Everton vs Liverpool Premier League Predictions, Tips and Odds: Crucial Merseyside Derby
Everton host Liverpool in the Merseyside derby on Wednesday with the teams desperate for points at both ends of the table.
Everton vs Liverpool predictions
Everton vs Liverpool: Predictions |
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| Bet | Prediction | Bookmaker odds |
| BTTS? | No | 21/20 by BoyleSports |
| Correct Score | Everton 0-0 Liverpool | 18/1 with StarSports |
| First Goalscorer | No goalscorer | 16/1 with Bet365 |
The stats behind our Everton vs Liverpool predictions:
- Everton have scored one goal or fewer in nine of their past 10 matches.
- Everton have scored one goal in their last six Merseyside derbies.
- Four of the last six Goodison derbies have finished 0-0.
A deciding Merseyside Derby
Both these sides tasted victory in the Premier League at the weekend, boosting their goals at either end of the table. For Liverpool, it was a 3-1 win over Fulham that saw them move level on points with Arsenal atop the Premier League table with five games left to play. The Reds had suffered in the title race slightly, ceding control after their 2-2 draw with Manchester United and 1-0 defeat to Crystal Palace last weekend.
The defeat to Palace was sandwiched between two Europa League quarter-final matches against Atalanta, with Liverpool knocked out of the competition following a 3-1 defeat. But they did win the second leg 1-0 and used that to add confidence with full focus now on the Premier League. Of course, Liverpool are now three points behind Arsenal after their win over Chelsea on Tuesday, so the Reds are playing catchup once again.
Assuming they don’t face another points deduction — and there aren’t any in the works — Everton will feel a bit more confident about their chances of safety now. After a long winless run in the Premier League, Everton have now won two of their past three games, only crumbling in a 6-0 thrashing at the hands of Chelsea.
The winless run was ended by a 1-0 win over Burnley, who were also the last side to be beaten by Everton before their long wait for victory. Then, at the weekend, Everton beat Nottingham Forest 2-0 albeit in very controversial circumstances, with Nuno Espirito Santo’s side denied a handful of penalties. But, for Everton, it was a crucial victory over a fellow relegation candidate, leaving the Toffees now five points clear of the drop zone with this being a game in hand on those below them.
Everton vs Liverpool match tip
Under 1.5 goals @ 23/5 with Bet UK
There has been an average of just 1.33 goals per game across the last 12 Merseyside derbies at Goodison Park. As you can see from the Comparison Matrix below, Everton have converted just over 10% of their chances this season. Whilst Liverpool have been converting their chances at a higher rate, they have still scored just 75 goals from over 475 shots.
Everton vs Liverpool odds
Everton have an awful record against their closest rivals, and have won just two games since mid-December. Their 6-0 defeat to Chelsea had a potential to crush their confidence but the Toffees did bounce back against Nottingham Forest. Liverpool also suffered a minor slump but appear to be back on track, so it’s no surprise to see the Reds as heavy favourites.
Everton vs Liverpool team news
Everton team news |
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| In | Out | Doubtful |
| – | Lewis Dobbin, Seamus Coleman, Nathan Patterson, Dele Alli, Beto | Dominic Calvert-Lewin |
Dominic Calvert-Lewin was taken off in the win over Forest due to a slight injury, but it is hoped that he will be okay to feature here. It would be good news for Everton, with Beto ruled out for the next two matches at least as the Toffees follow concussion protocol. Seamus Coleman back training but won’t make it back for this one.
Top Scorer: Abdoulaye Doucoure (6)
Card Magnet: James Tarkowski (9)
Assist Ace: Dwight McNeil (5)
Liverpool team news |
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| In | Out | Doubtful |
| – | Joel Matip, Thiago, Conor Bradley | – |
Diogo Jota has been ruled out for two weeks after suffering an injury against Fulham. The Portuguese forward joins Thiago, Conor Bradley and Joel Matip on the sidelines. Mohamed Salah didn’t start against Fulham and only came on for 15 minutes, so will be expected to replace Jota from the off.
Top Scorer: Mohamed Salah (17)
Card Magnet: Darwin Nunez, Wataru Endo (8)
Assist Ace: Mohamed Salah (9)
How to watch Everton vs Liverpool Live
Everton vs Liverpool kicks off on Wednesday at 8pm and will be broadcast live in the UK on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.
Everton vs Liverpool head-to-head
- 21 October 2023 – Liverpool 2-0 Everton – Premier League
- 13 February 2023 – Liverpool 2-0 Everton – Premier League
- 3 September 2022 – Everton 0-0 Liverpool – Premier League
- 24 April 2022 – Liverpool 2-0 Everton – Premier League
- 1 December 2021 – Everton 1-4 Liverpool – Premier League
Everton have beaten Liverpool just once since October 2010, with that also the last occasion on which they won the Merseyside derby at Goodison Park. Seamus Coleman is the only surviving Everton player from that match, which featured goals from Tim Cahill and Mikel Arteta.
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