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Burnley vs West Ham Premier League predictions: tips, odds and team news

Burnley vs West Ham predictions: tips, odds & team news

West Ham will be hoping to move closer to the European places when they face bottom side Burnley on Saturday at 3pm (UK time).

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Burnley vs West Ham odds


*Odds correct as of 07:00 on November 23

Before the international break, West Ham endured a three-game losing streak in the Premier League, beaten by Aston Villa, Everton and Brentford. This came after a draw against Newcastle, a four-game winless run overall. But that came to an end in exciting fashion, with the Hammers beating Nottingham Forest 3-2 at the London Stadium. David Moyes’ men took the lead but then had to come from behind against Forest, claiming the victory thanks to Tomas Soucek’s 88th-minute goal.

They’ll be hoping to continue their run of winning their last seven Premier League games against promoted sides against Burnley, who are rooted to the bottom of the table. The Clarets haven’t enjoyed life back in the Premier League, with just four points from their opening 12 games. A draw with Nottingham Forest and win over Luton have been Burnley’s only points this season. Since beating Luton at the start of October, they’ve suffered five straight defeats, including one against Arsenal before the break.

Turf Moor in recent seasons has been a tough place to come for opposition sides, but not this season. Vincent Kompany became one of just two managers after Mick McCarthy (first seven) in Premier League history to lose his first six home games in charge and another defeat here would see him move one game away from a new unwanted outright record.

Burnley fans may be starting to get worried and when looking at their attacking numbers you can see why. The Clarets rank 19th for shots, 19th for xG, 18th for shots on target, 18th for touches in the opposition box and 20th for goals scored, with only Lyle Taylor (3) and Josh Brownhill (2) scoring multiple goals in the Premier League for the club so far this season.

West Ham meanwhile, boast the 5th highest shot conversion rate in the Premier League so far this term (14.48%) and have over performed their xG by 3.1.

Burnley vs West Ham predictions

Burnley vs West Ham: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 13/20 with Midnite
Correct Score Burnley 1-3 West Ham 14/1 with Bet Goodwin
First Goalscorer Danny Ings 13/2 with Boylesports

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Burnley vs West Ham predictions:

  • West Ham are unbeaten in their past four games against Burnley.
  • Burnley have lost their last five Premier League games.
  • Burnley have lost all six of their Premier League home games this season.
  • Danny Ings has scored four goals in his last five games against former side Burnley.
  • Only Sheffield United, Burnley and Bournemouth have conceded more goals in the Premier League this season than West Ham.

Burnley vs West Ham match tip

Danny Ings to score anytime @ 21/10 with bet365

With Michail Antonio and Jarrod Bowen both returning early from international duty with injuries, Danny Ings looks set start in his return to Turf Moor having spent four years at Burnley between 2011 and 2015 where he scored 43 goals for the club. The forward enjoys playing his former side, having found the back of the net in four of his previous five matches against them for Southampton and Aston Villa, including each of his last two trips to Turf Moor.

Burnley vs West Ham Bet-Builder tip

BTTS > West Ham to win > West Ham most cards

All four of Burnley’s points this season have come away from home, with the Clarets losing all six of their games at Turf Moor. When you add that to the fact that West Ham are unbeaten in their past four games against Burnley, the Hammers will feel confident about a victory. However, this is also a meeting of two of the Premier League’s worst defences, with only Burnley (30), Sheffield United (31) and Bournemouth (27), conceding more goals this season than West Ham’s 22. West Ham are also suffering for yellow cards with 30 so far this season, compared to Burnley’s 23.

Burnley vs West Ham
Reason for tip

This is a meeting of two of the Premier League's worst defences, with only Burnley (30), Sheffield United (31) and Bournemouth (27), conceding more goals this season than West Ham's 22.

Reason for tip

West Ham have won each of their last seven games against newly promoted sides in the Premier League, while Burnley have lost all six league matches at home in 2023/24.

Reason for tip

.West Ham have picked up 30 yellow cards so far this season, compared to Burnley's 23.

Burnley vs West Ham team news

Burnley team news

In  Out Doubtful
Lyle Foster Ameen Al-Dakhil

Lyle Foster is taking some time away with deal with mental health issues, and Burnley are giving him the time to recover in his own pace. Ameen Al-Dakhil could be available following a knock.

West Ham team news

In  Out Doubtful
Michail Antonio Jarrod Bowen

Michail Antonio returned early from international duty with Jamaica and will be out for the foreseeable future with a knee injury. Jarrod Bowen also exited the England camp before the match with North Macedonia and is a huge doubt here, so his chance of becoming just the third player to score in seven consecutive Premier League away games after Robin van Persie and Sergio Aguero may have to wait.

The injuries open the door for Danny Ings to start against his former side however, and make it five goals in his last six Premier League games against the Clarets.

Burnley vs West Ham head-to-head record

  • 17 April 2022 – West Ham 1-1 Burnley – Premier League
  • 12 December 2021 – Burnley 0-0 West Ham – Premier League
  • 3 May 2021 – Burnley 1-2 West Ham – Premier League
  • 16 January 2021 – West Ham 1-0 Burnley – Premier League
  • 8 July 2020 – West Ham 0-1 Burnley – Premier League

West Ham are unbeaten in their past four games against Burnley, having lost three in a row between December 2018 and July 2020.

Burnley vs West Ham Squawka Says