Wales odds: To win Euro 2020, how far will they go, top scorer and more

After reaching the semi-finals in 2016, Wales are back at the European Championships looking to recapture the feeling from that run in France.

After failing to qualify for a major tournament since the 1958 World Cup — their only previous appearance on the international stage — Wales shocked the footballing world in 2016 by first finishing above England in their group before reaching the final four, beating a highly-fancied Belgium side along the way. Only eventual winners Portugal had enough in the tank to send them packing in the end.

Since then, Wales suffered the disappointment of missing out on the 2018 World Cup, but did enjoy a stellar 2020/21 Uefa Nations League campaign, earning promotion to League A as unbeaten Group B4 winners. They also qualified for this summer’s Euros as Group E runners-up, finishing second only to Croatia with 14 points and just two defeats from eight games.

Wales won’t be among this summer’s favourites but, then again, they weren’t in 2016 either. Can they cause another shock at the Euros?

Wales Euro 2020 odds

Wales are out at 100/1 to win the entire thing, but they have a talented squad capable of mixing it with the best on any given day.

The Dragons may feel that staying in the competition beyond the group stage is an achievable target, particularly with the four best 3rd-placed teams progressing to the knockout stage.

Euro 2020 favourites with Bet365

  • England – 5/1
  • France – 5/1
  • Belgium – 6/1
  • Germany – 7/1
  • Portugal – 8/1
  • Spain – 8/1

While the likes of England and France (both 5/1) are expected to be frontrunners for the Euros, Wales are priced back at 100/1. That said, they were priced at 80/1 by many at Euro 2016 and that didn’t stop them making a deep run five years ago.

Wales’ potential path to Euro 2020 final

As runners-up of their qualifying group and relative minnows on this stage, Wales were placed into Pot 4 for the Euro 2020 draw. Joining them in Group A are Italy, Switzerland and Turkey, the latter finishing second to France in their qualifying group, while the other two won theirs.

Wales kick off their Euro 2020 group stage against Switzerland in Baku before games against Turkey and Italy, the latter of which will be at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome.

Wales Euro 2020 group stage fixtures

12 June 2021: Wales vs Switzerland (2pm, UK time)

16 June 2021: Turkey vs Wales (5pm, UK time)

20 June 2021: Italy vs Wales (5pm, UK time)

If Wales win Group A

  • If Wales were to win Group A, this would be their route through to the final.
  • Last 16: The second-placed side from Group C (Netherlands, Ukraine, Austria, North Macedonia) in London on June 26.
  • Quarter-finals: The winner of the last-16 match between the winner of Group B (Belgium are favourites) and the third-place team in A, D, E or F, which could include Portugal, Germany or France from Group F.
  • Semi-finals: Wales could again face one of the aforementioned trio from Group F, while England would be a potential opponent should they finish second in Group D.

If Wales qualify from Group A

  • If Wales don’t win Group A, and merely qualify as they are 8/11 outsiders with Sky Bet, it can become a lot more complicated.
  • Last 16: The second-placed Group B side in Amsterdam on June 26th, which could be any of Belgium, Denmark, Russia and Finland.
  • Quarter-finals: The winner of last-16 match between the winner of Group C (which is most likely to be the Netherlands) and the third place in D, E and F. Once again, France, Germany and Portugal could all be potential opponents here, alongside the likes of Scotland, the Czech Republic and Sweden.
  • Semi-finals: The winner of that quarter-final will play the winner of quarter-final Match 4, which could include the winner of Group D (potentially England) or Group E (most likely Spain).

If Wales finish third in their group and do enough to be one of the top teams — which is probably their best hope of qualification — this could open up a number of paths, including playing the winners of Groups B, E and F. That gives Wales the potential options of Belgium (Group B), Spain (Group E) or any one of Germany, France, Portugal from a tough Group F.  Talk about over-complicating things!

Wales Golden Boot odds

It may have taken some time, but Gareth Bale has been growing into his second spell with Spurs. Given his pedigree with Real Madrid, coupled with the fact he is Wales’ all-time top goalscorer, it’s no surprise to see Bale as Wales’ most likely candidate for the Golden Boot this summer, priced at 50/1 with Betfair.

Euro 2020 Golden Boot favourites with Betfair

  • Harry Kane – 5/1
  • Romelu Lukaku – 8/1
  • Cristiano Ronaldo – 9/1
  • Kylian Mbappe – 9/1

There is some drop to the next favourite among the Wales squad, which is Aaron Ramsey, offered as long as 100/1 with Betfair.


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