Burnley v Chelsea Premier League predictions: Tips, odds and team news

Burnley and Chelsea face off in the Premier League on Saturday at 3pm (UK time).

Burnley vs Chelsea odds


*Odds correct as of 14:10 on October 5

Chelsea recorded just their second Premier League victory of the season against Fulham at Craven Cottage on Monday, after two goals in two minutes from Mykhailo Mudryk, who scored his first for the Blues, and Armando Broja, who marked his return with a goal after missing a glorious chance earlier in the half, secured all three points. The Blues have now kept a clean sheet in three of their last five games (2 goals conceded), after a run of conceding at least once in 11 consecutive Premier League games (21 goals conceded), as they continue to improve under Mauricio Pochettino.

The Argentine was asked his opinion on the recent controversy involving VAR, saying “I trust in the VAR, like I trust in the car, but you know, the driver is the problem.”

“I was very critical from the beginning of VAR many years ago. I think this technology to use if it crosses the line or not, the ball. I think it’s important to keep and then we need offside also. But to take time is important, for the referee. And then maybe we can discuss and argue about, if the referee needs to be more involved or if the referee needs to have the last say”.

Burnley meanwhile, finally got off the mark for the season, with a hard fought 2-1 win against fellow promoted side Luton in midweek, as Vincent Kompany became the first ever Belgian manager to win a Premier League game. The Clarets have faced an incredibly tough start to life back in the top flight, facing Man City, Villa, Tottenham, Nottingham Forest, Man Utd and Newcastle in their opening six matches and face another tough game here against an improving Chelsea side.

If Burnley fall to defeat here, Vincent Kompany will become the first ever manager to lose his first five Premier League home games in charge from the start of a campaign. It will also be the first time Chelsea have won back-to-back Premier League games since October 2022, on year ago.

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Burnley vs Chelsea predictions

Burnley vs Chelsea: Predictions

Bet Prediction Midnite Odds
BTTS? Yes 4/5
Correct Score 1-2 7/1
First Goalscorer Lyle Foster 8/1

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Burnley vs Chelsea predictions:

  • Burnley have lost all four of their Premier League home games this season.
  • Lyle Foster has scored Burnley’s first goal in three of their last four Premier League home matches.
  • Mauricio Pochettino has won 85.4% of his Premier League games against promoted sides (35/41).
  • Burnley are without a single clean sheet in 16 Premier League games against Chelsea.
  • Lyle Foster is the only Burnley player to score multiple Premier League goals this season.

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Burnley vs Chelsea match tip

 Raheem Sterling to score 2+ goals @ 10/1 with Midnite 

Raheem Sterling has been involved in 18 goals in his last 17 Premier League games against promoted sides (14 goals, 4 assists), netting a brace in his last two such appearances against Nottingham Forest in May and Luton Town this season. The former Man City man is the only Chelsea player to score multiple goals in the Premier League so far this season.

Burnley vs Chelsea Bet-Builder tip

 Chelsea to win > Lyle Foster to score > Raheem Sterling to score 

Mauricio Pochettino has an impressive record against promoted sides in England, with the Argentine winning 85.4% of his Premier League games against promoted sides (35/41), the highest ratio of any manager to take charge of at least 10 such matches. Lyle Foster is the only Burnley player with multiple goals this season (3), while Raheem Sterling has scored 14 goals in his last 17 Premier League games against promoted sides.

Burnley vs Chelsea team news

Burnley team news

In  Out Doubtful
Darko Churlinov, Michael Obafemi, Hjalmar Ekdal

Burnley trio Darko Churlinov (blood poisoning), Michael Obafemi (hamstring) and Hjalmar Ekdal (knee) remain out.

Chelsea team news

In  Out Doubtful
Nico Jackson, Carney Chukwuemeka Romeo Lavia, Reece James, Christopher Nkunku, Wesley Fofana, Marcus Bettinelli, Trevoh Chalobah,  Carney Chukwuemeka, Malo Gusto

Romeo Lavia (ankle), Reece James (hamstring), Christopher Nkunku (knee), Wesley Fofana (knee), Marcus Bettinelli (knee) and Trevoh Chalobah (hamstring) are missing for the visitors, while Malo Gusto is suspended. Nico Jackson returns after missing the Fulham game through suspension and Carney Chukwuemeka has recovered and will be in the squad.

Burnley vs Chelsea head-to-head record

  • 05 Mar 2022 – Burnley 0-4 Chelsea – Premier League
  • 06 Nov 2021 – Chelsea 1-1 Burnley – Premier League
  • 31 Jan 2021 – Chelsea 2-0 Burnley – Premier League
  • 31 Oct 2020 – Burnley 0-3 Chelsea – Premier League
  • 11 Jan 2020 – Chelsea 3-0 Burnley – Premier League

Chelsea are unbeaten in their last nine Premier League meetings with Burnley (seven wins and two draws).