Italy vs Wales Predictions: Betting tips, odds & match preview

Already-qualified Italy welcome Wales to the Stadio Olimpico for the final Group A match of Euro 2020 on Sunday at 5pm.

Italy vs Wales: Predictions

Italy have made a barnstorming start to their Euro 2020 campaign, thrashing Turkey 3-0 in the tournament’s curtain raiser, before following up with an identical scoreline against Switzerland, with Roberto Mancini’s men now on a 10-game winning run in which they have not conceded in that time.

Having failed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup, Gli Azzurri have announced their return to a major international tournament with intent and gusto, letting the habitual heavyweights know that they are not just here to make up the numbers, but instead harbour genuine aspirations of going all the way.

Wales meanwhile have made a strong start themselves, collecting four points from their opening two games which has all but guaranteed their progression to the last-16, with their most recent 2-0 win over Turkey in Baku underpinning the quality of the Euro 2016 semi-finalists.

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Italy vs Wales: Match Stats

  • Gianluigi Donnarumma is the first goalkeeper other than Gianluigi Buffon to keep a clean sheet for Italy at a major tournament since Francesco Toldo at Euro 2000.
  • Italy have won 10 consecutive games across all competitions without conceding a single goal.
  • Italy have had the second-most shots (37) and scored the most goals (six) at Euro 2020 so far.
  • Gareth Bale has created the most big chances at Euro 2020 so far (five), equalling the highest tally at Euro 2016 already.
  • None of Italy and Wales’ previous nine meetings have ever ended in a draw.
  • Italy are unbeaten in their last 29 matches across all competitions since a 0-1 loss to Portugal in September 2018.
  • Domenico Berardi has been involved in five goals in his last six appearances in all competitions for Italy, scoring four and assisting one.
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and Ruslan Malinovskiy (seven each) are the only players to have created more chances than Dan James (six) at Euro 2020 so far.

Italy vs Wales: Corner Stats

In their opening two games Italy have registered 11 corners, and they nearly scored from one against Switzerland last time out, with Giorgio Chiellini tucking home after the ball ricocheted into his path, but upon inspection from VAR, the Italian stalwart was adjudged to have handled the ball in the build-up. Wales meanwhile have also registered 11, which makes complete sense given their strongest positions are in the wide areas. With 6ft 5in Kieffer Moore — who has already scored a header from a set-piece this tournament — leading the line, this will certainly be an area where the Dragons will look to catch Italy.

Italy vs Wales: Cards Stats

Italy have been on their best behaviour so far this tournament, being one of just five nations yet to pick up a card, though they have given away 18 fouls in just two matches, the 10th highest in the competition. Some may label that clever gamesmanship. Wales, by contrast, have conceded just 14 fouls, but collected three yellow cards in that time, the joint second-most at the tournament so far.

Italy vs Wales: Squawka Says

Scoreline prediction: Italy 2-0 Wales

Italy vs Wales: Odds

Italy vs Wales: Head to Head

06 Sep 2003 – Italy 4-0 Wales – European Championship Qualifying

16 Oct 2002 – Wales 2-1 Italy – European Championship Qualifying

05 Jun 1999 – Italy 4-0 Wales – European Championship Qualifying

05 Sep 1998 – Wales 0-2 Italy – European Championship Qualifying

24 Jan 1996 – Italy 3-0 Wales – International Friendly

Italy and Wales’ latest encounter was 18 years ago, in a European Championship qualifier back in September 2003. On that day, Filippo Inzaghi scored his one and only hat-trick with the Italian national team (4-0).


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