Southampton vs Newcastle: Betting tips, predictions, odds & match preview

Newcastle travel to St.Mary’s to face Southampton hoping to remain in the top four on Sunday (2pm UK time).

Southampton vs Newcastle: Betting Tips

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

Southampton vs Newcastle: Predictions

Southampton vs Newcastle: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 31/40 with Betway
Correct score Southampton 1-2 Newcastle 17/2 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Miguel Almiron 12/1 with Bet365

Newcastle will be looking to go nine games unbeaten (5 wins, 3 draws) when they face a Southampton side who are languishing just one point above the relegation places this weekend. The Geordies can make it four wins a row for the first time since in April with a win here and improve their impressive recent record against the Saints, having won five of the last seven meetings between the two sides. 

Eddie Howe’s men have scored 4+ goals in three of their last six Premier League games, as many as in their previous 197 top-flight games combined, while only Manchester City (24.4) have a higher xG than Newcastle (23.1) and no side have conceded fewer goals in the competition in 2022/23 than the Magpies (10). 

Southampton have won just one of their last eight Premier League games (D2 L5), while just one of their three Premier League victories so far this season has come on home soil (2-1 v Chelsea in August). The Saints haven’t won any of their last 13 Premier League games against teams starting the day in the top four of the table (D5 L8) since a 1-0 victory over Liverpool in January 2021, whilst conceding 39 goals across these 13 games, at an average of three per game.

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Southampton vs Newcastle: Match Stats

Miguel Almiron has been in the form of his life in recent weeks for Newcastle, scoring six goals in his last six Premier League games, netting at least once in each of his last three and will be looking to become the seventh different player to have scored in four consecutive appearances for Newcastle in the competition and just the second non-Englishman to do so after Papiss Cissé  (6 in March/April 2012).

The forward has been nominated for the October Premier League Player of the Month alongside teammates Kieran Trippier and Bruno Guimaraes and could become just the second Paraguayan to win the award after Roque Santa Cruz way back in December 2007.

Southampton have scored just four goals in their last eight Premier League matches and have only scored more than once in one of their previous 10 games in the competition. Only Bournemouth (7.8) and Crystal Palace (12) have a lower expected goals total than the Saints in the Premier League this season (12.1), while Newcastle have conceded just 10 goals in 13 Premier League games in 2022/23, fewer than any other side and 19 fewer than they’d shipped at this stage last season.

Southampton vs Newcastle: Squawka Says

Scoreline prediction: Southampton 1-2 Newcastle

Southampton vs Newcastle: Odds

Southampton vs Newcastle: Head to Head

10 Mar 2022 – Southampton 1-2 Newcastle – Premier League

28 Aug 2021 – Newcastle 2-2 Southampton – Premier League

06 Feb 2021 – Newcastle 3-2 Southampton – Premier League

06 Nov 2020 – Southampton 2-0 Newcastle – Premier League

07 Mar 2020 – Southampton 0-1 Newcastle – Premier League

Newcastle have had the upper hand in the recent meetings between the two sides, winning five of the last seven.

Find the latest Premier League top four odds for the 2022/2023 season here:

Club Chance Sky Bet Paddy Power
Arsenal 96.22% 1/33 1/40
Liverpool 77.92% 4/7 4/6
Tottenham 42.04% 11/10 5/4
Man Utd 29.58% 5/4 1/1
Newcastle 35.51% 11/8 11/10
Chelsea 15.18% 7/2 10/3
Brighton 3.02% 20/1 22/1
Probability % provided by StatsPerform
You have to be 18+ to gamble. All odds within this article are accurate at the time of writing (07:30, 14/11/2022). BeGambleAware.

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