Ad disclosure

Jamaica vs Mexico: Betting tips, predictions, odds & match preview

Jamaica vs Mexico: Betting tips, predictions, odds & match preview

Record-Gold Cup winners Mexico will be looking to reach the final yet again when they take on Jamaica on Thursday at 3am (UK time).

Jamaica vs Mexico: Betting tips

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

Jamaica vs Mexico: Predictions

Jamaica vs Mexico: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 5/4 with Lottoland
Correct score Jamaica 1-2 Mexico 7/1 with Lottoland
First Goalscorer Henry Martin 19/4 with Lottoland

Eight-time winners of the Gold Cup, Mexico have also been in the final 10 times, with only USA making the showpiece more (though they have lost five of their 12 appearances). Mexico have also been in the final in each of the past two editions with varying results, beating USA in 2019 but losing to them in 2021, so they will be looking to reclaim their crown this year.

El Tri opened the 2023 Gold Cup with a 4-0 win over Honduras and had qualification to the knockout stages confirmed after their 3-1 victory against Haiti in the second game. It meant Mexico’s 1-0 defeat to Qatar in the final game was just a blot on their record, not changing anything for their path. Pit against Costa Rica in the quarter-finals, Mexico earned their semi-final spot with a 2-0 victory and they’ll be confident of going all the way.

Only three teams have won the Gold Cup (with Canada joining Mexico and USA) but nine nations have made it to the final, including Jamaica. Unfortunately, Jamaica co-hold the record for most final appearances without victory, losing both of their finals in 2015 and 2017. In 2015, it was a 3-1 defeat to Mexico, while two years later they were beaten 2-1 by USA.

Placed in a group alongside USA this year, Jamaica started their Gold Cup with a 1-1 draw against the reigning champions in Chicago. They then beat Trinidad and Tobago 4-1 in their second game before wrapping up the runners-up spot in Group A with a 5-0 win over Saint Kitts and Nevis. In the quarter-finals, Guatemala were dispatched 1-0, after they shocked everyone to finish above Canada in their group.

BetMGM sign-up offer: Get £40 in free bets when you bet £10

Not signed up to BetMGM yet? Here's how eligible readers* can take advantage of their welcome offer:

  1. Open an account at BetMGM using this link.
  2. Select the Sports Welcome Offer.
  3. Get the offer from the ‘My Offers’ page.
  4. Deposit and place a £10 bet at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater.
  5. When it settles, unlock £40 in Free Bets

*New customer only. 3 days to claim & 7 days to place a qualifying bet to receive 4x Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder, 1 x £10 Acca and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. T&Cs apply. For more information, visit

Jamaica vs Mexico match stats

Both Jamaica and Mexico relied on second-half showings to make it to the semi-finals of the Gold Cup. Both of Mexico’s two goals against Costa Rica came after half-time, as did Jamaica’s winner against Guatemala, and it was a similar story in the group stage. Exactly half of the 12 goals scored in Jamaica’s group stage matches (for and against) came in the second half, while Mexico’s games saw five of their nine goals netted after half-time.

Mexico dominate this fixture but based on performances at the 2023 Gold Cup, we may see a closer matchup, especially with the two draws in the Nations League. Jamaica have also scored in each of their past seven games across all competitions, including two against Mexico the last time these sides met.

Jamaica vs Mexico: Squawka Says

Scoreline prediction: Jamaica 1-2 Mexico

Jamaica vs Mexico head-to-head

27 February 2023 – Mexico 2-2 Jamaica – CONCACAF Nations League

15 June 2022 – Jamaica 1-1 Mexico – CONCACAF Nations League

28 January 2022 – Jamaica 1-2 Mexico – World Cup qualifying

3 September 2021 – Mexico 2-1 Jamaica – World Cup qualifying

24 July 2017 – Mexico 0-1 Jamaica – 2017 Gold Cup

Jamaica have recorded just three victories in 27 games against Mexico, with 19 defeats and five draws. Although they are winless in their past four, Jamaica may take hope from the fact that their last win game in the 2017 Gold Cup semi-finals.


Premier League predictions & tips
Football Accumulator tips
Latest live streaming fixtures