Ad disclosure

Leeds vs Southampton Predictions, Tips and Odds: Championship Play-Off Final

Leeds and Southampton go head-to-head at Wembley in the Championship play-off final both hoping to return to the Premier League at the first time of asking. 

Leeds vs Southampton predictions

Leeds vs Southampton: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 8/11 with Midnite
Correct Score Leeds 1-2 Southampton 10/1 with BetGoodwin
First Goalscorer Adam Armstrong 6/1 with Bet365

The stats behind our Leeds vs Southampton predictions:

  • BTTS has landed in four of the last five matches between these two teams.
  • Southampton have won both meetings with Leeds in the Championship this season
  • Adam Armstrong has 23 league goals this season, at least seven more than any other Southampton player.

The Premier League awaits

It all comes down to this.

After a long and gruelling Championship season, both Leeds United and Southampton have the chance to return to the Premier League at the first time of asking when they meet at Wembley for the most expensive game in football.

After finally being promoted to the top flight as champions in 2019/20, Leeds’ stay in the Premier League lasted just three seasons as they finished 19th last campaign. Many expected the Whites to go straight back up, and after missing out on automatic promotion to Leicester and Ipswich, Daniel Farke has the chance to complete the job against a Southampton side who are also looking for an instant return.

The Saints’ 11-year stay in the Premier League finally ended in 2022/23 as they finished bottom, with neither Ralph Hasenhüttl, Nathan Jones, nor Ruben Selles able to stop them from the dreaded drop. This season under Russell Martin, however, they have returned to attacking, free-flowing football and are now just one match away from joining Leicester and Ipswich back in the top flight at the first time of asking.

Southampton have beaten Leeds in both meetings in the Championship this season, winning 3-1 at St. Mary’s before Adam Armstrong and Will Smallbone gave them a 2-1 victory at Elland Road. With just two points separating them in the table and the sheer importance of the match, this should be another close game, with the losers having to pick themselves up once more and go again next season.

Play Squawka Selector and compete for £250 Guaranteed Prize Pot EVERY matchday at Euro 2024

  1. Click here to register for Squawka Selector
  2. Sign up and press ‘Join’ on the next available pot
  3. Correctly predict outcomes on selected games
  4. Track your progress in real-time with our live leaderboard and be in with the chance of scooping the top cash prize

For more information on how to play and Ts&Cs, read our in-depth article. Players must be 18+ and a resident of the UK. 


Leeds vs Southampton match tip

Adam Armstrong to score anytime @ 9/4 with Bet365

Adam Armstrong missed out on the Championship Golden Boot to Sammie Szmodics this season, but he still had an incredible goalscoring campaign. The 27-year-old scored 21 goals and provided 13 assists in his 46 appearances during the season, adding two more goals in the play-off semi-final second-leg against West Brom to help book his side’s place at Wembley.

Leeds vs Southampton odds


*Odds correct as of 07:45 on May 24 | 18+. GambleAware

As expected in a play-off final, it’s very close in the betting. Leeds are slight favourites to win in 90 minutes. But with their play-off curse and the fact Southampton have won both head-to-head meetings between the sides this season, they will fancy their chances of returning to the top-flight after just one season in the Championship.

Leeds vs Southampton team news

Leeds team news

In  Out Doubtful
Pascal Struijk, Patrick Bamford

Pascal Struijk and Patrick Bamford are set to miss out at Wembley, so Leeds will likely stick with the side that beat Norwich 4-0 at Elland Road.

Top Scorer: Crysencio Summerville (20)

Card Magnet: Ethan Ampadu (9)

Assist Ace: Georginio Rutter (15)

Southampton team news

In  Out Doubtful
Gavin Bazunu, Stuart Armstrong, Juan Larios Che Adams, Ross Stewart

Alex McCarthy will continue in goal, with Gavin Bazunu ruled out long-term. Stuart Armstrong and Juan Larios will miss out again, while Che Adams and Ross Stewart remain doubts.

Top Scorer: Adam Armstrong (23)

Card Magnet: Jan Bednarek (12)

Assist Ace: Adam Armstrong (13)

Leeds vs Southampton head-to-head

  • 4 May 2024 – Leeds 1-2 Southampton – Championship
  • 30 September 2024 – Southampton 3-1 Leeds – Championship 
  • 25 February 2023 – Leeds 1-0 Southampton – Premier League 
  • 13 August 2022 – Southampton 2-2 Leeds – Premier League 
  • 2 April 2022 – Leeds 1-1 Southampton – Premier League

Southampton have won both meetings between the two sides in the Championship this season and have lost just one of the previous six against the Whites.

BetMGM sign-up offer: Get £40 in free bets when you bet £10

Not signed up to BetMGM yet? Here's how eligible readers* can take advantage of their welcome offer:

  1. Open an account at BetMGM using this link.
  2. Select the Sports Welcome Offer.
  3. Get the offer from the ‘My Offers’ page.
  4. Deposit and place a £10 bet at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater.
  5. When it settles, unlock £40 in Free Bets

*New customer only. 3 days to claim & 7 days to place a qualifying bet to receive 4x Free Bets: 1 x £10 Horse racing, 1 x £10 Free Bet Builder, 1 x £10 Acca and 1 x £10 Football. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. T&Cs apply. For more information, visit