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Switzerland vs Italy Euro 2024 prediction, team news & predicted XIs as Round of 16 kicks off

Italy continue the defence of their European crown in the last 16 of Euro 2024 against Switzerland.

Latest Switzerland vs Italy prediction

The last 16 of Euro 2024 kicks off on Saturday with Group A runners-up Switzerland facing Italy, who finished second in Group B. Switzerland started their campaign with a 3-1 win over Hungary, before back-to-back 1-1 draws against Scotland and Germany. The Swiss have now reached the knockout stages in each of the last six major tournaments since the start of the 2014 World Cup. Only one European nation are currently enjoying a longer such run, with France having reached the knockout stages of the past seven major tournaments.

However, history in the knockout stages isn’t on Switzerland’s side. Excluding penalty shootouts, Switzerland have failed to win any of their seven round of 16 matches at major international tournaments. The only time they have progressed to the knockout stages was in Euro 2020, when they beat France on penalties in the last 16.

Defending champions Italy, meanwhile, narrowly secured their spot in the last 16 with a 98th-minute equaliser against Croatia. That extended their run to just one defeat in five international matches, winning five and drawing the other three. Despite an unremarkable showing thus for, Italy have a history of solid performances in the knockout stages, reaching the quarter finals in each of the past four tournaments.

But it may have to be a laboured victory should they beat Switzerland. Fifteen of Italy’s last 26 knockout matches at major international tournaments have gone to extra-time, including four of their last five. Overall, they’ve seen more goals go to extra time than any other nation across the World Cup and European Championship.

The showdown between Switzerland and Italy occurs at 5pm on Saturday 29th June at the Olympiastadion in Berlin.

Italy have been leaky at Euro 2024 so far, conceding in all three of their games. But they haven’t been too leaky. In fact, Italy are on something of a bizarre run in conceding goals. The Azzurri have conceded exactly one goal in each of their last seven European Championship games, and haven’t conceded more than once at a major tournament since losing 4-0 to Spain in the Euro 2012 final.

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Latets Switzerland team news

A costly booking against Germany means Silvan Widmer will sit this game out through suspension. Widmer is one of nine players to have started all three games for Switzerland so far, playing 244 minutes as their go-to right wing-back. Murat Yakin doesn’t have any obvious wing-back replacements, but he did bring on Leonidas Stergiou for Widmer in two of Switzerland’s three group games. So Stergiou coming in might be the only change made.

Another player who has been ever-present in Switzerland’s 3-4-2-1 formation this summer, playing as their right wing-back, head coach Murat Yakin even has the option to revert to a 3-4-3 formation and use Dan Ndoye there or retain that system and bring in Nico Elvedi.

Latest Italy team news

Italy are also missing a player through suspension, with Riccardo Calafiori receiving his second yellow card of the tournament against Croatia last time out. The centre-back had played a pivotal role in Italy’s last-gasp equaliser and has been ever-present for Luciano Spalletti. His place will likely be filled by either Alessandro Buongiorno, Federico Gatti, or Gianluca Mancini.

Switzerland and Italy head-to-head

  • 12 November 2021 – Italy 1-1 Switzerland – FIFA World Cup qualifying
  • 5 September 2021 – Switzerland 0-0 Italy – FIFA World Cup qualifying
  • 16 June 2021 – Italy 3-0 Switzerland – Euro 2020
  • 5 June 2010 – Switzerland 1-1 Italy – International Friendly
  • 12 August 2009 – Switzerland 0-0 Italy – International Friendly

Italy are unbeaten against their neighbours in their past 11 matches, winning five with six draws. One of those victories came in the Euro 2020 group stage, with Italy beating Switzerland 3-0 en route to lifting the trophy.

How to watch Switzerland vs Italy live

Switzerland vs Italy kicks off on Saturday, 29 June, at 5pm (UK time) and will be broadcast live in the UK on BBC One.

Every game at Euro 2024 will be shown live on either BBC or ITV, with the two platforms sharing the broadcast rights.