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Wales vs Finland Euro 2024 play-off Predictions: Tips and Odds

Wales and Finland meet in a Euro 2024 play-off semi-finals on Thursday at 7:45 pm (UK time).

The winner of this single-leg tie will face either Poland or Estonia five days later to play for a place at this summer’s tournament in Germany.

Wales are seeking to secure a third successive appearance at the European Championships and reach a fourth major tournament out of the last five after last year, ending their 64-year wait to play at the World Cup. They finished third in Group D of qualifying, behind pool winners Turkey and second-placed Croatia.

After winning six of their ten fixtures, Finland finished third in Northern Ireland’s qualifying group – four points behind Denmark and Slovenia. They sit 60th in the Fifa rankings, 31 places below Wales, and are aiming to qualify for the European Championship for only the second time following their debut at Euro 2020.

Wales vs Finland predictions

Wales vs Finland: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 5/4 with Betgoodwin
Correct Score 2-1 17/2 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Neco Williams 14/1 with Bet365

The stats behind our Wales vs Finland predictions:

  • Both teams have scored in each of Wales’ last three European Championship qualification home matches.
  • Wales won six of their last nine European Championship qualification home games (four by a one-goal margin).
  • Wales opened the scoring in eight of their last nine European Championship qualification home matches.

Wales vs Finland match tip

Harry Wilson to score anytime @ 10/3 with Bet365

Harry Wilson comes into this game after scoring in two of Wales’ last three European Championship qualification home games (three goals).

Wales vs Finland odds


*Odds correct as of 08:30 on March 20

Even though Finland has won three of their previous four European Championship qualifier road games, head coach Markku Kanerva believes Wales will start as favourites, as reflected in the odds.

Wales vs Finland team news


Top Scorer: Harry Wilson (3)

Card Magnet: Chris Mepham (3)

Assist Ace: Daniel James (2)


Top Scorer: Daniel Håkans (4)

Card Magnet: Robert Ivanov, Richard Jensen (2)

Assist Ace: Teemu Pukki (5)

Wales vs Finland head-to-head

  • 01 Sep 2021 – Finland 0-0 Wales – International Friendly
  • 18 Nov 2020 – Wales 3-1 Finland – UEFA Nations League
  • 03 Sep 2020 – Finland 0-1 Wales – UEFA Nations League
  • 16 Nov 2013 – Wales 1-1 Finland – International Friendly
  • 10 Oct 2009 – Finland 2-1 Wales – FIFA World Cup qualifying

Wales are on a four-game unbeaten run against Finland (two draws and two wins) after losing two on the bounce.

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