Burnley vs Aston Villa Premier League predictions: tips, odds and team news

Burnley vs Aston Villa predictions: tips, odds and team news

Burnley and Aston Villa meet in an early-season clash on Sunday 27th August at 2pm (UK time).

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Burnley vs Aston Villa odds


Odds correct as of 14:40 on August 25

Burnley’s return to the top flight didn’t exactly go to plan, losing their opening match of the season 3-0 at home to Manchester City. That said, given the sheer quality at the disposal of the reigning Premier League and European champions, you can’t hold too much against Vincent Kompany’s men. The Clarets were forced to wait for their next match with last weekend’s trip to Luton postponed, so they will be chomping at the bit to get going again.

Aston Villa meanwhile, are being tipped by many to rub shoulders with the Premier League elite this season after an excellent end to the previous campaign and a busy summer of new arrivals. However, they didn’t exactly open the season in an ideal manner, crashing 5-1 at Newcastle United, but came alive in their second match, hitting four past Everton at Villa Park, where they become just  the second team in top-flight history to lose their opening game by 4+ goals then win their second game by 4+ goals, after Burnley themselves in 1925-26.

Burnley vs Aston Villa predictions

Burnley vs Aston Villa: Predictions

Bet Prediction Best odds
BTTS? Yes 8/11 with Betfair
Correct Score Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa 16/1 with Bet365
First Goalscorer Ollie Watkins 5/1 with Sky Bet

Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.

The stats behind our Burnley vs Aston Villa predictions:

  • Each of Aston Villa’s last four Premier League games have featured at least two goals, with both teams scoring in all of them.
  • Burnley conceded just 35 goals in the Championship but 10 of them (29%) were from set-pieces.
  • The Clarets have lost two of their last three home league games (W1), after a 21-match unbeaten run at Turf Moor
  • Ollie Watkins scored 15 Premier League goals last season, at least nine more than any of his teammates.
  • Villa have lost just one of their last six meetings with Burnley.

Burnley vs Aston Villa match tip

Aston Villa to win and over 3.5 goals @ 5/1 with Betfair

With these two sides conceding eight goals combined on the opening weekend, we should feel confident of seeing plenty of action moving forward. Of course, that’ll only increase once their attacking forward lines click into gear. Aston Villa, especially, are blessed in attack with the likes of Ollie Watkins, Leon Bailey and record-signing Moussa Diaby, the envy of many teams throughout the Premier League. They should provide the edge at Turf Moor in a high-scoring affair.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Bet-Builder tip

Ollie Watkins to score anytime > Over 3.5 goals > BTTS

As we’ve mentioned, Aston Villa’s firepower should see them dominate this match, though Burnley are well capable of pushing them all the way. Even so, you’d fancy Emery’s side to come out quickly and stamp down their authority, meaning the Clarets will be chasing for the entire match — only serving to leave further gaps for the likes of Wakins and Diaby. Villa’s opening two matches has seen 10 goals scored, while a defeat here would see Burnley lose their opening two Premier League games for the third consecutive season.

Reason for tip

Watkins scored 15 Premier League goals last season.

Reason for tip

There have been 10 goals scored in Aston Villa's opening two Premier League games

Reason for tip

These two sides have already conceded eight goals combined in the Premier League this season.

Burnley vs Aston Villa team news


Burnley team news

In  Out Doubtful
Michael Obafemi, Darko Churlinov, Anass Zaroury Jordan Beyer

Michael Obafemi and Darko Churlinov both miss out for the Clatets through injury, while Anass Zaroury is suspended after being sent off late on against Man City in Burnley’s opening game.

Aston Villa team news

In  Out Doubtful
Nicolo Zaniolo Emi Buendia, Tyrone Mings, Jacob Ramsey, Alex Moreno, Leander Dendoncker, Tim Iroegbunam, Bertrand Traore Emi Martinez

Aston Villa have a host of fitness issues, with Emi Buendia and Tyrone Mings now out long-term with ACL injuries. They’re joined on the treatment table by the likes of midfielders Leander Dendoncker and Jacob Ramsey, while new signing Nicolo Zaniolo, who has joined on loan, should start from the bench.

Goalkeeper Emi Martinez is a doubt for the trip to Turf Moor after being replaced by Robin Olsen at HT against Hibs in midweek, with manager Unai Emery confirming during his pre-match press conference that he had a small injury problem.

“Today he didn’t train and we will wait tomorrow. He has a small pain in his calf, it is not big, it’s a small pain.”We have to take our time, and tomorrow is our last training before Sunday’s match. That’s the day to make a decision to see if he’s ready or not.” He said.

The Villains will be hoping the World Cup winner will be fit, having lost three of their four Premier League matches that they have been without him since signing from Arsenal in 2020.

Burnley vs Aston Villa head-to-head record

  • 19 May 2022 – Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley – Premier League
  • 7 May 2022 – Burnley 1-3 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 27 Jan 2021 – Burnley 3-2 Aston Villa – Premier League
  • 17 Dec 2020 – Aston Villa 0-0 Burnley – Premier League
  • 1 Jan 2020 – Burnley 1-2 Aston Villa – Premier League

Aston Villa have been extremely dominant against Burnley in recent times, losing just one of their last six outings. During their last Premier League campaign together two seasons ago, Villa took four points from their two games, including a 3-1 win at Turf Moor.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Squawka Says