Ad disclosure

England v Italy Euro 2024 qualifier predictions: Tips, odds and team news

England and Italy face off in a Euro 2024 qualifying showdown at Wembley Stadium on Tuesday (7:45pm, UK time).

Jump to:

England vs Italy odds


*Odds correct as of 14:00 on October 14

Nothing can be settled in Group C on matchday seven, but a win for England here would all but confirm their place at Euro 2024. Gareth Southgate’s side are currently on a seven game unbeaten run including friendlies, having beaten a spirited Australia side 1-0 at Wembley thanks to Ollie Watkins’ third international goal.

The Three Lions inflicted Italy’s only defeat in qualifying so far in the reverse fixture with goals from Declan Rice and Harry Kane, who became England’s all-time record goalscorer with a well taken penalty. The Italians are now under new management however, with Luciano Spalletti taking over from Roberto Mancini and things have picked up, winning three and drawing one of their last four matches.

They now sit just three points behind England here and a win here would see the table become incredibly interesting heading into the last few matches, with Ukraine also waiting for a slip up on 10 points.

Euro 2024 qualifying Group C table

  1. England: 5 games, 13 points
  2. Italy: 5 games, 10 points
  3. Ukraine: 6 games, 10 points
  4. North Macedonia: 6 games, 7 points
  5. Malta: 6 games, 0 points

England v Italy predictions

England v Italy: Predictions

Bet Prediction BetMGM odds
BTTS? Yes 19/20 with BetMGM
Correct Score 1-1 6/1 with BetMGM 
First Goalscorer Jude Bellingham 15/2 with BetMGM 

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our England v Italy predictions:

  • Italy are unbeaten in the last six games played in England against the Three Lions.
  • Five of the last nine meetings between England and Italy have ended in a draw.
  • Italy are unbeaten in the last three away games, as they collected two wins and one draw.
  • England opened the scoring in their previous three Euro qualifier matches at home.
  • Jude Bellingham has scored 10 goals in his 10 games for Real Madrid this season.

England v Italy match tip

Jude Bellingham to score anytime @ 3/1 with BetMGM 

Jude Bellingham will be hoping to take his club form onto the international stage. The 20-year-old has made an incredible start to life in Madrid, scoring 10 goals in his 10 games across all competitions and become the first Real Madrid player in the 21st century to score eight goals in his first eight LaLiga games.

READ MORE: How Jude Bellingham’s first 10 Real Madrid games compares to modern greats

England vs Italy Bet-Builder tip

Under 2.5 Goals > Jude Bellingham to score anytime > Draw @ 25/1

Italy have an impressive record in England and are unbeaten in their last six away games against the Three Lions. Jude Bellingham has scored 10 goals in 10 games for Real Madrid this season, while three of the last five meetings between these two sides have finished level.

England v Italy team news

England team news

In  Out Doubtful
Jordan Pickford, Harry Maguire, Kyle Walker, Declan Rice, Jude Bellingham, Harry Kane Luke Shaw, Ben Chillwell, Bukayo Saka

Following their scrappy 1-0 win over Australia there’s expectation of wholesale changes to England’s starting lineup. Jordan Pickford should return in goal after Sam Johnstone made it four clean sheets in four England matches, with Harry Maguire, Kyle Walker, Declan Rice, Jude Bellingham and Harry Kane expected to come back into Gareth Southgate’s side.

Italy team news

In  Out Doubtful
Sandro Tonali, Nicolo Zaniolo, Ciro Immobile, Federico Chiesa, Gianluca Scamacca

Luciano Spalletti meanwhile boasts a squad with only Gianluigi Donnarumma having collected more than 50 international caps. Nicolò Barella is the Azzurri’s most prolific scorer with eight goals. Sandro Tonali and Nicolo Zaniolo’s off-field problems mean they miss out again and join Ciro Immobile, Federico Chiesa and Gianluca Scamacca on the sidelines.

England v Italy head-to-head record

  • 23 Mar 2023 – Italy 1-2 England – UEFA Euro qualifying
  • 23 Sep 2022 – Italy 1-0 England – UEFA Nations League
  • 11 Jun 2022 – England 0-0 Italy – UEFA Nations League
  • 11 Jul 2021 – England 1-1 Italy – Euro 2020
  • 27 Mar 2018 – England 1-1 Italy – International Friendly

England have won just one of their previous seven meetings with Italy (three losses) including losing the Euro 2020 final on penalties.