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Ukraine vs Iceland Predictions, Tips and Odds: Who will reach Euro 2024?

Ukraine vs Iceland Predictions, Tips and Odds: Who will reach Euro 2024?

Ukraine and Iceland battle it out for a spot at Euro 2024 this week.

Ukraine vs Iceland predictions

Ukraine vs Iceland: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 6/5 with Betfred
Correct Score Ukraine 2-1 Iceland 7/1 with Star Sports
First Goalscorer Artem Dovbyk 7/2 with 10bet

The stats behind our Ukraine vs Iceland predictions:

  • Iceland have scored in 10 of their last 13 games.
  • Ukraine are unbeaten in their past five matches.
  • Artem Dovbyk has scored eight goals in 24 games for Ukraine.

The final hurdle

Both Ukraine and Iceland had to come from behind in their play-off semi-finals, as they kept their Euro 2024 hopes alive. Neither nation had the best qualifying campaign and both had to earn their spots in the play-offs as the best-placed UEFA Nations League group runners-up.

Ukraine had finished second in their UEFA Nations League group behind Scotland, and were just two points behind Steve Clarke’s side. Taking out their two wins over basement-nation Armenia, Ukraine’s five points were enough to be the second-best runner up after Finland. It was a nice fallback to have, as Ukraine were given a tough qualifying group. They finished third behind England and Italy, only dropping below the latter on a head-to-head record, knowing victory in their final game against the Azzurri would have seen them go straight to Euro 2024.

Put in a play-off semi-final against Bosnia and Herzegovina, Ukraine looked to be on their way out, trailing 1-0 with five minutes left to play. But late strikes from Roman Yaremchuk and Artem Dovbyk kept Ukraine’s hopes of a fourth consecutive European Championship alive.

Iceland, meanwhile, finished behind Israel in their Nations League group with four points from four games — drawing all four. That was enough to place them above Norway in the rankings on goal difference, reaching the play-offs at their expense. And it was a good job too. Iceland underwhelmed in qualifying, albeit in a tough group. They finished fourth behind Portugal, Slovakia and Luxembourg, with six of their 10 points coming against Liechtenstein, who lost all 10 of their matches.

There was a Nations League rematch in the play-offs as Iceland were drawn against Israel, who took the lead from the penalty spot. But an Albert Gudmundsson hat-trick and a strike from Arnor Ingvi Traustason completed the comeback to secure what was a comfortable victory in the end.

Ukraine vs Iceland match tip

Ukraine to win and BTTS @ 11/4 by Midnite

Both teams showed what they are capable off in their semi-final comebacks, with Ukraine keeping a pretty good run going. Ukraine have only lost two games since the start of 2023, a 2-0 defeat to England in their opening match of the year, and 2-1 loss to Italy that would ultimately scupper their hopes of qualifying automatically for Euro 2024. But since that game, Ukraine have gone unbeaten in five, winning against North Macedonia, Malta, Lechia Gdansk and, of course, Bosnia and Herzegovina. Their only failure to win during that run was a goalless draw with Italy. However, Iceland know their way to goal, scoring in 10 of their last 13 matches.

Ukraine vs Iceland odds


*Odds correct as of 08:45 on March 25. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.

Although Ukraine went so close to exiting at the semi-final stage, they are quite comfortably favourites for this game. As well as being the bigger footballing nation, Ukraine’s odds won’t have been hurt by the fact that they did go toe-to-toe with England and Italy last year, with two draws from four games.

Ukraine vs Iceland team news

Roman Yaremchuk came off the bench to make a match-winning impact against Bosnia and Herzegovina, so will be pushing for a start.

Arnor Sigurdsson has had to pull out of the Ukraine squad due to injury.

How to watch Ukraine vs Iceland Live

Ukraine host Iceland in the crucial Euro 2024 qualifying play-off final on Tuesday 26th March at 7:45pm, with the game broadcast live on Viaplay Sports Online.

Ukraine vs Iceland head-to-head

  • 5 September 2017 – Iceland 2-0 Ukraine – 2018 World Cup qualifying
  • 5 September 2016– Ukraine 1-1 Iceland – 2018 World Cup qualifying
  • 8 September 1999 – Iceland 0-1 Ukraine – Euro 2000 qualifying
  • 31 March 1999 – Ukraine 1-1 Iceland – Euro 2000 qualifying

These nations have met just four times before, sharing a win each with two draws. All four meetings have been in qualifying for major tournaments, but none have been as big — or decisive — as this.

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