League One Betting Tips: Our Top 3 Tips for Saturday
Our Football League expert Peter Taylor takes us through his top three betting tips for January 30, including a big winner in the battle of the Dons.
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AFC Wimbledon vs. Milton Keynes Dons betting tip
One of English football’s most geographically distant rivalries resumes on Saturday, with AFC Wimbledon hosting MK Dons for the very first time at the newly built Plough Lane. Sadly, fans won’t there be to witness the historic clash, and that might be no bad thing for the hosts’ supporters. The visitors will match Wimbledon’s shape, which means a packed midfield. With the likes of Ben Gladwin and David Kasumu in MK’s engine room, they have the quality to progress the ball on the transition and into the final third, and it’s in defence where the home side are at their weakest, conceding 43 in 24 league matches to date, and at least two in all of their last four games on home soil.
34 year old veteran striker Cameron Jerome has had a decent campaign thus far in the white and gold of the Buckinghamshire outfit, and whilst finishing chances has never been his strongest suit, he will bully the back three in most situations, particularly in the air, and will also profit from the penetrative through balls from his teammates behind him.
In recent weeks, MK have proven they have the quality to compete with the better sides in the third tier, and Wimbledon are a long way from that. If the visitors can strike first, it could be a long afternoon for Glyn Hodges’ men.
MK Dons to score over 2.5 goals: 4/1 @ bet365
Plymouth Argyle vs. Accrington Stanley betting tip
Having ridden out a very sticky patch and shaken their away day hoodoo in the past few weeks, Ryan Lowe’s Plymouth Argyle are now at the summit of the bottom half, but he has warned his players to ‘be on their mettle’ against high-flying Accrington Stanley, who have as many as five games in hand on the teams surrounding them in the table.
Influential and creative left wing-back George Cooper remains an absentee, so Conor Grant will deputise in his stead. Ryan Hardie should retain his spot in the XI after a goalscoring showing in midweek at Swindon Town, and he is a good link-man with George Cooper.
Meanwhile, Stanley will be hoping to take advantage, especially from set pieces, of severe weaknesses in the Pilgrims’ backline, and twice-capped St. Kitts & Nevis international Michael Nottingham will loom large in the six-yard area at every dead ball. On the right flank, Joe Pritchard will provide plenty of crosses for the front two to latch onto, and it is down that flank where the biggest battle will be fought.
Over 3.5 goals: 2/1 @ BetVictor
Shrewsbury Town vs. Peterborough United betting tip
Shrewsbury Town will be playing only their third game in all competitions in 2021 when they host the ever-dangerous Peterborough United at Montgomery Waters Meadow. The flurry of postponements for Salop came at precisely the wrong time for Steve Cotterill, having completely turned around the Shropshire side’s results and performances since taking the reins at the end of November 2020.
That halting of momentum also precipitated a poor performance up at Sunderland, where the visitors badly wasted a handful of presentable chances to at least come away from the Stadium of Light with a point. Aggressive central midfielder Josh Vela was way off his usual standards, but he and his teammates will be boosted by the permanent capture of left-back Nathanael Ogbeta from Manchester City’s U23s. Despite the upturn however, only Northampton Town (20) have scored fewer than Shrewsbury, and the attackers are particularly at fault in this regard.
Ogbeta will be thrown in at the deep end against a Peterborough team that rarely draw a blank and attack with little relent. The former did occur despite 17 attempts at goal in midweek at home to Bristol Rovers, but that’s highly unlikely to repeat itself if the shot volume is anywhere close to that. Prolific striker Jonson Clarke-Harris is the spearpoint of a three-pronged forward line, and combines a great turn of pace with a distinctly threatening aerial presence.
Shrewsbury to score under 0.5 goals: 5/2 @ Betfred
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