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Luton vs Brentford Premier League Predictions, Tips and Odds: The battle at the bottom

Luton and Brentford meet in a huge six pointer at the bottom of the Premier League table on Saturday at 3pm (UK time).

Luton vs Brentford predictions

Luton vs Brentford: Predictions

Bet Prediction Midnite odds
BTTS? Yes 1/2
Correct Score Luton 2-1 Brentford 10/1
First Goalscorer Carlton Morris 6/1

The stats behind our Luton vs Brentford predictions:

  • Both teams have scored in each of Luton’s previous five Premier League home games.
  • Brentford have lost nine of their last 11 Premier League away matches, six by a one-goal margin.
  • No Luton player has more Premier League goals this season than Carlton Morris (9).
  • The Bees have conceded the opening goal in each of their previous five Premier League away matches.

Can Luton make the escape?

Even with Everton and Nottingham Forest both being deducted points, Luton are in the relegation zone and need to turn things around quickly. Although the Hatters beat Bournemouth recently, they remain one point from safety, with five games left to play.

It wasn’t too long ago that Luton looked to be in control of the relegation battle. Despite sitting in the bottom three, Luton had games in hand on the teams above them. But they lost that and the teams around them were picking up vital points. In the league, it’s now just one win for Luton since the start of February, a run which has seen them lose eight of their 12 games with three draws.

For Brentford, there is still some danger of the drop. The Bees are now seven points ahead of Luton but know that defeat will draw them right back into the battle. Brentford only have a bit of breathing space thanks to their 2-0 win over Sheffield United last weekend, which ended a nine-game winless run in the Premier League.

Luton vs Brentford match tip

Brentford to not score in the first half @ 21/20 by Midnite

One of the reasons Brentford are struggling of late has been their inability to score in the first half. Since drawing 2-2 with Tottenham at half time in their opening Premier League game this season, Brentford haven’t scored more than once in the first half in any of their last 32 league matches. In fact, they’ve not scored in the opening 45 minutes in any of their last five, with 10 of their last 11 goals coming after the break.

Luton vs Brentford odds


*Odds correct as of 17:15 on April 19. 18+ only. BeGambleAware

Given their standing in the table, and Luton’s more obvious relegation battle, Brentford are the favourites for this one. Recent history will also have played a part, with Brentford winning six of their past seven games against Luton.

Luton vs Brentford team news

Luton team news

In  Out Doubtful
Issa Kabore Thomas Lockyer, Marvelous Nakamba, Jacob Brown, Dan Potts, Amari’i Bell, Elijah Adebayo, Chiedozie Ogbene, Mads Andersen, Gabriel Osho Teden Mengi, Albert Sambi Lokonga

Issa Kabore is available once again, having been ineligible to face Manchester City last weekend. However, Luton still have a host of absentees including Elijah Adebayo and Chiedozie Ogbene.

Top Scorer: Elijah Adebayo, Carlton Morris (9)

Card Magnet: Issa Kabore (7)

Assist Ace: Alfie Doughty (7)

Brentford team news

In  Out Doubtful
Joshua Dasilva, Aaron Hickey, Rico Henry, Ben Mee Kristoffer Ajer, Christian Norgaard

Brentford will be hoping to have Kristoffer Ajer and Christian Norgaard available for this game, but they face late fitness tests. Ben Mee, Rico Henry, Aaron Hickey and Joshua Dasilva are out for the season.

Top Scorer: Bryan Mbeumo, Yoane Wissa (8)

Card Magnet: Frank Onyeka, Christian Nørgaard, Vitaly Janelt (8)

Assist Ace: Sergio Reguilon, Neal Maupay, Bryan Mbeumo, Mathias Jensen (3)

Luton vs Brentford head-to-head

  • 2 December 2023 – Brentford 3-1 Luton – Premier League
  • 20 January 2021 – Brentford 1-0 Luton – Championship
  • 31 October 2020 – Luton 0-3 Brentford – Championship
  • 25 February 2020 – Luton 2-1 Brentford – Championship
  • 30 November 2019 – Brentford 7-0 Luton – Championship

Brentford have won six of their last seven meetings with Luton, with their only defeat coming at Kenilworth Road in February 2020.

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