four years ago at the World Cup in Russia, Hajsafi remains a key member of the Iran side and his longevity is as much down to his versatility as his ability. A seasoned left-back for club side AEK Athens, the 32-year-old regularly fills in across the midfield for Team Melli. Former Brighton man Alireza Jahanbakhsh has also taken the armband in recent fixtures.

Iran tactical analysis & likely formation at the World Cup

Iran certainly have the weapons in the final third to cause teams problems, but it will come down to whether Carlos Queiroz lets his players off the leash in Qatar. In possession they have a potent front three, with Sardar Azmoun, Mehdi Taremi and Alireza Jahanbakhsh boasting a wealth of experience and a combined 80 international goals between them. Throw in Karim Ansarifard off the bench and you’ve really got a forward unit capable of chasing something late on.

In Jahanbakhsh and Hajsafi, Queiroz has at his disposal players with experience of grinding out results on this stage. Two last-gasp goals in Russia handed Iran three of their four group-stage points, and the likelihood is that Team Melli will be tasked with sitting in and staying in the contest in Qatar. Saeid Ezatolahi will sit deep and screen the defence in a 4-5-1 system, with Azmoun playing the hold-up role and leaning on his wide support when Iran look to hit opponents on the counter.

Iran FAQ’s

Where are Iran in the Fifa World Rankings?

Canada are currently 22nd in the Fifa World Rankings, whilst their highest ever ranking was 15th in August 2005.

Who is the Iran manager?

Having led Iran at the 2014 and 2018 World Cups, Carlos Queiroz was recently hired to oversee the national side for the forthcoming Qatar finals. Queiroz’s appointment in September drew a line under an awkward chapter for the Iran national side, with Dragan Skocic sacked in July and then rehired days later. Skocic led Iran through World Cup qualification but was eventually dumped for good by the Iranian Football Federation less than three months out from the finals. 

How many times have Iran won the World Cup? 

Iran have never progressed beyond the group stage at a World Cup but their best result came in Russia four years ago. Despite being drawn into a group alongside Spain and Portugal, Team Melli picked up four points from their three fixtures and narrowly missed out on a knockout-stage berth. 

How many times have Iran competed in the World Cup?

Iran have competed in the World Cup five times, with the Qatar finals set to be their fourth World Cup in five (also 2006, 2014, 2018).

Who has scored Iran’s most goals in World Cup tournaments?

No Iran player has scored more than a single goal at a World Cup, with Karim Ansarifard on target in 2018 and Reza Ghoochannejhad scoring four years earlier in Brazil.

Which player from Iran has the most World Cup appearances?

Four players have six appearances at the World Cup for Iran. Captain Ehsan Hajsafi and his deputy Alireza Jahanbakhsh both featured in all six fixtures across their two World Cup finals appearances in 2014 and 2018, and both are expected to add to those tallies this winter.


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