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Napoli vs Barcelona Predictions, Tips and Odds: Champions League last 16 continues

Napoli vs Barcelona Predictions, Tips and Odds: Champions League last 16 continues

The last 16 of the 2023/24 Champions League rolls on with Barcelona travelling to face Napoli in their first leg.

Napoli vs Barcelona predictions

Napoli vs Barcelona: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 8/13 by Bet365
Correct Score Napoli 1-1 Barcelona 6/1 by Bet Goodwin
First Goalscorer Victor Osimhen 19/25 by BetMGM

The stats behind our Napoli vs Barcelona predictions:

  • Both these sides scored in all six of their 2023/24 Champions League group-stage games.
  • Barcelona have only won one of their last 10 away games in the knockout stages of the Champions League
  • Victor Osimhen is one of eight players who scored for Napoli in the Champions League this season.

Barcelona hoping for European run to boost season

This match sees two defending champions from Europe’s top five leagues go head-to-head while their grip on their respective titles loosens. Barcelona is the Spanish defending champion, finishing 10 points clear of rival Real Madrid. But roles have reversed this season, with Barcelona in third, trailing Real Madrid by eight points.

Recently, they were beaten in the Spanish Supercopa final by Real Madrid while also losing to Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey. A loss to Villarreal followed up that latter defeat and that preceded Xavi announcing his impending departure at the end of the season. Barcelona have experienced a bit of a lift since then, unbeaten in four games, and they’ll hope the Champions League brings good fortune. Barcelona won four of their six games in the group stage, losing to Shakhtar Donetsk and Royal Antwerp.

Napoli were even more emphatic in their Serie A title win last season, finishing 16 points clear of second-placed Lazio. It was their first Serie A title since 1990, and there were dreams of them building on it — though they would have to do so without Luciano Spalletti. Rudi Garcia was drafted to replace Spalletti but lasted 16 matches with four defeats, including one in the Champions League.

Walter Mazzarri didn’t fair much better, but he secured qualification to the last 16 of the Champions League. Mazzarri lost eight of his 17 games, including defeats in the Supercoppa Italiana final and round of 16 in the Coppa Italia, which led to his dismissal on the eve of this game. Francesco Calzona, who previously assisted Maurizio Sarri, left his Slovakia national job to be installed as Napoli’s third manager this season. He inherits a side that sits ninth in Serie A, a massive 27 points off the top spot and nine outside the Champions League spots. They need a good run in the Champions League.

Napoli vs Barcelona match tip

Draw @ 7/4 by Sky Bet

A game too close to call, history suggests there may be nothing separating these two sides when the full-time whistle blows. Napoli and Barcelona have faced off twice in knockout football, once in the Champions League and once in the Europa League. Both ties were played across two legs, and on both occasions, the first match finished level. In the 2019/20 Champions League, Antoine Griezmann cancelled out Dries Mertens’ opener in a 1-1 draw; in the 2021/22 Europa League, Ferran Torres equalised after Piotr Zielinski’s strike in a 1-1 draw.

Napoli vs Barcelona odds


*Odds correct as of 09:00 on February 13. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.

We have two pretty evenly matched sides in indifferent form domestically, though Barcelona are in a slightly better position. Neither side will want to give up too much in the first leg, so this could be a cagey affair.

You also have to consider Barcelona’s poor form away from home in the Champions League knockout stages, and Napoli has never won a major European match against the Blaugrana.

Napoli vs Barcelona team news

Napoli team news

In  Out Doubtful

Napoli should have a fresh squad from which to choose for this game, with Victor Osimhen back in contention following the Africa Cup of Nations.

Top Scorer: Giovani Simeone (1)

Card Magnet: Giovani Simeone (1)

Assist Ace: Natan (1)

Barcelona team news

In  Out Doubtful
Joao Felix, Ferran Torres, Gavi, Marcos Alonso, Alejandro Balde Players

Joao Felix is Barcelona’s joint-top scorer in the Champions League with three goals, though he has reached the mark in fewer minutes than Ferran Torres. But the Portuguese forward misses out on the trip to Naples due to an ankle injury. Also sidelined for Barcelona are Torres, Gavi, Marcos Alonso and Alejandro Balde.

Top Scorer: Joao Felix (3)

Card Magnet: Sergi Roberto (2)

Assist Ace: Ilkay Gundogan (3)

How to watch Napoli vs Barcelona Live

The first leg of this Champions League last 16 tie between Napoli and Barcelona will be shown live on TNT Sports 2 at 8 pm on Wednesday, February 21st.

Napoli vs Barcelona head-to-head

  • 24 February 2022 – Napoli 2-4 Barcelona – Europa League
  • 17 February 2022 – Barcelona 1-1 Napoli – Europa League
  • 8 August 2020 – Barcelona 3-1 Napoli – Champions League
  • 25 February 2020 – Napoli 1-1 Barcelona – Champions League

These two sides have previously met twice in knockout ties, once in the Champions League and again in the Europa League. Barcelona advanced on both occasions after drawing the first leg.

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