Italy vs Spain: Betting tips, predictions, odds & match preview

Italy vs Spain: Betting tips, predictions, odds & match preview

Italy and Spain face off on Tuesday looking to earn their spot in the Euro 2020 final (8pm kick off UK time).

Italy vs Spain: Betting Tips

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Italy vs Spain: Predictions

Italy vs Spain: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 17/20
Correct score Italy 2-1 Spain 17/2
First Goalscorer Lorenzo Insigne 15/2

A repeat of the Euro 2012 final, which Spain won 4-0, Italy will be looking to use this game as both revenge and a statement of their return to the top table of football. After a tough few years, which included missing the 2018 World Cup, Italy have shone at Euro 2020 and got through the group stages with a perfect record, winning all three matches, scoring seven and keeping three clean sheets. Their run in the knockout stages haven’t been easy, however, and they needed extra time to beat Austria 2-1. That was the same scoreline as their quarter-final win over Belgium, a game they largely dominated having been slight underdogs.

Spain also haven’t had it easy in the knockout stages, but they were also pretty poor in the group stage too, winning just one of their three games. Luis Enrique’s side started Group E with two draws against Sweden and Poland before beating Slovakia to finishing second. They looked to be comfortably through the quarter-fins with five minutes to go in their last-16 tie against Croatia, 3-1 up, but they were pegged back to 3-3 and needed extra-time for their eventual win. Spain were pushed even further in the last round, as Yann Sommer frustrated them in the Switzerland goal to take La Roja to penalties before ultimately succumbing.

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Italy vs Spain: Match Stats

Italy’s march to the semi-finals have come as part of an overall team effort, but Lorenzo Insigne is one of the individuals to have stood out more than the rest. The Napoli forward has scored twice so far including what turned out to be the winner against Belgium last time out. It continues his excellent recent run of being directly involved in 13 goals in his past 15 appearances for Italy, scoring six and recording seven assists.

The last time these sides met in a major tournament, Italy knocked Spain out of the Euro 2016 last-16 with a 2-0 win, and they are the only side left in the competition with a 100% record (including extra-time). But Spain won’t make it easy, having scored 11 goals in their past three matches.

Italy vs Spain: Corner Stats

Spain have won more corners than any other team at Euro 2020 so far, taking 41, 14 more than their semi-final opponents Italy (27). La Roja have also been stingy in giving corners away, conceding just 12 – fewer than any team left in the competition. Italy, meanwhile, having conceded 17, more than any of the other semi-finalists.

Italy vs Spain: Cards Stats

Italy and Spain have both been relatively clean teams in terms of yellow cards, with both sides receiving just five bookings in five games at Euro 2020. However, their opponents haven’t been kind. Italy’s opponents have been shown 10 yellow cards and one red, while Spain’s have received 11 bookings and one red.

Italy vs Spain: Squawka Says

Scoreline prediction: Italy 2-1 Spain

Italy vs Spain: Odds

Italy vs Spain: Head to Head

2 September 2017 – Spain 3-0 Italy – World Cup Qualifying

6 October 2016 – Italy 1-1 Spain – World Cup Qualifying

27 June 2016 – Italy 2-0 Spain – Euro 2016

24 March 2016 – Italy 1-1 Spain – Friendly

5 March 2014 – Spain 1-0 Italy – Friendly

Historically, games between Spain and Italy have been close, with La Roja just about holding the edge on 13 wins to 11 (13 draws). The recent games have been equally even too, with both sides winning one of the past four, though Spain and Italy haven’t faced off in almost four years.


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