Both sides go into Tuesday’s crunch Champions League tie knowing that a win is a must if they are to have any chance of making it into the knockout rounds of the competition after taking four points apiece from their opening four fixtures.
Dinamo Zagreb will be looking to win multiple games in a Champions League campaign for just the second time, having last won two games in the 1998/99 campaign and get revenge for their 3-1 defeat at the San Siro on Matchday 2. The Croatian side have only lost one of their previous five home games in the competition (W2 D2), with that lone defeat coming against Manchester City in December 2019.
Milan have won just two of their 10 Champions League matches under Stefan Pioli and will be looking to avoid the unwanted record of failing to score in three consecutive matches in the competition for the first time since March 2011. The Italian side do boast a 100% record against Dinamo Zagreb however, winning five out of five games against them – it’s their best against any side in their European history, with Zagreb the only side they’ve faced five times and won every game.
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Dinamo Zagreb vs AC Milan match stats
Rafael Leão has been Milan’s stand out player so far this season, with a host of big clubs being linked with a move for the forward in recent months. The Portuguese has been directly involved in 11 goals in just 14 Serie A and Champions League appearances so far in 2022/23 (5 goals, 6 assists), which is at least four more than any of his teammates, whilst also leading both the goalscoring and assist charts for his side.
He ranks second for both shots (38) and goal involvements (9) in Serie A so far this campaign, whilst only Vinícius Júnior (19) has made more successful take-ons than Rafael Leão (12) in the Champions League this term. Teammate Olivier Giroud has scored 19 goals in the Champions League, with 14 of those coming in away matches (74%). Of players to have netted 15+ times in the competition, only Timo Werner (75%) has scored a higher percentage of his goals in away games.
Over 2.5 goals has landed in three of Milan’s four UCL matches so far this campaign and we are expecting the trend to continue once more.
Dinamo Zagreb and AC Milan have faced each other three times in the Champions League (including qualifying), with the Italian side coming out on top in all three meetings between the two sides, including a 3-1 win at the San Siro back in September.