Football Predictions

Four things we think will happen in Chelsea vs Man City

By Squawka News

Chelsea v Man City predictions

Published: 17:24, 25 June 2020

Chelsea vs Manchester City is a major fixture in its own right, but Thursday night’s game is more than the sum of its parts.

If Manchester City don’t win, the maximum number of points they can achieve this season becomes 85. This would guarantee that, for the first time in three decades, Liverpool will finish a league campaign in first place.

That brings us on to the first of five things (each a little more ambitious than the last) we think will happen in Chelsea vs Manchester City.

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1. Man City will delay Liverpool’s coronation

Pep Guardiola is a draw-averse manager with something, however faint, to play for, and one whose team have won six of their previous seven matches against Chelsea. And he rested £350m’s worth of talent in the last game. And they still won 5-0.

Man City subs vs Burnley

Man City’s bench vs Burnley: Walker, Sterling, Gundogan, Jesus, Laporte, De Bruyne, Sane

Relevant Sky Bet odds:

  • Man City to win: 4/5
  • Man City -1 Goal Handicap: 2/1
  • Man City -1 Goal Handicap: 5/1

2. Gabriel Jesus will score or assist

No defence wants to play Sergio Aguero, but Chelsea in particular will be glad of his absence. He has scored more goals against them than any other player in Premier League history.

So that’s the good news, from Chelsea’s perspective. The bad news is that Aguero’s understudy is developing his own little niche. Gabriel Jesus has scored six goals and recorded four assists in 16 appearances away to London-based clubs in the Premier League, at an average of one ‘goal involvement’ every 74 minutes.

Relevant odds:

  • Gabriel Jesus 1st goalscorer: 7/2
  • Gabriel Jesus last goalscorer: 7/2
  • Gabriel Jesus anytime goalscorer: 5/4

3. Jorginho will be booked

Jorginho is back from suspension. Might he pick up where he left off? The Italian (10) received the joint-most yellow cards of any player in the division this season. It is also true that he has never played City in a Premier League game without getting booked.

Relevant odds:

  • Jorginho to be carded: 21/10
  • Jorginho 1st player carded: 17/2

4. Chelsea will concede from outside box

Man City have scored a league-high 12 goals from outside the area this season while Kepa Arrizabalaga has conceded six such goals. Only Jordan Pickford and Nick Pope (both 8) have conceded more in this respect.

Among the likely candidates to test Kepa from range tonight is Riyad Mahrez, who has the joint-highest number of Premier League goals from outside the penalty area during the current campaign. Another is Kevin De Bruyne, who has hit the target more times than anyone while shooting from outside the box in said competition this season.

Relevant Sky Bet odds:

  • Kevin De Bruyne to score from outside the penalty area: 9/1 (price boost)
  • Riyad Mahrez to score from outside the penalty area: 12/1