Newcastle vs Burnley predictions: tips, odds & team news

Newcastle vs Burnley predictions: tips, odds & team news

Newcastle United will be hoping to continue their climb up the Premier League table when they host Burnley on Saturday 30th September at 3pm (UK time).

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Newcastle vs Burnley odds


*Odds correct as of 09:30 on September 18

After securing a top four finish last season, many expected Newcastle to push on and at least be a lot more comfortable in the Champions League battle, or perhaps mount a minor title challenge. Some were sceptical, waiting to see how the Magpies would fare with Champions League football to manage alongside the Premier League. But in reality, Eddie Howe’s men were struggling before they even kicked a Champions League football. Despite starting the campaign with a 5-1 home win against Aston Villa, Newcastle then lost their next three matches, beaten by Manchester City, Liverpool and Brighton. Three tough opponents, Newcastle did bounce back with a 1-0 win over Brentford but it wasn’t convincing.

Burnley, meanwhile, are without a win on their return to the Premier League with Vincent Kompany finding it hard in the top flight. Playing each of their opening three matches at home, Burnley lost to defending champions Man City on the opening weekend before also losing to Aston Villa. Before the international break there was another defeat, this time 5-2 to Tottenham at Turf Moor, so Kompany may be looking to find more luck on the road.


Newcastle vs Burnley predictions

Newcastle vs Burnley: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 4/5 with Ladbrokes
Correct Score Newcastle 2-1 Burnley 7/1 with Betfair
First Goalscorer Callum Wilson TBC

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Newcastle vs Burnley predictions:

  • Newcastle have scored in their last three Premier League home matches.
  • Newcastle have conceded in four of their five Premier League matches this season.
  • Burnley have lost three of their last six Premier League away games.
  • Callum Wilson has scored three Premier League goals this season.
  • Burnley have lost all three of their Premier League games this season.

Newcastle vs Burnley match tip

Newcastle to win & BTTS @ 21/10 with Bet365

Newcastle have enjoyed their recent matches with Burnley, winning the last four in the league. Doing the league double in 2020/21 and 2021/22, Newcastle will be looking to win five consecutive league matches against Burnley for the first since 1955. However, the Magpies’ defence has proven a bit shaky this season with just one clean sheet so far.

Newcastle vs Burnley Bet-Builder tip

Under 9.5 corners & Newcastle most cards

Newcastle haven’t had too many corners in the Premier League this season, averaging just 4.4 per game. But they also aren’t really giving them away, conceding on average five corners per match. However, one stat Newcastle do rank highly in is yellow cards. The Magpies are averaging 3.4 yellow cards per game in the Premier League this season, with no side having more.

Newcastle vs Burnley
Reason for tip

Newcastle have won 4.4 corners per game this season and conceded 5 per match on average in the Premier League.

Reason for tip

No team has received more yellow cards than Newcastle's 17 in the Premier League this season.

Newcastle vs Burnley team news

Newcastle team news

In  Out Doubtful
Joe Willock, Emil Krafth

Joe Willock and Emil Krafth aren’t expected to be back for Newcastle until after the October international break.

Burnley team news

In  Out Doubtful
Hjalmar Ekdal, Michael Obafemi, Darko Churlinov

Michael Obafemi and Darko Churlinov remain the long-term absentees for Burnley, with Hjalmar Ekdal tipped to return just before the next international break.

Newcastle vs Burnley head-to-head record

  • 22 May 2022 – Burnley 1-2 Newcastle – Premier League
  • 4 December 2021 – Newcastle 1-0 Burnley – Premier League
  • 25 August 2021 – Newcastle 0-0 Burnley – EFL Cup
  • 11 April 2021 – Burnley 1-2 Newcastle – Premier League
  • 3 October 2020 – Newcastle 3-1 Burnley – Premier League

Newcastle did the double over Burnley in each of the past two seasons these sides have met, of course taking a break in 2022/23 when the Clarets were in the Championship. However, those four victories are cut by a penalty shootout win for Burnley in the EFL Cup.

Newcastle vs Burnley Squawka Says