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Roma vs AC Milan Predictions, Tips and Odds: Have Giallorossi already ‘peaked’ in Europa League clash?

Roma vs AC Milan: Europa League Predictions, Tips and Odds

Italian rivals Roma and AC Milan meet at the Stadio Olimpico in the second leg of their Europa League quarter-final clash on Thursday.

Roma caused a shock by taking a 1-0 lead away from the San Siro in the first leg last week, with centre-back Gianluca Mancini scoring the only goal of the game in the 17th minute before helping his side hold on against a barrage of 25 Milanese shots.

Roma vs AC Milan predictions

Roma vs AC Milan: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 8/11 with Matchbook
Correct Score Roma 1-1 AC Milan 6/1 with Paddy Power
First Goalscorer Romelu Lukaku 13/2 with Sky Bet

The stats behind our Roma vs AC Milan predictions:

  • Both teams have scored in 11 of the last 13 meetings between these sides.
  • The Stadio Olimpico hasn’t witnessed a clean sheet between these two sides in six meetings.
  • AC Milan are winless in their last two (all comps) following a seven-game winning streak.
  • Only Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (10) has scored more Europa League goals than Romelu Lukaku (7) this season.

Roma have already ‘peaked’ in Europa League clash, Pioli claims

Roma didn’t brilliantly to pull off a 1-0 win away at the San Siro in the first leg last week, and it certainly leaves AC Milan in a tough position for the return fixture. However, Rossoneri boss Stefano Pioli is incredibly confident his side will do what it takes to get through. In fact, Pioli even believes Roma reached their ‘peak’ in the first leg last week while claiming his players were simultaneously below their usual standards.

“We have to play a great game on Thursday, but we don’t have to do something extraordinary,” Pioli told reporters. He continued: “If we just play the way we know how, we will have the chance to beat Roma. Roma played an excellent match in Milan, but that was their peak. We, however, played below our level.

“If we play at our level, it will be a very balanced match, in which episodes can have an impact, we will have to put in more quality and determination than in the first leg. Our future will depend on our performances, we are in the decisive period of the season.”

Whether or not Pioli’s words serve as inspiration for Milan or an easy team-talk for Roma boss Daniele De Rossi remains to be seen.

Roma vs AC Milan match tip

Over 8.5 corners @ 8/11 with Midnite

There have been an average of nine corners per match across the three previous meetings (all comps) between these sides so far this season.

Roma vs AC Milan odds


18+ only. BeGambleAware.

Despite Roma having home advantage, it’s AC Milan that are favourites to win the second leg, though whether or not they can do enough to win the tie without needing extra-time is another question.

Roma vs AC Milan team news

Roma team news

In  Out Doubtful
Evan N’Dicka, Sardar Azmoun, Bryan Cristante

Evan N’Dicka and Sardar Azmoun are both sidelined while Bryan Cristante is suspended.

Top Scorer: Romelu Lukaku (7)

Card Magnet: Evan N’Dicka (5)

Assist Ace: Stephan El Shaarawy (5)

AC Milan team news

In  Out Doubtful
Pierre Kalulu, Simon Kjaer, Tommaso Pobega

AC Milan remain without Pierre Kalulu and Tommaso Pobega for this match, while Simon Kjaer has also joined the injury list with a muscle problem.

Top Scorer: Ruben Loftus-Cheek (4)

Card Magnet: Alessandro Florenzi (2)

Assist Ace: Theo Hernandez, Alessandro Florenzi (3)

How to watch Roma vs AC Milan live

Roma vs AC Milan kicks off on Thursday at 8pm (UK time) and will be broadcast live in the UK on TNT Sports 4.

Roma vs AC Milan head-to-head

  • 11/04/24 – AC Milan 0-1 Roma – Europa League
  • 14/01/24 – AC Milan 3-1 Roma – Serie A
  • 01/09/23 – Roma 1-2 AC Milan – Serie A
  • 29/04/23 – Roma 1-1 AC Milan – Serie A
  • 08/01/23 – AC Milan 2-2 Roma – Serie A

Roma’s 1-0 victory in the first leg ended a nine-match winless run in this fixture.

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