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Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig Predictions, Tips and Odds: Can Die Roten Bullen follow in Ajax’s footsteps?

Real Madrid and RB Leipzig meet in the second leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie on Wednesday at 8 pm (UK time).

The hosts came out on top 1-0 in the first leg at Red Bull Arena. Brahim Díaz netted for the record European champions.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig predictions

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 8/13 with BetMGM
Correct Score 2-1 15/2 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Vinicius Junior 9/2 with Bet365

The stats behind our Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig predictions:

  • Both teams have scored in RB Leipzig’s last nine away games.
  • Three or more goals have been scored in each of RB Leipzig’s last four away games.
  • Real Madrid scored the opening goal in their last nine Champions League home matches.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig match tip

Jude Bellingham to score anytime @ 11/8 with Bet365

Jude Bellingham has scored in 57% of Champions League games this season for Real Madrid.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig odds


*Odds correct as of 07:00 on March 4

Real Madrid has only failed to progress from one of their last 20 two-legged ties in the Champions League knockout stages after winning the first leg, with that only instance coming against Ajax in 2018-19 in the round of 16 (won 2-1 away in the first leg, lost 4-1 in the second leg). Carlo Ancelotti’s side has won all seven games in the Champions League this season.

RB Leipzig haven’t won any of their last six games in the Champions League knockout stages (one draw and five losses), failing to score in five of those six. They’ve been eliminated on the last two occasions when failing to win the first leg in a knockout stage tie in the competition, with both of those coming in the round of 16 (v Liverpool in 2020-21 and Manchester City in 2022-23).

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig team news

Real Madrid team news

In  Out Doubtful
Éder Militão, Thibaut Courtois

Just two players are missing for Real Madrid when they resume their Champions League campaign.

Top Scorer: Jude Bellingham (20)

Card Magnet: Jude Bellingham (9)

Assist Ace: Rodrygo (8)

RB Leipzig team news

In  Out Doubtful
Mohamed Simakan, Lukas Klostermann

Mohamed Simakan serves a suspension while Lukas Klostermann nurses a hip injury.

Top Scorer: Loïs Openda (21)

Card Magnet: Mohamed Simakan (11)

Assist Ace: Xavi Simons (12)

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig head-to-head

  • 13/02/2024 – RB Leipzig 0-1 Real Madrid – Champions League
  • 25/10/2022 – RB Leipzig 3-2 Real Madrid – Champions League
  • 14/09/2022 – Real Madrid 2-0 RB Leipzig – Champions League

Real Madrid have won two of their three games against RB Leipzig in the Champions League (one loss), while the only previous meeting between the two sides at the Santiago Bernabeu ended in a 2-0 win for the home side (in the group stage in 2022-23).