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Poland vs Netherlands Euro 2024 prediction, odds, team news & expected XIs: Can Oranje live up to their billing?

Euro 2024 Group D gets underway when Poland takes on the Netherlands. 

Poland vs Netherlands latest prediction

Group D certainly looks like a tough one, and both Poland and Netherlands will be hoping to get their campaign off to a winning start.

France and Austria are the other sides drawn into Group D, one of the most open groups at the European Championships this summer. Netherlands are among the favourites alongside France to advance from Group D. A win here could prove vital for Ronald Koeman’s side, as they will face the French in the second round of matches.

Poland aren’t a bad side by any means, but will miss talismanic striker Robert Lewandowski due to a thigh injury.

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Poland and the Netherlands begin their Euro 2024 campaigns on June 16 in Hamburg.

Poland had a disappointing qualifying campaign, finishing third in Group E behind Albania and the Czech Republic. They needed to qualify for the tournament through the playoff, beating Estonia in the semi-finals before needing penalties to overcome Wales. It’s not been a strong period for Poland, and Euro 2024 could be a tough tournament for Michał Probierz and his side.

Netherlands finished second in Group B, losing twice to France, who they have again been drawn with in the tournament proper. Their qualification to Euro 2024 was never really in doubt, though, with the Dutch side winning their other six group games to seal their route to Germany.

Latet Poland team news

Poland have few household names in their squad, but some will be familiar to English football fans. Jakub Kiwior could feature in their opening match and is currently plying his Premier League trade. Jan Bednarek and Jakub Moder will also be known to those on the south coast, with Southampton and Brighton boasting those players in their squads, respectively.

The biggest name is Robert Lewandowski, the Barcelona frontman who has been the Polish talisman since his debut in 2008. With 82 goals in 150 appearances for his nation, Lewandowski has broken numerous records for Poland and might have to excel to see his side advance at Euro 2024, but he’ll miss the Netherlands clash due to a muscle injury.

So, the main question for head coach Probierz is who takes Lewandowski’s place? Three potential candidates are Adam Buksa, Karol Świderski, and Krzysztof Piątek. A possible surprise in the starting lineup could be 19-year-old Bologna attacking midfielder Kacper Urbański.

Poland’s success at Euro 2024 could come down to their match with Austria but any points they can take off of Netherlands will put pressure on their Group D rivals.

Latest Netherlands team news

The Netherlands have one of the stand-out squads at Euro 2024 but questions remain over whether they have the mindset to win a major competition.

With Koeman at the helm, they certainly have a leader who has won all there is in the game. There are also leaders are on the pitch, such as centre-back Virgil van Dijk. But in terms of quality they perhaps lack firepower at the other end. Memphis Depay and Cody Gakpo are good options to have. However, neither has ever had the lethal consistency of a top-level striker (though it must be noted that Depay needs just six more goals to surpass Robin van Persie as the Netherlands’ record scorer).

Heading into their opening match, the Netherlands are dealing with the absence of Teun Koopmeiners and Frenkie de Jong (both missing Euro 2024) due to injuries, leaving significant gaps in midfield.

With France up next for the Netherlands, a win in this game could be vital, and consecutive defeats would leave them fighting for their lives to qualify for the round of 16.

Poland vs Netherlands head-to-head record

The last six games between these nations have been heavily on the side of the Netherlands, with five wins and a draw keeping Poland from picking up a victory since they met in 1979. Poland must buck the historical trend to come out on top here.

Poland vs Netherlands H2H
Date Score Ground
22/09/22 0-2 Stadion Narodowy, Warsaw
11/06/22 2-2 De Kuip, Rotterdam
18/11/20 1-2 Stadion Śląski, Chorzów
04/09/20 0-1 Johan Cruyff ArenA, Amsterdam
01/06/16 1-2 Stadion Energa, Gdańsk
04/06/00 1-3 Stade Olympique de la Pontaise, Lausanne

How to watch Poland vs Netherlands Live

Group D sees Poland take on Netherlands at Volksparkstadion, Hamburg on June 16 and all of the action will be live on BBC One and BBC iPlayer, as well as online on the BBC website. 

Every game at Euro 2024 will be shown live on either BBC or ITV, with the two platforms sharing the broadcast rights.