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Aston Villa vs Burnley Premier League predictions: tips, odds and team news

Burnley vs Aston Villa predictions: tips, odds and team news

Aston Villa and Burnley will both be looking to bounce back from defeats when they meet on Saturday at 3pm (UK time).

Aston Villa vs Burnley odds

Aston Villa go into their final game of 2023 third in the table, but there will be a feeling of missed opportunities. Unai Emery’s men could have been level on points with league leaders Liverpool and even clear at the summit, had things gone as planned over the Christmas weekend. First, they dropped points at home for the first time in 15 games, having to fight from behind to draw with Sheffield United. Then they gave up a 2-0 half-time lead against Manchester United at Old Trafford, having looked so in control. As a result, the Villans are on their worst winless run of the season.

Burnley, meanwhile, will enter 2024 in the relegation zone but they will hope to be just a point or so from safety. The Clarets have picked up 11 points from their opening 19 games, with 14 defeats and just three wins. One of those victories came against Fulham last weekend, but they followed that up with a defeat to Liverpool, which leaves them five points from safety. It hasn’t been a good start to life as a Premier League manager for Vincent Kompany, with Burnley having the second-worst attack and second-worst defence.


*Odds correct as of 20:00 on December 29

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Aston Villa vs Burnley predictions

Aston Villa vs Burnley: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 7/10 with BetVictor
Correct Score Aston Villa 3-1 Burnley 19/2 with BetUK
First Goalscorer John McGinn 17/2 with Casumo

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Aston Villa vs Burnley predictions:

  • Aston Villa have won 15 of their last 16 home league matches.
  • Aston Villa have scored in each of their last 23 Premier League home games.
  • Burnley have scored in four of their last five away league games.
  • Aston Villa have conceded in six of their last eight home games across all competitions.

Aston Villa vs Burnley match tip

Aston Villa to win and BTTS @ 7/4 with Sky Bet

Aston Villa may have seen their winning run at home come to an end just before Christmas, with a 1-1 draw with Sheffield United, but the Villans are still making Villa Park a fortress. Across all competitions, Villa have won 12 of their 14 games at Villa Park. However, they have only kept five clean sheets, with two of those coming in the Europa Conference League.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Bet-Builder tip

Ollie Watkins to score anytime, BTTS and over 4.5 Aston Villa shots on target

Aston Villa are one of the top teams in the Premier League for shots on target this season, average 5.26 per game so far. Ollie Watkins will be among those wishing to keep that average up. Although he is slightly out of form, the Englishman needs just one goal to equal Dwight Yorke as the Aston Villa player with the most home goals in a calendar year in the Premier League, currently on 11. But Villa have been a bit rocky defensively of late, conceding in six of their last eight home games across all competitions.

Aston Villa vs Burnley
Reason for tip

Aston Villa have conceded in six of their last eight home games across all competitions.

Reason for tip

Ollie Watkins has scored 11 Premier League goals at Villa Park in 2023.

Reason for tip

Aston Villa have averaged 5.26 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season.

Aston Villa vs Burnley team news

Aston Villa team news

In  Out Doubtful
Matty Cash Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Boubacar Kamara, Lucas Digne, Robin Olsen, Bertrand Traore, Youri Tielemans

Matty Cash is back from suspension but Aston Villa lost Lucas Digne to a hamstring injury in the defeat to Man Utd. Boubacar Kamara serves the last game of his suspension, while this match will also be too soon for Youri Tielemans.

Burnley team news

In  Out Doubtful
Luca Koleosho, Jack Cork, Hjalmar Ekdal

Burnley have three injury concerns for this game, with Luca Koleosho a long-term absentee while Jack Cork and Hjalmar Ekdal expected back until next month.

Aston Villa vs Burnley record

  • 27 August 2023 – Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 19 May 2022 – Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley – Premier League
  • 7 May 2022 – Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 27 January 2021 – Burnley 3-2 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 17 December 2020 – Aston Villa 0-0 Burnley – Premier League

Aston Villa have lost just one of their previous seven meetings with Burnley (three wins and three draws). The Villans will also be looking to do the league double over Burnley for the first time since 1925/26, which included a 10-0 victory at Villa Park.

Aston Villa vs Burnley Squawka Says