Chelsea vs Brighton Premier League prediction and stats: Enzo Maresca chasing first home league win
Chelsea will be looking for their first home win of the 2024-25 Premier League when they host Brighton on Saturday.
Enzo Maresca’s men have 10 points in the Premier League this season, but just one has come at home. Brighton, meanwhile, remain unbeaten after five matches.
How to watch Chelsea vs Brighton live
Chelsea vs Brighton is scheduled for 3pm (UK time) on Saturday 28th September but will not be broadcast live in the UK.
Chelsea vs Brighton predictions
Chelsea 1-1 Brighton (43/5 with SBK)
Brighton have won just one of their last eight Premier League away games, with four draws and three defeats. They have also drawn their past three Premier League games, and two of their past four league visits to Stamford Bridge.
Most cards: Chelsea (13/10 with SBK)
Chelsea are the dirtiest team in the Premier League this season when it comes to yellow cards. The Blues have received 18 so far, one more than any other team. At the same time, Brighton are one of the best-behaved with 11. Chelsea also had a player sent off in each of their two league games against Brighton last season.
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How both teams go into Chelsea vs Brighton
Another season with a new manager at the helm, there is some quiet optimism at Chelsea. The Blues have picked up 10 points from their opening five Premier League games and are unbeaten in their past four. Most recently they comfortably knocked League Two Barrow out of the EFL Cup, drawing comparisons to Mauricio Pochettino’s struggles against Wimbledon in the second round last season.
Chelsea have also kept clean sheets in each of their past two games, shutting out Bournemouth and West Ham in 0-1 and 0-3 wins respectively. But both of those victories came away from home. In fact, all three of Chelsea’s league wins this season have been on the road. At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea are winless in two. They opened the campaign with a defeat to Manchester City before a draw against Crystal Palace.
There is also a new face in the dugout at Brighton. Fabian Hurzeler is the man in charge, replacing Roberto De Zerbi in the summer after things had gone stale under the Italian. And Hurzeler has had a good start to life in the Premier League.
Brighton remain unbeaten in the league after five games, one of four teams yet to taste defeat this season. They won their opening two matches under Hurzeler, beating Everton and Manchester United. The winning start came to an end with a draw against Arsenal, and the Seagulls have taken two points from the two following games.
Chelsea team news
Malo Gusto made his return from injury against Barrow in midweek and may make a second consecutive start with Chelsea struggling at right-back. Reece James is still out and won’t be back until after the international break. Romeo Lavia could return but would only make the bench as Chelsea try to manage his fitness.
Christopher Nkunku will be hoping to force his way into Maresca’s Premier League XI after a hat-trick in midweek, meaning the Chelsea boss is spoilt for choice right now when it comes to in-form forwards.
Brighton team news
Brighton will be hoping to have Joao Pedro and Yasin Abbas Ayari available for this weekend, after injury and illness respectively. But this game is set to be too soon for James Milner and Brajan Gruda.
Matt O’Riley is yet to make his debut after signing from Celtic and isn’t expected back until November. Solly March is also an injury absentee.
Chelsea vs Brighton head-to-head
After failing to win their previous five games against Brighton, Chelsea have won their past three games vs the Seagulls.
| Chelsea vs Brighton H2H | |||||||
| Date | Score | Ground | |||||
| 15/05/24 | Brighton 1-2 Chelsea | Amex Stadium, Brighton | |||||
| 03/12/23 | Chelsea 3-2 Brighton | Stamford Bridge, London | |||||
| 27/09/23 | Chelsea 1-0 Brighton | Stamford Bridge, London | |||||
| 15/04/23 | Chelsea 1-2 Brighton | Stamford Bridge, London | |||||
| 29/10/22 | Brighton 4-1 Chelsea | Amex Stadium, Brighton | |||||
| 18/01/22 | Brighton 1-1 Chelsea | Amex Stadium, Brighton | |||||
SBK betting offer: Bet £10, get £40 in free bets
Eligible readers* interested in this SBK betting offer can follow THIS LINK or click the image below.
New UK customers only. Min £10 first deposit using Debit Card or Bank Transfer. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 2.0 and get a £10 Football Bet Builder token upon settlement. A £10 Multiple token, a £5 Horse Racing Multiple token and a £5 Football Bet Builder token will be credited after 24 hours. A further £10 Free Bet token will be credited 48 hours after the qualifying bet has been settled. Full T&Cs apply, 18+. BeGambleAware.org.
