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Ukraine vs Italy predictions: Euro 2024 qualifying tips, odds and team news

Ukraine and Italy go head-to-head for a place at Euro 2024 on Monday at 7:45pm (UK time).

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Ukraine vs Italy odds

UKRAINE VS ITALY
Squawka

*Odds correct as of 16:45 on November 20

Ukraine and Italy go head-to-head in Leverkusen for a huge clash to decide who gets the final Euro 2024 qualifying spot alongside England in Group C. The two sides are level on points, with Italy only occupying second place thanks to their superior head-to-head record. That makes the equation simple: avoid defeat and Italy book their place in Germany, but if Ukraine win, they will advance.

Ukraine vs Italy predictions

Ukraine vs Italy: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 17/20 with Bet UK
Correct Score Ukraine 1-1 Italy 13/2 with BetGoodwin
First Goalscorer Federico Chiesa 6/1 with Bet365

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Ukraine vs Italy predictions:

  • Ukraine are unbeaten at home during qualifying (W2, D1).
  • Italy have found the back of the net in every single qualifier.
  • Italy’s only clean sheets have come against Malta.
  • Ukraine have not beaten Italy in the last six meetings between the two sides (L5, D1).
  • Federico Chiesa scored twice in Italy’s 5-2 win over North Macedonia last time out.

Ukraine vs Italy match tip

BTTS & Draw @ 4/1 with Star Sports

Ukraine are unbeaten at home in qualifying (W2, D1), while three of the four clean sheets the two sides have combined during the campaign have come against rock-bottom side Malta. Italy have scored in every qualifying game so far, while a draw should be enough to see them secure qualification.

Ukraine vs Italy Bet-Builder

BTTS > Over 3.5 Cards > Under 2.5 Goals 

Italy have scored in all three of their away games in qualifying, but have found the net just four times during those games, while Ukraine have scored in all three of their home games in qualifying, but have also found the net just four times during those matches. With Euro 2024 qualification on the line, expect more cards than usual, especially late on if one side is holding on.

Ukraine vs Italy
Reason for tip

Ukraine have scored in all three of their home games, while Italy have scored in all three of their away games in qualifying.

Reason for tip

With Euro 2024 qualification on the line, expect more cards than usual, especially late on if one side is holding on. 

Reason for tip

Ukraine have scored just four goals in their three home qualifying games, while Italy have also scored just four goals in their three away qualifiers.

Ukraine vs Italy team news

Premier League duo Mykhailo Mudryk and Oleksandr Zinchenko should both start in Ukraine’s final qualifying game, while Roman Yaremchuk will be looking for his first goal of the campaign. Alex Meret, Rafael Tolói, Davide Calabria and Manuel Locatelli all pulled out of the squad before Italy’s game against North Macedonia.

Ukraine vs Italy head-to-head record:

  • 12 Sep 2023 – Italy 2-1 Ukraine – Euro qualifier
  • 10 Oct 2018 – Italy 1-1 Ukraine – Friendly 
  • 29 Mar 2011 – Ukraine 0-2 Italy – Friendly 
  • 12 Sep 2007 – Ukraine 1-2 Italy – Euro qualifier 
  • 07 Oct 2006 – Italy 2-0 Ukraine – Euro qualifier 

Italy are unbeaten in each of their last six matches against Ukraine (W5, D1).

Ukraine vs Italy Squawka says:

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