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France vs Belgium Euro 2024 prediction: Can Red Devils get revenge for 2018?

The Euro 2024 last 16 continues with a big clash between neighbours France and Belgium.

France vs Belgium Euro 2024 prediction: Can Red Devils get revenge for 2018?

France vs Belgium latest prediction

France arrived in Germany as the pre-Euro 2024 favourites alongside England, but it’s been a disappointing campaign for Les Bleus so far. Didier Deschamps’ men ended the group stage with just one win from their three games, narrowly beating Austria 1-0 via an own goal in their tournament opener. In their very next game, France drew 0-0 with Netherlands but were fortunate not to lose a turgid affair, with the Oranje having a goal ruled out for offside.

In their final match, France drew 1-1 with Poland, Kylian Mbappe scoring a penalty before Robert Lewandowski equalised with a spot-kick of his own. So France had to settle for second in Group D, placing them in this tough side of the draw. Les Bleus have now drawn five of their last six European Championship matches, which includes a 3-3 draw and penalty-shootout exit against Switzerland at Euro 2020.

Expectations weren’t as high regarding Belgium, despite being ranked so highly in FIFA’s current standings. That’s because they’re going through a transitional phase, with some remnants of their fabled Golden Generation still flickering around. Nonetheless, Belgium were still expected to top their group at the very least.

However, the Red Devils had to settle for second in a group that saw all four teams finish on four points. Belgium lost their opening game with a shock 1-0 defeat to Slovakia but did rebound to beat Romania 2-0. But a goalless draw in their final game against Ukraine saw Belgium finish below Romania on goals scored, with the initial head-to-head tiebreaker negated by the four-way tie. Belgium have now advanced to the knockout stage of the European Championship for the third consecutive time.

The showdown between France and Belgium takes place at 5pm on Monday 1st July, at the Düsseldorf Arena in Düsseldorf.

Based on their group stage performances, we shouldn’t expected this game to be goal heavy. Only Serbia (3.8%) had a poorer shot conversion rate than France and Belgium, who finished level of 4.2%. Both nations scored two goals from 48 shots, with a French player yet to score from open play. Belgium have also scored just three goals in their past six major tournament matches, stretching back to the 2022 World Cup group stage.

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France latest team news

Deschamps opted for a deeper three-man midfield against Poland in their final group game, with Aurelien Tchouameni replacing Antoine Griezmann. But it felt like that change was too negative, so Griezmann should come back into the starting XI to provide a link between the midfield and attack. Marcus Thuram could also come back in to replace Bradley Barcola.

Belgium latest team news

It’s been chop and change for Belgium across their opening Euro 2024 matches, with Tedesco opting for three different lineups. Belgium’s defence and midfield now seemingly pick themselves, with his only decision being who lines up on their right flank, with Leandro Trossard, Dodi Lukebakio, and Johan Bakayoko all vying to line up alongside Romelu Lukaku and Jérémy Doku.

France vs Belgium Head to Head

  • 7 October 2021 – Belgium 2-3 France – UEFA Nations League
  • 10 July 2018 – France 1-0 Belgium – FIFA World Cup
  • 7 June 2015 – France 3-4 Belgium – International Friendly
  • 14 August 2013 – Belgium 0-0 France – International Friendly
  • 15 November 2011 – France 0-0 Belgium – International Friendly

France tasted only one defeat in its last six meetings with Belgium. Among those fixtures during this period was a World Cup semi-final clash that saw Samuel Umtiti decide the contest in Saint Petersburg.

How to watch France vs Belgium live

France and Belgium kicks off on 1st July at 5pm and will be broadcast live in the UK on ITV.

Every game at Euro 2024 will be shown live on either BBC or ITV, with the two platforms sharing the broadcast rights.