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Leeds vs Norwich Championship Play-Offs Predictions, Tips and Odds: All to play for in semi-final second leg

Leeds and Norwich meet in the second leg of their Championship play-off semi-final after the opening game ended in a goalless stalemate. The hosts just missed out on automatic promotion after a slow end to the season, while the Canaries dropped to the final play-off place on the last weekend.

Leeds vs Norwich predictions

Leeds vs Norwich: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 17/20 with Bet Goodwin
Correct Score Leeds 2-1 Norwich 15/2 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Josh Sargent 9/1 with Unibet

The stats behind our Leeds vs Norwich predictions:

  • Both teams have scored in five of Norwich’s past eight away league games.
  • Norwich have won just one of their last five Championship games.
  • Leeds have conceded the first goal of the game in their previous four games.

A chance for Leeds to write the wrongs

Having suffered relegation from the Premier League last year, Leeds will have been aiming for an automatic return to the top flight. And they looked on course to secure that until the campaign’s final stages. Although Ipswich was playing catch up, it felt like automatic promotion was Leeds’ to lose, and they failed.

After going on a run of 14 wins and two draws in 16 games from the start of 2024 to the beginning of April, the wheels started to fall off. Leeds won just one of their final six league games, with one draw and four defeats. Some of the defeats were damning, too, as Leeds were beaten by relegation-battling Blackburn and QPR, the latter a 4-0 thrashing. Leeds will also be wary of the history, losing the play-off semi-finals the last time they were in it, having finished third in 2018/19.

Norwich, meanwhile, won the play-offs the last time they contested them, though the Canaries had a much stronger third-place finish in the 2014/15 campaign, having just come down from the Premier League. The Canaries were also quite fortunate to hold onto their spot in the play-offs after an underwhelming finish to the regular season.

Although Norwich finished three points clear of seventh-placed Hull, they only picked up two points from their final three matches. Draws against Bristol City and Swansea put Norwich in a good position, and the goal difference was enough to keep them comfortable. But a final-day defeat to Birmingham — who were relegated despite the win — leaves some cause for concern.

Norwich and Leeds subsequently played a tense and cagey match that ended goalless in the first leg of their Championship play-off semi-final. Both teams struggled to create many scoring opportunities at Carrow Road, and the spot in the Wembley final on 26 May will be determined in the second leg at Elland Road on Thursday.

Leeds vs Norwich match tip

Crysencio Summerville to score anytime @ 15/8 with SkyBet

Many players will look to be the hero in the second leg, and Crysencio Summerville is among those most likely to do so. The Dutch U21 forward has scored in 36% of Championship games this season for Leeds.

Leeds vs Norwich odds


*Odds correct as of 07:30 on May 14. 18+ only. GambleAware.

Despite their recent poor form, Leeds are the favourites to win this second leg. As the third-placed team facing sixth, it is easy to understand why. But don’t completely count Norwich out.

Leeds vs Norwich team news

Leeds team news

In  Out Doubtful
Pascal Struijk

Pascal Struijk remains out for Leeds, but that is the only injury issue now.

Top Scorer: Crysencio Summerville (19)

Card Magnet: Ethan Ampadu (9)

Assist Ace: Georginio Rutter (15)

Leeds team news

In  Out Doubtful
Shane Duffy

Shane Duffy had to come off in the recent defeat to Birmingham and should miss out again.

Top Scorer: Josh Sargent (16)

Card Magnet: Kenny McLean (11)

Assist Ace: Gabriel Sara (12)

How to watch Leeds vs Norwich Live

Norwich’s trip to Leeds takes place on Thursday, May 16th, at 8 p.m. The game will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Football. You can follow all the latest action and stats on the Squawka Live X feed.

Leeds vs Norwich head-to-head

  • 12 May 2024 – Norwich 2-3 Leeds – Championship
  • 24 January 2024 – Leeds 1-0 Norwich – Championship
  • 21 October 2023 – Norwich 2-3 Leeds – Championship
  • 13 March 2022 – Leeds 2-1 Norwich – Premier League
  • 31 October 2021 – Norwich 1-2 Leeds – Premier League

Leeds went into the opening leg game in good form against Norwich, having won each of their past four matches in this fixture.

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