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Everton vs Burnley Premier League Predictions, Tips and Odds: Toffees to end winless run?

A crucial tie at the bottom of the Premier League table sees Everton and Burnley go head-to-head at Goodison Park on Saturday at 3pm (UK time). 

Everton vs Burnley predictions

Everton vs Burnley: Predictions

Bet Prediction Bookmaker odds
BTTS? Yes 4/5 with Bet365
Correct Score Everton 2-1 Burnley 8/1 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Jack Harrison 19/2 with BetVictor

The stats behind our Everton vs Burnley predictions:

  • Both teams have scored in five of Burnley’s previous six Premier League away games.
  • Everton salvaged a draw against Newcastle last time out and have won four of their last five home games against Burnley (all comps).
  • Burnley conceded the first goal in five of their last six Premier League away games.

Sean Dyche to do double over former side?

Despite a late equaliser from Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who ended an 18-game goalless run in the Premier League, against Newcastle in midweek, it has now been a club record 13 games without a win in the Premier League for the Toffees.

Having not tasted victory in the Premier League since the 16th Decemeber against this weekend’s opponents Burnley and sitting just four points clear of the relegation places, a win is a must this weekend with some tougher fixtures on the horizon.  Not only will three points against the Clarets ease their relegation worries, but it would also mean  that Everton manager Sean Dyche would be just the second Toffees manager to complete a double over a former club in a Premier League season, along with Sam Allardyce in 2017-18 against Newcastle United.

Burnley, meanwhile, come into this game on the back of a four-game unbeaten run in the Premier League having beaten Brentford and drawn with West Ham, Chelsea and Wolves. With six points separating them and safety, they realistically need to start converting those draws into wins, but every point counts at this stage of the season and they are in a much better position than they were in February.

Everton vs Burnley match tip

Over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 with Bet365

Each of Burnley’s last six Premier League away games has seen over 2.5 goals scored.  Vincent Kompany’s men have conceded 30 away Premier League goals this season, their most in a season since 2018-19, when they conceded 36 under Sean Dyche. The Clarets have shipped two or more goals in their last six on the road, last having a longer such run in the competition in their first 11 away games in 2009-10.

Everton vs Burnley odds


*Odds correct as of 17:15 on April 5. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.

Despite not winning a Premier League match since before Christmas, the odds say this may the match that the Toffees end their 13-game winless run in the league. The Clarets are unbeaten in their last four however (W1 D3), so the draw may be the value play here — especially at 16/5.

Everton vs Burnley team news

Everton team news

In  Out Doubtful
Dele Alli, Arnaut Danjuma, Lewis Dobbin Vitalii Mykolenko

Vitalii Mykolenko could be available for Everton this week after recently being unwell.

Top Scorer: Abdoulaye Doucouré (6)

Card Magnet: James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Idrissa Gueye (7)

Assist Ace: Dwight McNeil (5)

Burnley team news

In  Out Doubtful
Lorenz Assignon Aaron Ramsey, Nathan Redmond, Luca Koleosho, Jordan Beyer, Ameen Al-Dakhil,

Lorenz Assignon returns from suspension while five players are ruled out through injury.

Top Scorer: Zeki Amdouni, David Fofana, Lyle Foster, Jacob Bruun Larsen (4)

Card Magnet: Charlie Taylor (7)

Assist Ace: Dara O’Shea (4)

Everton vs Burnley head-to-head

  • 16 Dec 2023 – Burnley 0-2 Everton – Premier League
  • 01 Nov 2023 – Everton 3-0 Burnley – League Cup
  • 06 Apr 2022 – Burnley 3-2 Everton – Premier League
  • 13 Sep 2021- Everton 3-1 Burnley – Premier League
  • 13 Mar 2021 – Everton 1-2 Burnley – Premier League

Everton won three of their last four meetings against Burnley in all competitions.

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