Ad disclosure

Roma vs Brighton Predictions, Tips and Odds: Seagulls’ European tour continues

Roma vs Brighton Predictions, Tips and Odds: Seagulls' European tour continues

Brighton will be hoping to make a positive start to the Europa League last 16 when they travel to face Italian side Roma.

Roma vs Brighton predictions

Roma vs Brighton: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 8/13 by 10bet
Correct Score Roma 2-1 Brighton 15/2 by BetMGM
First Goalscorer Romelu Lukaku 11/2 by BetVictor

The stats behind our Roma vs Brighton predictions:

  • Roma have conceded in five of their past six games across all competitions.
  • Roma have only lost one of their last 23 home games in the Europa League.
  • Three of Romelu Lukaku’s six Europa League goals this season have been the opener.

Brighton’s poor preparation

It’s fair to say things aren’t really going well for Brighton at the moment. The Seagulls secured their spot in the last 16 of the Europa League having finished top of their group, and it’s perhaps for the best that they did.

Brighton go into this game now winless in their last three games and with just two wins from their past six across all competitions. During that run, Roberto De Zerbi’s men have only managed to beat Crystal Palace and Sheffield United — though they were 4-1 and 5-0 wins respectively. However, following the 5-0 win over the Blades, Brighton first drew 1-1 with relegation-battling Everton, needing a late goal from Lewis Dunk to secure a point.

Since then, it’s been back-to-back defeats for Brighton. The first saw them knocked out of the FA Cup by Wolves, before they were pulled apart by Fulham in the Premier League at the weekend. Injuries haven’t been kind to Brighton, and it’s been a case of just doing what they can with what they’ve got.

Roma, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their past five games across all competitions, starting to enjoy life under Daniele de Rossi. In the league, Roma have won three in a row and six of their past seven, only falling in a 4-2 defeat to runaway league leaders Inter Milan. That run has seen Roma jump up to fifth, knocking on the door of the Champions League places.

Their other two games have finished level, both coming in the Europa League, though it obviously ended in success for Roma. The Italian side drew the first leg of their knockout round play-off tie against Feyenoord 1-1, with a repeat scoreline in the return fixture. It went all the way to penalties, with goalkeeper Mile Svilar the hero, saving two spot-kicks in the 5-3 shootout win.

Roma vs Brighton match tip

Roma to win and BTTS @ 31/10 by Midnite

It’s hard to look past any result other than a home win here. As well as being unbeaten in their past five games across all competitions, Roma have also lost just one of their last 23 home games in the Europa League. During that run, Roma have won 17 times with five draws. Since the 2-1 defeat to Real Betis in last season’s tournament, Roma have won eight of their last nine home games in the competition.

Roma vs Brighton odds


*Odds correct as of 18:15 on March 4. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.

Brighton are slight favourites to qualify from this tie, but Roma edge the odds to take the first leg. The Italian’s side current unbeaten run will be being taken into consideration, as well as Brighton’s recent struggles.

Roma vs Brighton team news

Roma team news

In  Out Doubtful
Rasmus Kristensen, Tammy Abraham

Tammy Abraham is making good progress on his return from an ACL injury, but isn’t expected to be back just yet. Rasmus Kristensen was injured in the 4-1 win over Monza at the weekend and is expected to miss out.

Top Scorer: Romelu Lukaku (6)

Card Magnet: Evan Ndicka (4)

Assist Ace: Stephan El Shaarawy (3)

Brighton team news

In  Out Doubtful
Solly March, Kaoru Mitoma, Jack Hinshelwood, Joao Pedro, James Milner

Joao Pedro and James Milner aren’t expected back for another week or so, but Billy Gilmour will like play, being suspended domestically. Jack Hinshelwood, Kaoru Mitoma and Solly March are all long-term injuries.

Top Scorer: Joao Pedro (6)

Card Magnet: Jan Paul van Hecke (3)

Assist Ace: Simon Adingra (2)

How to watch Roma vs Brighton Live

Brighton’s trip to Roma will take place at 5:45pm on Thursday 7th March and will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 2.

Roma vs Brighton head-to-head

This will be the first ever competitive meeting between these two sides.

BetMGM sign-up offer: Get £40 in free bets when you bet £10

Not signed up to BetMGM yet? Here's how eligible readers* can take advantage of their welcome offer:

  1. Open an account at BetMGM using this link.
  2. Select the Sports Welcome Offer.
  3. Get the offer from the ‘My Offers’ page.
  4. Deposit and place a £10 bet at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater.
  5. When it settles, unlock £40 in Free Bets

*New customer only. 3 days to claim & 7 days to place a qualifying bet to receive 4x Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder, 1 x £10 Acca and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. T&Cs apply. For more information, visit