Ad disclosure

Wales vs Poland Predictions, Tips and Odds: Can Dragons qualify for Euro 2024?

Wales vs Poland Predictions, Tips and Odds: Can Dragons qualify for Euro 2024?

Wales will be looking to qualify for a third consecutive European Championships when they host Poland in their play-off final.

Wales vs Poland predictions

Wales vs Poland: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 1/1 with Sky Bet
Correct Score Wales 1-2 Poland 11/1 with BetGoodwin
First Goalscorer Harry Wilson 9/1 with BoyleSports

The stats behind our Wales vs Poland predictions:

  • Wales have scored and conceded in each of their past four games.
  • Poland have won their past six games against Wales.
  • Wales have scored the opening goal in six of their past seven home games.

One last spot at Euro 2024

Here we go, after a year of qualifying, we’re finally about to know the full makeup of Euro 2024. There are just three slots left, with Wales and Poland playing for one of them. The winner of this match will be thrown into arguably the toughest group at Euro 2024, placed alongside France, Netherlands and Austria.

Wales missed out on automatic qualification for Euro 2024 having finished third in their group behind Turkey and Croatia. It was a relatively underwhelming campaign with just three wins, two against Latvia and one against Croatia. But, it’s worth noting that they only lost twice, beaten by Armenia and Turkey. Wales qualified for the play-offs thanks to the fact that the majority of UEFA Nations League A teams automatically qualified for Euro 2024. Despite finishing bottom of their group and suffering relegation, Wales were one of two League A teams to get the second chance through the play-offs.

The other team was Poland, who were the highest-placed Nations League A side to not automatically qualify, needing this second chance. Nobody expected Poland to need this route. They were placed in a qualifying group alongside Albania, Czech Republic, Moldova and Faroe Islands, and finished third. They were four points behind the top two, Albania and Czech Republic, with two of their three wins coming against Faroe Islands.

Both sides had comfortable wins in the play-off semi-finals, with Wales beating Finland 4-1 and Poland thrashing Estonia 5-1.

Wales vs Poland match tip

Robert Lewandowski to score anytime @ 13/8 by Betfred

Poland scored five goals against Estonia in their play-off semi-final, but Robert Lewandowski didn’t get any of them. However, Wales are still wary of the Barcelona striker.

“Everyone knows how dangerous he is,” said Harry Wilson said.

“His hunger to score goals is the biggest thing about him and he’s scored everywhere he’s been in his career. He might not be getting younger, but if we give him half a sniff at goal he’s going to take it.

“We need to make sure we stop him and don’t give him space or chances. If we do that we’re confident with the quality in our dressing room going the other way that we can really hurt them.”

Lewandowski is Poland’s all-time top scorer and most-capped player, with 82 goals in 147 games.

Wales vs Poland odds


*Odds correct as of 10:00 on March 25. 18+ only BeGambleAware.

Wales are slight odds-on favourites to qualify for Euro 2024, but things are a lot closer when it comes to winning inside 90 minutes. They are still favourites, which will have been influenced by their unbeaten run, and the fact that they are the home side. However, Poland’s record against Wales shouldn’t be ignored.

Wales vs Poland team news

Joe Low, Ben Cabango and Wes Burns all had to pull out of the Wales squad before their win over Finland. But the Dragons came through that game unscathed.

Matty Cash pulled out of the Poland squad before their win over Estonia due to injury.

How to watch Wales vs Poland Live

Wales host Poland in this Euro 2024 qualifying play-off final on Tuesday at 7:45pm, with the game broadcast live on Viaplay Sports 2 and S4C.

1-2 sentences detailing when the match is on and when/where it can be watched live. If we have a Live Stream articles make sure it’s linked here.

Wales vs Poland head-to-head

  • 25 September 2022 – Wales 0-1 Poland – UEFA Nations League
  • 1 June 2022 – Poland 2-1 Wales – UEFA Nations League
  • 11 February 2009 – Wales 0-1 Poland – Friendly
  • 7 September 2005 – Poland 1-0 Wales – 2006 World Cup qualifying
  • 13 October 2004 – Wales 2-3 Poland – 2006 World Cup qualifying

These two nations recently met in the 2022/23 UEFA Nations League, with Poland winning home and away. It extended their run of nine games against Wales without losing, since a defeat in the first-ever meeting.

BetMGM sign-up offer: Get £40 in free bets when you bet £10

Not signed up to BetMGM yet? Here's how eligible readers* can take advantage of their welcome offer:

  1. Open an account at BetMGM using this link.
  2. Select the Sports Welcome Offer.
  3. Get the offer from the ‘My Offers’ page.
  4. Deposit and place a £10 bet at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater.
  5. When it settles, unlock £40 in Free Bets

*New customer only. 3 days to claim & 7 days to place a qualifying bet to receive 4x Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder, 1 x £10 Acca and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. T&Cs apply. For more information, visit