Brighton vs Liverpool predictions: Premier League tips, odds and team news
Brighton and Liverpool go head-to-head in the Premier League on Sunday at 2pm (UK time).
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Brighton vs Liverpool odds
Liverpool’s 17-game unbeaten run finally came to an end, in controversial fashion, last weekend as they fell to defeat to Tottenham for the first time since October 2017. The Reds were reduced to 10-men just 26 minutes into the game after Curtis Jones received his marching orders after a VAR review for his challenge on Yves Bissouma, before Son Heung-min scored his sixth league goal of the season to give Spurs the lead just 10 minutes later. However, just two minutes before Son’s opener, Luis Diaz thought he had equalised for the away side, but saw his effort wrongly ruled out for offside, something the PGMOL have apologised for in the week.
The Reds did equalise just before half time through Cody Gakpo, his last action in the game before going off injured, but after fighting off wave after wave of Tottenham attack, they were finally beaten in stoppage time as Joel Matip turned Pedro Porro’s cross into his own net to hand Spurs their first win over Jürgen Klopp’s side in five years to extend their unbeaten start to the campaign to seven matches.
Among all the drama, Diogo Jota became the second Liverpool player to see red after receiving two yellow cards in two minutes as the away side were reduced to nine men, something the Premier League Independent Key Match Incidents Panel says was incorrect. The report stated that “the majority deemed the decision as incorrect as they felt it did not meet the threshold for a yellow card,” with the five members voting 3-2 against a booking for his second caution.
Last weekend was also a time to forget for Brighton, after they conceded six goals in a Premier League match for the first time in their history as they fell to a 6-1 defeat to Aston Villa at Villa Park. Roberto De Zerbi’s side found themselves 3-0 after just 26 minutes, the second earliest the Seagulls had conceded 3+ goals in a Premier League game after the game against Palace in 2018 (24 minutes), making it 11 Premier League games without keeping a clean sheet.
Brighton vs Liverpool predictions
Brighton vs Liverpool: Predictions |
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| Bet | Prediction | BetMGM odds |
| BTTS? | Yes | 7/20 |
| Correct Score | Brighton 2-2 Liverpool | 9/1 |
| First Goalscorer | Mohamed Salah | 19/5 |
Odds correct at the time of writing. 18+ Only. Terms and Conditions Apply.
The stats behind our Brighton vs Liverpool predictions:
- Brighton are the Premier League’s top goalscorers so far with 19 goals.
- Brighton have scored and conceded in all seven Premier League matches this season.
- These two sides met three times last season, with Brighton enjoying two victories (1 league, 1 cup) and a 3-3 draw at Anfield.
- Mohamed Salah has only been involved in more Premier League goals against Man Utd (14) and West Ham (13) than vs Brighton (12).
- This fixture has produced at least three goals in its last three editions (2-1, 3-0, 3-3).
Brighton vs Liverpool match tip
Mohamed Salah to score 2+ goals @ 22/5 with BetMGM
Mohamed Salah has only been involved in more Premier League goals against Man Utd (14) and West Ham (13) than he has against Brighton (6 goals, 6 assists in 12 apps), with seven of these coming in his six appearances at the Amex Stadium. Overall, Salah has been involved in 17 goals in his 15 trips to the south coast in the top-flight (v Brighton, Bournemouth and Southampton), scoring 11 and assisting six.
Last weekend against Tottenham was the first time he had failed to score or assist in 12 Premier League matches.
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Brighton vs Liverpool Bet-Builder tip
Over 3.5 goals > Mitoma anytime goalscorer >BTTS yes
If we’re to expect goals, we should also look to Kaoru Mitoma to lead the charge. The Japanese winger bagged a brace against Bournemouth in his last home match, taking his total to three goals in the Premier League so far this season. Mitoma, of course, scored a 92nd-minute winner the last time these two sides met in the FA Cup back in January.
Brighton vs Liverpool team news
Brighton team news |
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| In | Out | Doubtful |
| – | Julio Enciso, Jakub Moder, Pervis Estupinan, James Milner, Adam Lallana | Tariq Lamptey, Lewis Dunk |
Julio Enciso and Jakub Moder are both long term absentees for Brighton and they have been joined on the sidelines by James Milner, Adam Lallana and most recently full-back Pervis Estupinan, who has been ruled out for a month with a muscular injury. Tariq Lamptey was hoped to fill in at left-back once again after starting there against Marseille in the Europa League, but is now a doubt and may not be risked.
Liverpool team news |
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| In | Out | Doubtful |
| – | Thiago, Cody Gakpo, Caoimhin Kelleher, Stefan Bajcetic, Diogo Jota, Curtis Jones | – |
Cody Gakpo was forced off after scoring against Tottenham last weekend and will be out until after the international break, while Diogo Jota and Curtis Jones miss out through suspension after their red cards. Thiago, Caoimhin Kelleher and Stefan Bajcetic remain out. Ryan Gravenberch may keep his place after becoming the first player to score or assist in his first three starts for Liverpool since Milan Baros in 2002 in the Europa League in midweek.
Brighton vs Liverpool head-to-head record
- 29 January 2023 – Brighton 2-1 Liverpool – FA Cup
- 14 January 2023 – Brighton 3-0 Liverpool – Premier League
- 1 October 2023 – Liverpool 3-3 Brighton – Premier League
- 12 March 2023 – Brighton 0-2 Liverpool – Premier League
- 30 October 2021 – Liverpool 2-2 Brighton – Premier League
Brighton have enjoyed a good record in this fixture in recent times, losing just one of their last seven meetings with Liverpool across all competitions. During that time, they’ve three times and scored 12 goals.
