England vs Brazil Predictions, Tips and Odds: Three Lions’ unbeaten run faces toughest test yet
England, runners-up at Euro 2020, will host five-time World Cup winners Brazil in preparation for this summer’s European Championships on Saturday.
England vs Brazil predictions
England vs Brazil: Predictions |
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Bet | Prediction | Bookmaker odds |
BTTS? | Yes | 17/20 with BetUK |
Correct Score | England 2-1 Brazil | 15/2 with Boylesports |
First Goalscorer | Bukayo Saka | 13/2 with Unibet |
The stats behind our England vs Brazil predictions:
- England have won their last 11 international friendlies at home (average two-goal margin).
- Brazil have lost their last three matches.
- England have opened the scoring in 11 of their last 12 international friendlies at home.
Injury-hit Brazil will be hoping to end England’s unbeaten run in Dorival Junior’s first game in charge
After three straight defeats to Uruguay, Colombia and arch-rivals Argentina, Brazil thought it was time for a change as Dorival Júnior was chosen to replace Fernando Deniz. Those results leave Seleção in sixth place on just seven points in the quest to qualify for the 2026 World Cup, eight points behind leaders Argentina and he has a job to do to get things back on track before Copa America.
However, first, he must take his injury-hit squad to Wembley to face an England side that are unbeaten since the 2022 World Cup (W8 D2) and themselves preparing for Euro 2024. To make things harder, he must also do it without first-choice goalkeepers Alisson and Ederson as well as Arsenal pair Gabriel and Gabriel Martinelli, Marquinhos, Casemiro and their all-time top goalscorer Neymar.
Gareth Southgate’s men finished their qualifying campaign unbeaten, taking six wins from eight games and will be hoping that this is the year that ‘Football comes home’ as he takes a squad brimming with talent to Germany hoping to win the European Championships for the first time in the country’s history. Phil Foden, Jude Bellingham, Bukayo Saka and Harry Kane form a phenomenal front four having scored an incredible 71 goals and provided 25 assists in the league between them so far this campaign and with other forwards in the squad such as Cole Palmer, Ollie Watkins and Marcus Rashford, then there is a lot of firepower for Gareth Southgate to utilise.
It could also be his final major tournament in charge of the Three Lions, with links this week suggesting there is a chance he could be the next Manchester United boss, news that has come with different levels of enthusiasm.
“I could see that happening [Gareth Southgate being the next Manchester United manager]” Roy Keane said on the Stick To Football podcast.
“Well, obviously everyone’s thinking he’s probably going to be with England this summer if he has a good Championship, thinking if they could win it. And if they don’t, then maybe they’re thinking maybe you’ve ran your race with him. His connection with Dan Ashworth, who he has worked with previously. Yeah, I’m not that surprised with it.”
With Ian Wright adding “I see Gareth Southgate standing on the line and the way he will be dressed, and his demeanour. I could see him; he’s got the stature to be Manchester United manager. The way he is.
“And we’re not talking about, I’m not being disrespectful, but in a kind of way I am but, his massive, big polo-necks, and he doesn’t look quite dressed, he looks like he’s got the stature for Manchester United with Erik ten Hag, sometimes you feel that. But for Gareth, talking about someone who looks the part, he’ll probably look the part standing on the line for Manchester United.”
However, after early doubts, Gary Neville can also see it happening.
“I never saw Gareth Southgate as a Manchester United manager, psychologically, I never saw that. I can see it now, now Dan Ashworth has come in,” he claimed
“I just think, what does Erik ten Hag need to do to stay as Manchester United manager? So, for instance, is the FA Cup enough, or does he need to get top four, or top five, Champions League?
“I think if Gareth is leaving, I think to be honest with you, you’ll have seen this in tournaments, but it’s never been easy. England will have qualifiers starting up again a couple of months after the tournament, so they’ll have to have a new manager in. And Gareth will need to sort his future out, to get a club for potentially the start of next season.
“So, I think if it’s done maturely, I can see how it would be brought forward in terms of Gareth. Forget Manchester United, England would need to appoint a new manager. So, they are going to have to appoint a new manager pre-tournament [the Euros this summer], probably.”
England vs Brazil match tip
Bukayo Saka to score and England to win @ 4/1 with Sky Bet
With Harry Kane most likely to sit this one out, Bukayo Saka looks to be England’s biggest goal threat against Brazil. The Arsenal man has put in some incredible displays for Arsenal so far this campaign and has backed that some with some impressive numbers – scoring 16 goals and providing a further 12 assists in 34 Premier League and Champions League appearances this term.
On the international stage, the 22-year-old has also been finding the back of the net on home soil, scoring four goals and supplying two assists in his last three matches at Wembley.
England vs Brazil odds
England are odds on favourites at Wembley, with Brazil best priced at 3/1 to come away with the victory. The Three Lions are unbeaten in each of their last three games against Brazil at Wembley (W1 D2), with both sides playing out a 0-0 draw in their last meeting.
England vs Brazil team news
18-year-old Kobbie Mainoo has been called up to the senior squad for the first time and will be hoping for his first cap alongside Anthony Gordon, Ezri Konsa and Jarrod Branthwaite. Ivan Toney returns to the squad after his eight-month suspension and will fight Ollie Watkins for a starting spot with Harry Kane expected to be rested after picking up an ankle injury with Bayern.
Ben White has ruled himself out of contention for the national side, while Trent Alexander-Arnold, Luke Shaw, Marc Guehi, Kieran Trippier and Jack Grealish all miss out through injury.
New Brazil coach Dorival Junior will be without Arsenal centre-back Gabriel in his first game in charge after he pulled out of the squad, as he joins Neymar, Casemiro, Alisson, Ederson, Marquinhos and Gabriel Martinelli on the sidelines.
Juventus pair Danilo and Bremer look set to start alongside each other at centre-back, but Richarlison may start from the bench after missing Tottenham’s last few games. This should see Real Madrid trio Vinicius Junior, Rodrygo and Endrick all start together in attack.
How to watch England vs Brazil live
England vs Brazil will be shown live on Channel 4 in the UK at 7pm.
England vs Brazil head-to-head
- 14 Nov 2017 – England 0-0 Brazil – International Friendly
- 02 Jun 2013 – Brazil 2-2 England – International Friendly
- 06 Feb 2013 – England 2-1 Brazil – International Friendly
- 14 Nov 2009 – Brazil 1-0 England – International Friendly
- 01 Jun 2007 – England 1-1 Brazil – International Friendly
England have won just one of their 11 previous meetings with Brazil (six draws and four losses).
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