Italy vs France prediction, odds, tips & team news: France need a landslide win to snatch top spot
Italy vs France
This match will determine the winners of UEFA Nations League Group A2. Italy are already three points ahead of France at the summit of the group, and have a 3-1 head-to-head win over France earlier in the group. This means that France would have to better that result in Italy to leapfrog over Italy and win the group.
Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams To Score (7/5 with Boylesports)
All four of Italy’s first four UEFA Nations League matches this season featured over 2.5 goals, and, as explained above, France will need to come out and attack Italy if they have any aspirations of progressing to the Nations League finals. The earlier match between the pair ended 3-1 to Italy, and a repeat of that type of match should see this land at an odds against price.
Davide Frattesi to score anytime (4/1 with Boylesports)
The Internazionale midfielder is Italy’s key threat breaking from midfield. He has notched in three of Italy’s five Nations League matches, including the return fixture here. Frattesi has registered over 0.3 xG in every one of these Nations League matches as well, proving himself to be a consistent goal threat, more so than any other Italian player, so his price here is a bargain.
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Italy vs France latest odds
How both teams go into Italy vs France
After meekly relinquishing their crown at Euro 2024, the Italians put everyone on notice with a 3-1 win against France to kick-start their Nations League campaign. Since then, they have secured three more victories and an entertaining 2-2 draw against Belgium, as well as beating the Red Devils earlier this week 1-0, which firmly places them in control of Group A2 heading into matchday five.
France, who initially took the lead in their loss to Italy, have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including two victories over Belgium, until a surprising 0-0 draw with Israel this week halted Les Bleus’ momentum. This leaves them with a mountain to climb in this match.
Italy team news
Italy have a pretty much full strength squad to choose from and will probably set up in a 3-5-1-1 shape with Nicolo Barella just behind Mateo Retegui.
France team news
Kylian Mbappé has been left out of this set of international fixtures, with Didier Deschamps expressing that it was best for the Real Madrid star to remain at home. The subsequent goalless draw with Israel has therefore not played well for the World Cup winning captain and coach of France.
Italy vs France head-to-head
Italy broke a two-game losing streak against France last time, achieving only their third victory over France in their last 14 encounters, which included nine losses and two draws.
| Italy vs France H2H | |||||||
| Date | Score | Ground | |||||
| 06 Sep 2024 | France 1-3 Italy | Parc des Princes, Paris | |||||
| 01 Jun 2018 | France 3-1 Italy | Allianz Riviera, Nice | |||||
| 01 Sep 2016 | Italy 1-3 France | Stadio Comunale, Turin | |||||
| 14 Nov 2012 | Italy 1-2 France | Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma | |||||
| 17 Jun 2008 | France 0-2 Italy | Letzigrund, Zurich | |||||
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