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Man City vs Newcastle FA Cup Predictions, Tips and Odds: The defence goes on

Manchester City’s defence of their FA Cup crown continues with an all-Premier League showdown against Newcastle United in the quarter-finals.

Man City vs Newcastle predictions

Man City vs Newcastle: Predictions

Bet Prediction BetMGM odds
BTTS? No 19/20
Correct Score Man City 3-0 Newcastle 7/1
First Goalscorer Phil Foden 21/5

The stats behind our Man City vs Newcastle predictions:

  • Man City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last four FA Cup home matches
  • Man City have scored at least three goals in 11 of their last 12 FA Cup home matches.
  • Man City have opened the scoring in eight of their last ten home matches across all competitions.

Home dominance to pay off for Man City

Man City is tough to beat wherever they play, but they are a different beast at the Etihad. The Citizens have yet to lose at home this season, winning 15 and drawing three of their 18 games. Man City last lost at home across all competitions in November 2022, a run of 36 unbeaten with 32 wins.

When you focus that record on just the FA Cup, it gets even more challenging for Newcastle. Man City haven’t lost at home in the FA Cup since the fourth round in 2014/15, when they were shocked 2-0 by Middlesbrough. Of course, home games aren’t guaranteed in cup competitions, and it’s the luck of the draw, but this isn’t a short run. Man City have won their last 12 FA Cup home games, including wins over Chelsea and Arsenal. In their only home FA Cup game this season, they beat Huddersfield 5-0 in the third round. The holders beat Tottenham 1-0 before knocking Luton out in the fifth round.

Meanwhile, Newcastle hopes to reach the FA Cup semi-finals for the first time since 2004/05, which would secure a second trip to Wembley in as many years. The Magpies were beaten by Manchester United in the EFL Cup final last year, so they will be hoping for a happier return should they get there. It’s not often that Newcastle reach this stage of the FA Cup, only making it to the quarter-finals twice since their semi-final appearance 19 years ago.

It hasn’t been an easy run for Newcastle either. They beat bitter rivals Sunderland in the third round and then faced Premier League side Fulham, winning 2-0. In the fifth round, Newcastle needed penalties to beat Championship side Blackburn after Sammie Szmodics had cancelled out Anthony Gordon’s opener.

Man City vs Newcastle match tip

Over 2.5 home goals @ 10/13 with BetMGM

As well as being tough to beat at home, Man City love scoring at the Etihad, especially in the FA Cup. The Citizens have scored at least three goals in 11 of their last 12 FA Cup home matches, only failing in a 1-0 win over Arsenal last season.

Man City vs Newcastle odds

Man City

*Odds correct as of 16:30 on March 15. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.

Given their home record, it’s no surprise that Man City is the favourite for this game. Newcastle is also weaker on the road than at home this season, recently losing to Chelsea and Arsenal.

Man City vs Newcastle team news

Man City team news

In  Out Doubtful
Jack Grealish, Ederson

Ederson had to come off in the draw with Liverpool at the weekend and is set to be out for up to four weeks. Jack Grealish is also out until after the international break.

Top Scorer: Erling Haaland (5)

Card Magnet: Jeremy Doku, Ruben Dias, Josko Gvardiol, Mateo Kovacic (1)

Assist Ace: Kevin De Bruyne (5)

Newcastle team news

In  Out Doubtful
Lewis Hall Sandro Tonali, Callum Wilson, Joelinton, Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier, Harvey Barnes, Anthony Gordon Dan Burn

Lewis Hall is back in the side after missing the defeat to Chelsea, unable to face his parent club. Dan Burn is also expected to be okay to feature, but Kieran Trippier won’t be back until after the international break. The extent of Anthony Gordon’s injury is as yet unknown.

Top Scorer: Alexander Isak (2)

Card Magnet: Jamaal Lascelles, Anthony Gordon, Fabian Schar, Sean Longstaff, Bruno Guimaraes (1)

Assist Ace: Miguel Almiron (2)

How to watch Man City vs Newcastle Live

The all-Premier League FA Cup quarter-final between Manchester City and Newcastle will be broadcast live on BBC One at 5:30 p.m. on Saturday, March 16th.

Man City vs Newcastle head-to-head

  • 13 January 2024 – Newcastle United 2-3 Manchester City – Premier League
  • 27 September 2023 – Newcastle United 1-0 Manchester City – League Cup
  • 19 August 2023 – Manchester City 1-0 Newcastle United – Premier League
  • 4 March 2023 – Manchester City 2-0 Newcastle United – Premier League
  • 21 August 2022 – Newcastle United 3-3 Manchester City – Premier League

Manchester City have won nine of their previous 12 meetings with Newcastle, drawing two with one defeat.

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