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Our 198/1 Premier League Final Day Acca: Picking all 10 fixtures based on Opta’s Probability Model

Looking to place a big tenfold on every match this Sunday as the Premier League draws to a close? Get the 198/1 Opta Probability Meter acca for the day here.

CLAIM HERE. New UK customers only. Min Deposit: £5. Maximum Free Bet: £30. First bet on a Football or Horse Racing multiple with 3+ selections. Overall odds: 3.00 (2/1) or higher. Free Bets available upon settlement of the qualifying bet. Debit card deposits only. This is offer is valid for 7 days from your new account being registered. 18+ Full terms apply.

What is Opta’s Probability Meter?

Opta’s Win Probability model calculates the probability of each outcome of a match by simulating the game 100,000 times using the knowledge they have built on the players, teams, managers and league of any specific fixture.

With the reams of data that Opta have available to them, these Win Probability Models are very handy tools to show which way a game might head and while of course it can’t be relied on fully, it does give a strong, data-driven expectation of the way a certain match may go.

You may have seen the Live Win Probability graphics on Amazon Prime’s coverage of the Premier League this season, which are just an extension of these Win Probability statistics but with the match being played and the probability being updated in real time.

What are the picks?

Norwich vs Tottenham

Norwich: 11.8%
Draw: 21.2%
Tottenham: 67.0%

Selection: Away win

Man City vs Aston Villa

Man City: 74.8%
Draw: 17.2%
Aston Villa: 8.0%

Selection: Home win

Liverpool vs Wolves

Liverpool: 61.9%
Draw: 23.8%
Wolves: 14.3%

Selection: Home win

Crystal Palace vs Man Utd

Palace: 29.5%
Draw: 28.9%
Man Utd: 41.6%

Selection: Away win

Leicester vs Southampton

Leicester: 56.1%
Draw: 24.9%
Southampton: 19.0%

Selection: Home win

Chelsea vs Watford

Chelsea: 69.4%
Draw: 20.1%
Watford: 10.5%

Selection: Home win

Burnley vs Newcastle

Burnley: 36.4%
Draw: 30%
Newcastle: 33.6%

Selection: Home win

Brighton vs West Ham

Brighton: 31.9%
Draw: 29.3%
West Ham: 38.8%

Selection: Away win

Brentford vs Leeds

Brentford: 47.1%
Draw: 27.4%
Leeds: 25.5%

Selection: Home win

Arsenal vs Everton

Arsenal: 50.5%
Draw: 27.1%
Everton: 22.4%

Selection: Home win

The Acca

Arsenal vs Everton – Home win @ 11/20

Brentford vs Leeds – Home win @ 13/10

Brighton vs West Ham – Away win @ 7/4

Burnley vs Newcastle – Home win @ 7/5

Chelsea vs Watford – Home win @ 1/6

Crystal Palace vs Man Utd – Away win @ 5/4

Leicester vs Southampton – Home win @ 10/11

Liverpool vs Wolves – Home win @ 2/11

Man City vs Aston Villa – Home win @ 1/6

Norwich vs Tottenham – Away win @ 2/9

A £1 bet on these 10 selections returns £198.70 with Betway. And what’s more, Betway are offering up to £30 money back as a free bet if your first accumulator loses! Here’s how to claim:

How to claim

  1. Go to Betway via this link
  2. Open your account
  3. Stake at least £5 on a football or horse racing accumulator at odds of 2/1 or higher
  4. If the bet loses, you’ll be credited with up to £30 in free bets within one hour of your qualifying bet being settled

Betway Offer Terms & Conditions

Standard Welcome Offer terms

This offer, which can only be redeemed once, is only available to customers aged 18 or above who are resident in the UK.

You must deposit and stake at least £5 on a football or horse racing accumulator (minimum three selections) at odds of 2/1 or higher for it to be classified as a qualifying bet.

The welcome offer excludes system bets (Lucky 31, Canadians, Accumulator-4 with 5 selections, etc.).

Within an hour of your qualifying bet being settled, you will be credited with up to £30 in free bets, which is matched to your original stake.

Free Bet Specific Terms and Conditions

Once the free bet is credited to your account, you will have seven days to make full use of it.

Please note that the Betway credit cannot be withdrawn, exchanged or substituted for cash.

The free bet can not be used be used to place multi-line multiple bets (e.g. Trixie’s, Patents, Yankees etc.) and is non-refundable. The Free Bet stake is not included in any returns.

Betway credit stakes cannot be used to qualify for any other promotions or offers.

Betway’s full terms and conditions can be found via their website: