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Brighton vs Leeds: Predictions
Despite playing some of the most attractive football in the Premier League, the Seagulls remain in 17th place thanks to their wastefulness in front of goal. Though they have a seven-point buffer between themselves and Fulham in 18th, Graham Potter’s men are not yet safe, especially considering they end the season against West Ham, Man City and Arsenal.
They host a Leeds side sat way up in ninth and with no such worries about relegation. Marcelo Bielsa’s men have been a joy to watch upon their return to the top-flight and although there’s little chance of them catching up to the likes of Everton and Tottenham above them, the Whites can be proud of their efforts in 2020/21. But it’s not over yet. Bielsa is a hard man to please and will be demanding his players remain in their current position to impressively finish above Arsenal.
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Brighton vs Leeds: Match Stats
The last three meetings between these two teams have featured two goals or less.
Brighton have the biggest negative difference between goals scored (33) and expected goals (46.9) in the Premier League this season, scoring roughly 14 fewer goals than their xG suggests. The Seagulls have failed to score in their last three league games, despite having 51 shots and an xG value of 3.7 in these matches.
Following their goalless draw against Manchester United last time out, Leeds’ Illan Meslier became the youngest goalkeeper in Premier League history to record 10 clean sheets (21y 54d), overtaking Joe Hart’s record from 2008 (21y 134d).
Leeds United have played more matches at Brighton’s AMEX Stadium without winning than any other stadium in their entire history (6 – D2 L4). Since going 2-0 ahead in the first half of their first game there in 2011 (going on to draw 3-3), Leeds haven’t been ahead for a single minute in any of their subsequent five visits.
16 January 2021 – Leeds 0-1 Brighton – Premier League
18 March 2017 – Leeds 2-0 Brighton – Championship
9 December 2016 – Brighton 2-0 Leeds – Championship
29 February 2016 – Brighton 4-0 Leeds – Championship
17 October 2015 – Leeds 1-2 Brighton – Championship
Brighton have won eight of their past 11 games against Leeds, losing just twice with one draw, all coming in the Championship. Leeds did, however, dominate the fixture when the pair were in League One, but it appears the Seagulls have continued their recent stranglehold over the Whites with both in the top-flight, winning 1-0 in January.